Conferencia de resultados del tercer trimestre fiscal de 2026 de The Toro Company (TTC): Las ventas aumentan un 8,4 %, se eleva la previsión de BPA
The Toro Company reportó sólidos resultados financieros en el tercer trimestre fiscal de 2026, con un aumento del 8,4% en las ventas netas hasta los 1.230 millones de dólares y un beneficio por acción ajustado de 1,33 dólares. El crecimiento fue impulsado por la fuerte demanda en los segmentos profesional y residencial, junto con mejoras en la productividad del programa AMP. Como resultado, la dirección elevó su previsión para el conjunto del año, situando el crecimiento de las ventas netas entre el 6,3% y el 6,6% y el beneficio por acción ajustado en el rango de 4,60 a 4,65 dólares.
Puntos clave
- Las ventas netas del tercer trimestre fiscal de 2026 aumentaron un 8,4% interanual hasta los 1.230 millones de dólares, lo que incluye un crecimiento orgánico del 6,2%.
- El margen operativo ajustado se amplió 30 puntos básicos hasta el 13,9%, mientras que el BPA ajustado fue de 1,33 dólares.
- Las ventas del segmento profesional aumentaron un 8,8%, impulsadas por un crecimiento de dos dígitos en contratistas del paisajismo y un crecimiento de un dígito medio en construcción subterránea y especializada.
- Las ventas del segmento residencial aumentaron un 8,6%, mientras que el margen operativo ajustado mejoró 400 puntos básicos hasta el 5,9%, lo que refleja la productividad, la fijación de precios y el apalancamiento por volumen.
- El flujo de caja libre en lo que va de año alcanzó los 425 millones de dólares, lo que representa una tasa de conversión del 128%. La empresa también ejecutó 358 millones de dólares en recompra de acciones.
- La dirección elevó la previsión de BPA ajustado para el ejercicio fiscal 2026 a 4,60-4,65 dólares y la previsión de crecimiento de las ventas netas al 6,3%-6,6%.
Datos financieros clave
| Métrica | Tercer trimestre fiscal de 2026 | Variación interanual / Comentarios |
|---|---|---|
| Ventas netas | 1.230 millones de dólares | Subida del 8,4%; crecimiento orgánico del 6,2% |
| Margen operativo ajustado | 13,9% | Subida de 30 puntos básicos |
| BPA ajustado | 1,33 dólares | El desempeño operativo aportó 0,12 dólares; las recompras aportaron 0,05 dólares; las devoluciones de aranceles aportaron 0,06 dólares |
| Ventas netas del segmento profesional | — | Subida del 8,8%; crecimiento orgánico del 6,1% |
| Margen operativo ajustado del segmento profesional | 20,9% | Bajada de 40 puntos básicos |
| Ventas netas del segmento residencial | — | Subida del 8,6% |
| Margen operativo ajustado del segmento residencial | 5,9% | Subida de 400 puntos básicos |
| Flujo de caja libre en lo que va de año | 425 millones de dólares | Tasa de conversión del 128% |
| Mejora del inventario | 153 millones de dólares | Impulsada por menores saldos de productos terminados |
| Mejora del capital de trabajo | 217 millones de dólares | Interanual |
| Recompra de acciones | 358 millones de dólares | Respaldada por una fuerte generación de caja |
El BPA ajustado se benefició del desempeño operativo, la recompra de acciones y las devoluciones de aranceles. Estos avances se vieron compensados en parte por un impacto de 0,08 dólares debido a una tasa impositiva ajustada más elevada y de 0,06 dólares por otros elementos corporativos. La tasa impositiva ajustada del 22,4% estuvo por encima de las expectativas de la dirección debido a la distribución geográfica de los beneficios.
Los resultados ajustados excluyeron un cargo por deterioro sin efecto en efectivo de 43 millones de dólares relacionado con la optimización de la red AMP y la racionalización de la cartera de productos.
Desempeño operativo y del negocio
El crecimiento del segmento profesional fue generalizado. Las ventas a contratistas del paisajismo aumentaron a un ritmo de dos dígitos, impulsadas por el cortacésped de giro cero rediseñado Exmark Radius, la línea GrandStand MULTI FORCE y la fuerte demanda de Ventrac. Los envíos de equipos para el control de nieve y hielo BOSS también mostraron un buen rendimiento, liderados por las tecnologías de descongelación líquida y el Snowrator.
