GBP/USD climbs as USD stalls amid trade uncertainty

• GBP/USD rises as trade policy uncertainty leaves the Dollar range-bound.
• Andrew Bailey signals possible March cut, markets price modest easing by the Bank of England.
• Austan Goolsbee warns against front-loading cuts without clear disinflation evidence.

The Pound Sterling advances during the North American session as the Greenback remains unchanged amid uncertainty on US trade policies, as investors wait results of one of the seven megacap companies after the Wall Street close. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3523, up 0.29%.

Sterling gains near 1.3520 as cautious Fed tone and BoE easing bets keep traders on edge

The scarce economic data in the US and the UK left traders adrift to comments by Federal Reserve and Bank of England officials along with investors’ expectations on monetary policy.

On Tuesday, BoE Governor Bailey said that a rate cut in March is possible but acknowledged that inflation services remain high. In the past meeting, the UK central bank kept the Bank Rate unchanged on a narrow 5-4 vote split, seen by the financial markets as a dovish hold.

As of writing, money markets had priced in so far 18 basis points of easing towards the March 19 meeting.

Across the US, Fed officials crossed the wires, with Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee saying that cuts are appropriate if inflation falls, adding that he is concerned about “front loading” rate reductions due to the lack of evidence that inflation is falling towards the Fed’s 2% goal.

In the meantime, Boston Fed Susan Collins and Richmond’s Fed Thomas Barkin revealed that they see a stable but loosening labor market and uneven inflation progress.

For the upcoming meeting, investors do not expect the Fed to cut rates. However, for the rest of the year, traders had priced in 50 basis points of easing, according to Prime Market Terminal data.

Fed, BoE officials to cross newswires

On Thursday, the UK economic docket will remain absent, yet BoE’s Lombardelli will hit the wires. In the US, traders focus will be on Initial Jobless Claims and a speech by Fed Governor Michelle Bowman.

GBP/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

In the daily chart, GBP/USD trades at 1.3528. The pair sits between an ascending support trend line from 1.3035 and a descending resistance line from 1.3869, keeping the near-term bias neutral with a slight topside tilt as price holds above the clustered simple moving averages around 1.3530–1.3540. The upward-sloping support line continues to underpin the sequence of higher lows, while repeated failures to extend below the moving average group suggest buyers still defend dips despite fading FXS Fed Sentiment Index readings that signal waning broader optimism.

Immediate resistance is aligned with the descending trend line, now capping the upside near 1.3560, and a clear break above this area would open the way toward the recent swing region around 1.3680, followed by 1.3835. On the downside, initial support is seen at the ascending trend line breakout area around 1.3550 turning into a nearby floor, with a drop back under 1.3500 exposing deeper support toward 1.3460 and then the 1.3400 area, where prior reactions cluster along the rising trend structure.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)