Taiwan: Undervalued TWD with rotational flows – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY notes that Taiwan’s strong equity performance in 2026 has coincided with net institutional outflows, mainly from U.S. pensions and hedge funds, while APAC and EMEA investors provide support. TWD FX activity remains subdued and tied to rebalancing rather than directional demand, with Taiwan’s currency still screening as fundamentally undervalued.

TAIEX strength, muted TWD flows

"Taiwan looks different, with TWD activity tied more to periodic rebalancing than to outright directional equity demand. Both currencies still screen as fundamentally undervalued, which helps explain why investor interest has held up even without meaningful FX appreciation."

"Taiwan: Taiwanese equities saw $1.73bn of net institutional outflows year to date. Again, the Americas were the main sellers, with $4.33bn of net sales. U.S. pension funds and hedge funds led the move, making up almost 75% of total selling from the region."

"Taiwan looked more like rotation than exit. The market also saw heavy semiconductor selling (-$5.59bn), but that was offset by buying in Technology Hardware (+$3.74bn), Capital Goods (+$232mn) and Banks (+$132mn). The message: investors were not exiting Taiwan wholesale."

"By investor type in Taiwan: The mix was different. Pension funds (-$3.12bn) and hedge funds (-$1.78bn) were the main sellers, while government and agency accounts bought $906mn. Taiwan selling was less mutual-fund driven and more concentrated in pensions and hedge funds than South Korea."

"Taiwan remains much quieter. TWD activity is still subdued. Spot volumes, which track equity purchases more directly, are below the rolling one-year average."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)