Las ventas de construcción subterránea crecieron a una tasa de un dígito medio. Los ingresos de HammerHead Bluelight aumentaron más del 30% en lo que va de año, respaldados por la demanda de tecnología de rehabilitación de tuberías. La dirección identificó la construcción subterránea como una prioridad alta en la asignación de capital y señaló que su mayor inversión actual en plantas está destinada a ampliar la capacidad de Ditch Witch.
Los envíos para el sector del golf disminuyeron de forma moderada en comparación con un sólido periodo del año anterior, pero la dirección afirmó que la demanda subyacente sigue siendo saludable. Toro ha instalado cientos de productos autónomos en instalaciones de golf de todo el mundo. Su nuevo rodillo eléctrico para greens está agotado para 2026, mientras que los proyectos y licitaciones de riego para campos de golf se extienden hasta 2029. La actividad de instalación sigue limitada por la disponibilidad de personal de montaje.
El crecimiento del segmento residencial se vio respaldado por la alianza con Lowe’s. La expansión del margen reflejó mejoras de productividad, fijación de precios, apalancamiento por volumen y una comparación favorable con el ajuste de valoración de inventarios del año anterior, compensado en parte por mayores costes de materiales y fabricación.
El programa de productividad AMP ha alcanzado su objetivo de ahorro recurrente de 125 millones de dólares, y la dirección prevé que el ahorro supere dicho objetivo al cierre del ejercicio fiscal. Aunque el programa AMP finalizará en el ejercicio fiscal 2026, la empresa afirmó contar con una cartera adicional de proyectos de productividad y prevé seguir aplicando las prácticas operativas del programa.
Previsiones de la dirección
La dirección elevó la previsión de crecimiento de las ventas netas para el ejercicio fiscal 2026 al 6,3%-6,6%, frente al rango anterior del 4%-6,5%.
Se prevé que las ventas netas del segmento profesional aumenten a una tasa de un dígito medio durante todo el año. Se espera que las ventas netas del segmento residencial se mantengan prácticamente estables, a medida que la empresa deja atrás la fuerte demanda vinculada a la nieve del año anterior.
La previsión de BPA ajustado para el ejercicio fiscal 2026 aumentó a 4,60-4,65 dólares desde los 4,50-4,62 dólares anteriores. El punto medio subió de 4,56 a 4,63 dólares.
Para el cuarto trimestre fiscal de 2026, las previsiones implican:
- Un crecimiento de las ventas netas del 3,9%-5,1%.
- Un BPA ajustado de 0,93-0,98 dólares.
- 7 millones de dólares en devoluciones de aranceles previstas en virtud de la IEEPA.
La estimación de devoluciones para el cuarto trimestre es 5 millones de dólares inferior a la prevista anteriormente, ya que dicho importe se clasificó fuera de la Fase 2. La dirección señaló que el momento en que se recibirá la devolución restante es incierto y solo se incluirá en las previsiones cuando esté disponible.
La dirección no facilitó previsiones formales para el ejercicio fiscal 2027. Sin embargo, señaló que el arrastre del ahorro de AMP debería respaldar una mayor expansión del margen y que la rentabilidad del segmento residencial sigue en camino de volver a niveles de dos dígitos.
Riesgos y áreas de atención
- El margen del segmento profesional disminuyó debido a la mezcla de productos y al aumento de los costes de fabricación. La adquisición de Tornado también tuvo un ligero efecto negativo en el margen durante su primer año.
- Los resultados del segmento residencial siguieron viéndose afectados por el incremento de los costes de fabricación y de los materiales.
- Las condiciones meteorológicas invernales siguen siendo una fuente de incertidumbre para la demanda vinculada a la nieve y la planificación del inventario.
- Las instalaciones de riego en campos de golf están limitadas por la disponibilidad de cuadrillas de montaje, a pesar de contar con una sólida cartera de proyectos.
- El plazo para la recepción de 5 millones de dólares en devoluciones de aranceles según la IEEPA sigue siendo incierto.
- La dirección indicó que los efectos a corto plazo de los aranceles de retorsión de Canadá son relativamente mínimos y ya están incorporados en la previsión del cuarto trimestre, aunque la evolución futura sigue sujeta a cambios.
Aspectos destacados del turno de preguntas de analistas
La dirección describió la construcción subterránea como una prioridad clave de crecimiento e inversión. La demanda se extiende más allá de los centros de datos hacia servicios públicos, banda ancha, revestimiento de tuberías y excavación blanda. La empresa está ampliando la capacidad de producción de Ditch Witch y sigue evaluando oportunidades de adquisición de pequeño, mediano y gran tamaño en esta categoría.
