EIA lowers forecast for global oil demand and US oil production – Commerzbank

FXStreetApr 11, 2025 11:19 AM

View all comments（0）



The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) has revised its forecast for global oil demand downwards, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Carsten Fritsch notes.

Oversupply fears push oil price outlook lower

"It now expects an increase of only 900 thousand barrels per day this year and 1 million barrels per day next year. Previously, the expected increase was 1.2 million barrels per day in each case. According to the EIA, the weaker demand and the stronger production increase by OPEC+ are likely to lead to a greater oversupply on the oil market in the second half of the year."

"As a result, the EIA also significantly lowered its assumptions for oil prices. In response, the EIA also reduced its forecast for US crude oil production. This is only expected to increase by 300,000 barrels per day in 2025 and to virtually stagnate next year."

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

Comments (0)

Click the $ button, enter the symbol, and select to link a stock, ETF, or other ticker.

Commenting Guidelines

Recommended Articles

Japan, South Korea Stocks Weaken in Early Trading; Kospi Drops Over 1%, Nikkei 225 Falls Over 1.7%, SoftBank Drops Over 4%

TradingKey - On October 19, Japanese and South Korean stock markets came under renewed pressure in early trading. South Korean equities recovered some ground after opening lower, while losses in the Japanese market widened further. South Korea's KOSPI Index opened 3.17% lower at 5,488.41 points before narrowing its decline to 1.16% at 5,602.12 points. Japan's Nikkei 225 Index opened down 0.77% at 64,819.56 points and subsequently dropped 1.73% to 64,194.90 points.

TradingKey Wall Street Weekly Report：Rising Inflation Intensifies Rate Pressure; Nasdaq Falls 4.48%, Its Biggest Weekly Decline Since June

TradingKey - During the period from 2026-10-12 to 2026-10-18, the U.S. macroeconomic environment was dominated by persistent inflationary pressures and elevated global energy costs. Headline Consumer Price Index data for September released on October 14 showed annual inflation accelerating to 3.7%,

Netflix Stock Forecast: 1,000 Job Cuts and Slower Growth Set Up a Make-or-Break Q3 Report

TradingKey - Netflix stock forecast: NFLX rebounds from $66.98 support after 1,000 job cuts, with Tuesday's Q3 report testing slower growth and the $75.23 trendline.

The Week Ahead: Tesla, Meta and WDC Earnings in Focus as US Stock Q3 Earnings Season Enters Key Trading Window

TradingKey - In the upcoming week (October 19 to October 23), the US market will shift its focus from this week's inflation data to the third-quarter earnings season and economic growth data. US September CPI released this week rose 3.7% year-on-year, while PPI climbed 1.3% month-on-month, marking the largest single-month gain since March 2022; September retail sales grew 0.8% month-on-month and 6.3% year-on-year, indicating that while inflationary pressures remain elevated, US consumer spending maintains a degree of resilience.

Market Sentiment Turns Cautious Ahead of Netflix Earnings: Can NFLX Hold Key $70 Support?

TradingKey - Netflix (NFLX) will report its third-quarter 2026 financial results after the US market close on October 20. With the company's stock price currently hovering around $70 and investor sentiment turning noticeably cautious, this earnings report could serve as a critical turning point for its short-term trajectory.

Featured Tools