En cuanto al programa AMP, la dirección afirmó que los ahorros son duraderos y deberían seguir respaldando los márgenes tras la finalización formal del programa. Se está estudiando una iniciativa sucesora que probablemente incluirá un componente de crecimiento, aunque no se anunciaron detalles.
El inventario sobre el terreno para el negocio de contratistas del paisajismo se describió como en «excelentes condiciones» al final de la temporada, lo que posiciona a la empresa para responder directamente a la demanda de la primavera.
La dirección declaró que los aranceles no deberían tener un efecto independiente significativo en el ejercicio fiscal 2027 tras tener en cuenta la productividad, la gestión estratégica de compras y los ajustes en la red de fabricación. La empresa prevé que los aranceles pasen a formar parte de su gestión general de la inflación en lugar de ser un factor desproporcionado en los resultados.
Transcripción completa de la conferencia de resultados
Transcripción completa de la conferencia de resultados
Comentarios de la dirección
Operator
Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to The Toro Company's Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. My name is Marvin, and I will be your coordinator for today. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded for replay purposes.
I'll now turn the presentation over to your host for today's conference, Heather Hille, Vice President, Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations. Please proceed, Ms. Hille.
Heather Hille
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us for The Toro Company's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Heather Hille, Vice President of Corporate Affairs and Investor Relations. On the line with me today are Rick Olson, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Edric Funk, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Angie Drake, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Rick, Edric and Angie will provide an overview of our third quarter results, which were released earlier this morning and discuss our priorities and outlook for the remainder of fiscal 2026. Following their remarks, we'll open the phone lines for a question-and-answer session.
Before we begin, please note that any forward-looking statements made today are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risks are detailed in our earnings release, investor presentation and our most recent filings with the SEC. During our remarks, we will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures. We believe these metrics provide useful insight into the company's performance. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in this morning's press release. Both the release and our third quarter supplemental presentation are available in the Investor Information section of our corporate website.
With that, I will now turn the call over to Rick.
Richard Olson
Thank you, Heather, and good morning, everyone. We delivered a strong third quarter, growing net sales 8% and generating adjusted earnings per share of $1.33. The sales momentum from the first half continued into Q3 with both our professional and residential segments growing net sales over 8%.
Within the professional segment, landscape contractor sales increased double digits with underground and specialty construction growing mid-single digits. As expected, golf shipments were down modestly year-over-year against a strong prior year comparison. The strength in professional contractor was driven in part by the redesigned Exmark Radius Zero Turn Mower launched earlier this year. Another key contributor was the GrandStand MULTI FORCE product line now equipped with a new, more powerful and fuel-efficient engine. This versatile standout machine has numerous attachments, enabling customers to expand services increased profitability and remain productive in every season.
Our Ventrac business continues to grow with professional landscape contractors and homeowners with acreage. This season, we added to the more than 30 pro-grade attachments with the newly introduced fence post mower. It virtually eliminates one of the most labor-intensive trimming processes. And it's a great example of our innovation process, identifying a customer pain point and developing an effective solution. Customer response has exceeded expectations with demand already surpassing our initial production run. Rounding out a strong season for professional contractors was a successful Q3 load-in for BOSS snow and ice management products. Liquid de-icing technologies and the snow raider delivered the strongest year-over-year growth rates within the portfolio.
Underground construction continued its strong performance, growing mid-single digits in the third quarter. We have seen increased market adoption for our industrial and utility pipe relining solutions like HammerHead Bluelight, which has grown over 30% year-to-date. This is an advanced cured-in-place pipe rehabilitation system that avoids the disruption of digging a large trench for a full type replacement. Our patented LED Bluelight Curing technology cures up to 5x faster than traditional steam, hot water or ambient care methods.
Moving on to the residential segment. We grew net sales by over 8%, supported by the continued success of our partnership with Lowe's. Importantly, this growth was accompanied by a margin improvement of 400 basis points year-over-year. We remain on track to achieve our goal of sustainable double-digit operating margins in residential. In a moment, Angie will highlight the progress of our AMP program and the resulting margin expansion for the company. In addition to AMP, we are driving working capital improvements. Year-to-date, these improvements have contributed to our $425 million in free cash flow at a conversion rate of 128%. As a result of our strong cash flow, we executed $358 million of share repurchases.
We are entering the fourth quarter with strong momentum and high expectations. Healthy end markets, disciplined execution and ongoing productivity initiatives are driving margin expansion and robust free cash flow. Our strong year-to-date performance gives us the confidence to raise our adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $4.60 to $4.65 and up from our prior range of $4.50 to $4.62, bringing the midpoint up over $0.07 to $4.63.
Now I'll turn the call over to Angie for the details on the quarter.
Angela Drake
Thank you, Rick, and good morning, everyone. Our third quarter results were driven by strong customer demand and disciplined execution. Net sales increased 8.4% to $1.23 billion, or 6.2% organically. Adjusted operating margin was 13.9%, up 30 basis points from the prior year. This improvement was driven primarily by the benefits of our AMP initiative which will exceed our target of $125 million in run rate savings by year-end.
We launched AMP in 2024 to focus on 4 key areas: supply-based transformation, design to value engineering, route-to-market optimization and operational efficiencies. The program has delivered meaningful benefits across each of these areas and have also been instrumental in helping mitigate tariff-related impacts. While AMP will conclude in fiscal 2026, our commitment to continuous improvement will not. Across our supply chain and functional organizations, we will continue to use the muscle gained by the AMP initiative to improve efficiency, reduce complexity and enhance profitability. Productivity is a critical part of The Toro Company's DNA. The net result for Q3 was an adjusted EPS of $1.33. The year-over-year increase was driven by $0.12 from operational performance, $0.05 from share repurchases and $0.06 from tariff refunds. Partially offsetting these benefits was an $0.08 impact from a higher adjusted tax rate and $0.06 of other corporate items, mainly a higher incentive accrual due to year-to-date performance and less red iron income due to lower field inventories.
The adjusted tax rate in the third quarter was 22.4%, higher versus our expectations due to the geographic mix of earnings. Our adjusted earnings excludes a noncash impairment charge of $43 million as part of our AMP related network optimization and product portfolio rationalization.
Moving on to our segment detail. Within professional, net sales increased 8.8%, with 6.1% coming from organic growth. Adjusted operating margin was 20.9%, down 40 basis points year-over-year. This was primarily due to product mix and higher manufacturing costs, partially offset by pricing, productivity improvements and volume leverage. Within residential, net sales increased 8.6%. Adjusted operating margin improved to 5.9%, up 400 basis points year-over-year. The increase was driven by productivity improvements, pricing, volume leverage, and a favorable comparison to a prior year inventory valuation adjustment. These benefits were partially offset by higher material and manufacturing costs.
Turning to balance sheet highlights. We improved inventory by $153 million year-over-year due to lower finished goods balances. Accounts receivable were up slightly as a result of the tornado acquisition with accounts payable also up slightly due to higher purchases with a greater level of sales. As a result, working capital improved [ $217 million ] year-over-year, contributing to the strong free cash flow conversion that Rick mentioned.
Turning to our outlook. We are raising our full year guidance based on our sustained broad-based customer demand and the results of our productivity initiatives. We now expect our full year net sales to be in the range of 6.3% to 6.6%, up from the prior range of 4% to 6.5%. At the segment level, we anticipate professional net sales to be up mid-single digits, continuing the momentum of recent quarters. Residential net sales will be approximately flat as we lapped last year's strong snow-related demand. We are closely monitoring winter weather patterns and will react quickly as the season develops.
Moving to profitability. The adjusted EPS range is expected to be between $4.60 to $4.65, up from our prior range of $4.50 to $4.62. The midpoint of our guidance increases from $4.56 to $4.63, reflecting our third quarter outperformance and a better outlook for the fourth quarter. The implied fourth quarter guidance puts net sales between 3.9% and 5.1% and adjusted EPS between $0.93 and $0.98. This guidance includes $7 million of anticipated IEEPA refunds. That is less than the previously expected $12 million as $5 million has been classified as outside of Phase 2. The refund timing of this portion of IEEPA refunds is uncertain given the current process. If they are available in the future, we will include them in our guidance at that time. We continue to build our business for long-term profitable growth. This includes prioritizing innovation investments that we believe will deliver outstanding returns driving sustainable margin expansion with disciplined execution, including our productivity initiatives and leveraging the talents of our team and the power of our best-in-class distribution networks. We are confident in our ability to drive significant benefits and opportunities for all of our stakeholders.
With that, I will turn the call over to Edric.
Edric Funk
Thank you, Angie. I'd like to start today by recognizing and thanking Rick for his leadership, partnership and unwavering commitment to The Toro Company and its people. Rick has led the organization through a remarkable period of transformation and growth. His vision is strengthened the portfolio. And under his guidance, the company has successfully navigated the many macro and geopolitical challenges of the past 10 years.
Today, the company is in a position of strength and poised to capture the opportunities ahead. The team did just that in the third quarter as evidenced by our adjusted operating earnings growth of 11%. This was underpinned by our constant focus on operational excellence. One example was our recent Supplier Summit, which brought together more than 180 organizations. The event reinforced our dedication to building strong supplier partnerships that support supply continuity, innovation and productivity. Direct engagement between leaders of The Toro Company and our supplier partners creates opportunity to identify and accelerate continuous improvement initiatives. And to strengthen long-term partnerships that create value for both The Toro and our customers.
Relationships have always been a strength of the total company, and our Golf business is one great example. In early August, we welcomed 36 golf course leaders to our headquarters, representing top courses from across North America. Participants raved about our engineering and manufacturing operations and we're highly enthusiastic about our emerging technology demonstrations in the areas of automation, artificial intelligence, electrification and connected solutions. The investment we make in people and relationships continues to pay dividends. After 2 years of exceptional double-digit growth, Golf continues to perform in line with our expectations this year. More importantly, the industry's underlying drivers remain strong. We've now placed hundreds of autonomous products across golf facilities worldwide, including the Turf Pro, Range Pro and GeoLink Autonomous Fairway Mower.
Toro's Autonomous Solutions demonstrated their capabilities on one of golf's biggest stages when Shinnecock Hills hosted the 126th U.S. open. During Tournament Week, the Turf Pro 500 and Range Pro 100 operated together in the practice area with the Range Pro autonomously collecting golf balls while the Turf Pro simultaneously maintained the turf. This showcased how automation can help customers to optimize labor resources even under the most demanding conditions.
I'm very proud of our team for the successful launch of our GeoLink Autonomous Fairway Mower. This product combines the trusted excellence of our renowned quality of cut with advanced autonomous technology to help golf courses maintain superior playing services, all from a smartphone app, and allowing the ground screw to track on or more units as they perform other work on the course. While we've already made considerable progress with this technology, I'm even more excited about what's to come. Next spring, we will add another model, the larger Reelmaster 5010-H as we accelerate the commercialization of our autonomous platform launches. We're also seeing excellent adoption of other new product introductions within Golf. The new electric greens roller is already sold out for 2026. This reflects customer appreciation for both its intuitive controls and the built-in pass alignment feature that helps the crew achieve uniform and repeatable results.
In addition, the fact that it's all electric eliminates the risk of oil leaks on sensitive putting surfaces. Demand across our businesses continues to be broad-based, strong adoption of new products, continued healthy conditions in golf and sustained strength in underground and specialty construction position us well to deliver on our updated full year guidance. Looking forward, our team remains highly focused on key strategic initiatives that will deliver long-term sustainable value for customers and shareholders alike.
Now I'll turn the call back over to Rick for some closing remarks.
Richard Olson
Thank you, Edric. During the past decade, I have had the privilege of leading The Toro Company and working alongside an extraordinary team of dedicated and talented employees. Together, we have accelerated growth, doubling revenues and expanding into new markets. We completed 10 strategic acquisitions, including our largest ever in Charles Machine Works. These investments strengthened and diversified our portfolio, making us more resilient and reducing our reliance on weather patterns and consumer purchase cycles.
The strong performance by Ditch Witch, Ventrac and Tornado this quarter reflects the positive impact of the strategy and the value it creates for all stakeholders. We also significantly advanced our technology capabilities, whether helping customers reduce downtime through fleet management solutions, addressing labor challenges with autonomous technologies are offering high-performance gas and electric product options we continue to innovate. Today, we are expanding these capabilities with AI-enabled business processes and product innovations such as our spatial adjust precision irrigation technology. Our team remains focused on execution and delivering value for customers. Our end markets are healthy, inventory levels are well positioned, and we continue to see encouraging demand trends across the business.
I would like to thank our employees, channel partners and shareholders for their continued partnership, dedication and trust. I am confident in our ability to deliver on our updated full year guidance and to finish the year strong. I am also confident in The Toro Company's future with Edric at the helm. He is an exceptional leader who understands our business, customers and people. And I know that he and the team will continue to build on our momentum, leading the company into its next chapter of growth and success. Now we'll open up the line for questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from the line of David MacGregor of Longbow Research.
Preguntas y respuestas
David S. MacGregor
It seems like -- and Rick, thanks for all the help over the last years span, but really been a pleasure working with you, and I wish you well with whatever comes next. I wanted to -- I guess, I wanted to explore the Ditch Witch business, the underground construction business. And it seems as though there's been a more of a normalization perhaps now as well as some of the benefits from the productivity program. But I wonder if you could just talk about where we are right now in terms of margin contribution there and the extent to which maybe there's further upside yet to be achieved?
Richard Olson
Yes. Thanks for asking about the underground business, we are extraordinarily excited about the underground business and particularly the future runway for opportunity there, both for growth, which is driven by the market demand across -- we talk about data centers, but also utility works broadband, et cetera. But the opportunity is to continue to grow in profitability internally with the work that we've done the trajectory from the acquisition to now is pretty remarkable from a profitability standpoint. We see more opportunity there.
If you look specifically, data centers, for example, as an example, we're just looking at a case study -- it's not so much the work that's done on the site. It's the work that's done to get the data, the power and the utilities to the site. Just an example, in Frederick, Maryland, 14 miles, 25 drills, 160 people that took to get the data only to that 10-month project. So Data centers are a deal for us, but it's just one slice of the demand that we see in that area. So that would be more of a drill and a trencher type of opportunity. And then I think we -- you just heard us feature the relining capabilities with our patented Blue Light system that's multiple times faster than other methods for rehabilitating.
So -- and then lastly, just the impact of Tornado. And as we've talked about previously, those are our key tools on the drill sites or underground sites that's adjacent to our products, but they also open up nodes to new opportunities of growth just for soft excavation in general as that becomes more important than required in many areas.
David S. MacGregor
Great. And just to build on that, I guess, you've done the tornado acquisition here. Can you just talk about the extent to which maybe underground is growing as a priority within your capital allocation process? And the extent to which we might expect inorganic growth to continue there.
Richard Olson
It is a high priority for us, and it cuts across different investment categories or the largest investment currently in our plants is taking place to unleash unlock more capacity within our facilities for the Ditch Witch business, and it is a high priority from a nonorganic perspective as well. We think there are -- continue to be opportunities for small, medium and large opportunities within that category as we go forward. So if you're exactly right, it does go to the top of our list in several of those categories just based on the opportunity and the runway for continued growth.
David S. MacGregor
Right. And my second question, I wanted to just explore the AMP program here because you've reached $125 million in terms of program to date. I'm not sure what you've got planned, whether there's a formal AMP 2.0 program or whether this is just something you're going to continue to leverage off going forward. But if you think about the -- I realize it's a little early to be talking about 2027. But just from a construct standpoint, you talked about 8% sort of EPS 8% to 10% EPS growth is part of your algorithm, but it seems like there's some unrealized drop the earnings line from the AMP program as well. And so I guess I'm thinking about 2027 earnings. And I'm just thinking whether there's a carryover benefit from AMP that should be supplemental to that 8% to 10% sort of algorithmic growth next year and we see maybe an above our average level of bottom line growth.
Angela Drake
Thanks for the question, David. I'm really pleased with how the AMP initiative has worked for us and created really durable earnings and margin improvements throughout our business. But we also have said, I think, many times that the timing could not have been better as it helped us offset some of the tariff-related impacts and inflationary impacts that we've seen over the past few years.
We did mention in our prepared remarks that we expect to achieve our $125 million run rate savings by year-end. We've actually made it there and still have a productivity pipeline in place and expect that to continue in the future. I think as we look forward, once we -- what we would say, we're not ready to guide you for F '27, but we would certainly say that this has created a durable earnings margin potential for us. And what you're referring to is our 8% to 10% kind of near-term growth expectations for EPS. The fact that we had to offset use some of those savings to offset tariffs and commodity inflation, we're not realizing all of that in this year in F '26. But as we move forward and realize those run rate savings as we move into F '27, we should be able to see continued margin expansion, to your point.
Operator
And our next question comes from the line of Mike Shlisky of the D.A. Davidson & Co.
Michael Shlisky
Yes. And I just want to echo Rick, I want to echo thank you for all the information over the last decade or so, it's just been great working with you and talking with you now has been tremendous and [indiscernible] to all of us has been great. So I really appreciate it.
To answer my questions -- [indiscernible] my question, I want to follow up on David's question about the program. It sounds like you've gotten to where you wanted it to be and even better. But you've always had kind of a name strategic initiative that the team works on internal [indiscernible] is not guidance, this is on target, couple of years away. It actually pretty much reached the state of that goals. Is there a new name program in the works? And could it actually be a sales-related growth program rather than the margin that we want this coming time around?
Edric Funk
Mike, it's Edric here. And thanks for the question. We've actually been giving that a lot of consideration and are working on what's next. So as Angie alluded to all the way back when we kicked off the AMP program, our intention and our hope was that the initiative would ultimately become just more ingrained in the culture and something that we'd operationalize over time. And so we don't expect to deviate or lose ground on that. But we are, in fact, looking at what might be next and not ready to announce anything specific today, but we do anticipate having another initiative and likely will have some element of growth that's part of that.
Michael Shlisky
Great. I also want to ask about some of the details on the Golf business. I guess you had a lot of detail to kind of say about autonomous growth and just broadly to being a strong business. You didn't mention much about irrigation. And I've been hearing a lot about both taking on some pretty big projects and some courses around the U.S. Can you comment on how that's been going order-wise, installation wise and also globally, how is [indiscernible] performed for Toro this year?
Edric Funk
Thanks for asking. Irrigation has remained strong for us. We've been mentioning in several of the previous calls, just about the significant pipeline of projects and demand remains really, really strong there. And that's fueled by things we've talked about before, a number of courses that have reached really the end of their useful life for their irrigation system. And so they're looking at doing upgrades and replacements and tapping into some of the new technology that we've developed.
So the demand remains really strong and the installation rate has been somewhat gated as we've talked about, by availability of crews to do the work, and that continues to be the case. But we're seeing projects on the books and bids taking place as far out as 2029. So it's been a good year this year, and we expect that demand and momentum to continue.
Operator
Our next question comes from the line of Tim Wojs of Baird.
Timothy Wojs
Rick, it's been great working with you. Edric, congrats on being on a [indiscernible] going forward. Maybe just first question for me. It sounds like the [indiscernible] garden or the professional contractor business had some pretty good volume growth this quarter. How much of that was kind of snow? How much of that was kind of product specifics in Toro? And I guess as you're kind of exiting the season and the contractor side, how would you kind of assess field inventories at this point, just given we've seen some areas that you're out here over the past few months?
Richard Olson
Sure. If you just look at landscape contractor in general, really broad-based demand across really the categories that you mentioned. We saw very strong demand from -- for our Boeing products throughout the summer, contractors came into the prime mowing season this year feeling healthy from a healthy snow season in the prior year. So it came in -- they came in good condition. We were in a good position from a field inventory standpoint. And really, landscape contractor was a key driver for the quarter.
The BOSS shipments that go on to those same contractors, many of them are the same. We're very strong. And it was great to see some of the categories beyond pause, the liquid de-icing and the snow reader products really were strong contributors to that as well. So I think that gets to the last part of the question. It is the innovation and the new products that caused the overperformance probably relative to the market there. The excitement about the refreshment of the Exmark products like the Radius Zero Turn Mower. And the area that we talked about that is a contractor pool that we haven't talked about a lot about in the last a couple of years as Ventrac. Ventrac acquisition from 2020, one of the strongest contributors in terms of percentage growth in the quarter. And I mentioned in the prepared remarks the importance of attachments and it's a super versal machine the latest, it sounds like a small deal, but defense post streaming, if you can do that autonomously or automatically, that's a huge productivity pickup for a contractor and even someone that has an acreage or something like that. And what it does is it drives tractor sales.
And so it's innovation tied to a healthy market tied to the strength of our portfolio that drives that for us. And the homeowners, I will say homeowners with acreage that are part of that. They had a decent year. It was -- they're a little bit more responsive if you get into drier conditions during the latter part of the season. So a little bit, a little bit slower there.
Timothy Wojs
Okay. And do you feel like the field is okay exiting kind of the season? Or how would you describe that?
Richard Olson
We entered in good condition. We are leaving in great condition. So it sets us up for a direct impact of demand as that starts in the spring.
Timothy Wojs
Okay. Okay. I know it's not a huge part of your business, but just as you -- as investors are kind of thinking about more headlines around super [indiscernible], how are you guys kind of planning that internally? And how does your customer base kind of think about planning for potentially warmer kind of northern temperatures in the rent care?
Edric Funk
Tim, we're trying to prepare for any potential outcomes. If you've studied the history as we have around what happens when there isn't El Nino, in particular, the strong El Nino, certainly, there are areas that get less snowfall. Other areas receive more than normal as the atmosphere continues to warm. We know that it holds more moisture. And so it sets up the possibility for more extreme snow events.
So I'd say as we go into the season, we're prepared for the season. We're not going to overextend ourselves but we're not going to overreact in either direction. And you may remember last year, we set ourselves up when we had a better snow season than perhaps expected that we were able to react quickly and add some product that ultimately flow through to retail we're making sure that we've set ourselves up with the same ability to respond if conditions warranted, but also on the other side, balancing against -- not wanting to get back into where field inventory becomes a problem if the weather pattern plays out in a way that we don't have strong snowfall.
Timothy Wojs
Okay. Okay. Understood. And then just 2 questions on margins. So first, on the Pro margin, I know down year-over-year. If you would take out tornado, how did the Pro margins perform on a year-over-year basis? And then second, the $5 million less of tariffs that's in guidance, which quarter did that kind of get taken out of? Was it Q3 or Q4 or bold?
Angela Drake
Yes. Tim, this is Angie. So your question on Pro margin, Tornado does have an impact, as we had mentioned at acquisition time. that we would see sales growth coming from that, the inorganic sales growth but that it wouldn't have a strong impact on margin in year 1. So there is a little bit of a negative impact to our overall operating margin from the Tornado acquisition. And the IEEPA refund, the $5 million is coming out of Q4. So as we think about our guidance and implied guidance for Q4, that really comes out with the residential operating margin for the most part.
Operator
And our next question comes from the line of Sam Darkatsh of RJA.
Sam Darkatsh
Edric, again, congratulations on the new post. And Rick, I'm going to obviously, echo what everybody else has said. It's been an absolute pleasure working with you over the years. It's been a heck of a ride, too, and I'm very hopeful that our paths cross again very, very soon.
A few questions here. First off, as it relates to the Canadian retaliatory tariffs. Have you been able to ballpark or ring fence what the general impact might look like at this point? I know it probably affects tornado at a minimum and whether that is included within your fourth quarter guidance?
Edric Funk
Yes, Sam, I can speak to that a bit. So the -- obviously, the tariff situation is an ever unfolding ever dynamic situation. But based on what is already taken place and what's going into effect here in the near term, really minimal impact to our business. And that just has to do with which tariffs apply to our product lines that we import. So there's some yet to unfold discussions Rick that's taken place that could change things for next year, and we'll monitor that closely. But we have factored everything into our Q4 guidance and the impact is relatively minimal.
And then on the export side as it relates to the retaliatory side of things, it has, in some cases, caused our channel partners to ask about making adjustments to the flow of product as they prepare for their upcoming seasons. And so we're working closely with them to manage that -- to manage that flow product as well. So I'd say, the summary, comment is everything is contemplated in the updated guidance and relatively minimal impact here in the near term.
Sam Darkatsh
Got it. And then the second question, Angie, you could help a little bit with a bridge. I know it's early and way too early for fiscal '27 guidance per se. But just some line items or factors that are a bit exogenous as it relates to gross tariffs year-on-year refunds year-on-year. I'm coming up with somewhere around a refund headwind somewhere around $10 million to $15 million and a gross tariff headwind of somewhere around $20 million to $40 million year-on-year. Is that math generally accurate? I know you're going to be offsetting it with AMP, you'll offset it with pricing. I'm just trying to get a sense of the gross cost headwinds next year.
Edric Funk
Yes. I could speak to that one as well, Sam. And the -- I'm trying to see where you may have come up with those numbers. I can probably follow what you might be assuming there. I'd suggest maybe if we take a step back, we're reaching a point where I think it's not particularly useful to look at the tariff number as a stand-alone number anymore. And I say that because as you alluded to, there are productivity things that we've put in place. We've made some strategic sourcing decisions. We've continued to make adjustments to our manufacturing network.
And so when you net all of those things out, even with a slight adjustment in the timing of refunds, as we look forward, we don't expect next year for tariffs to have a meaningful impact really in one way or the other, rather than it just becomes part of the overall inflationary message. And as you alluded to, we won't do formal guidance until next quarter, but I'd be happy to share how we're thinking about next year, which is we expect to carry in really strong momentum as we start F '27. We expect our markets to remain strong and continued demand from across the entire portfolio. We talked a bit about AMP Angie reinforce there as we move some of this year's run rate savings into next year's in-year savings. That will help to be a part of offsetting headwinds, whether they're tariff related or otherwise.
We're expecting our residential business to return to double-digit profitability as we've been signaling for a while. We're on track to do that. And at the end of the day, expected it will continue to expand margins overall. And we'll do all of that while continuing to add growth to the company, and that's growth fueled not only by the market strength that I described, but also by new product introductions. So we're just really excited about next year, to be perfectly honest. And the tariff piece is something we've got a team that's paying attention to, but that's not presenting any kind of outsized influence on our thinking.
Operator
This concludes the question-and-answer session. Ms. Hille, please proceed to closing remarks.
Heather Hille
Thank you, everyone, for your questions and interest in the Toro Company. We look forward to talking with you again in December to discuss our fiscal 2026 fourth quarter and full year results.
Operator
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This concludes the program. You may now disconnect.
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