Mobia Medical (MOBI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call: Umsatz steigt um 73 %, Prognose angehoben
Mobia Medical verzeichnete im dritten Quartal 2026 ein starkes Wachstum: Der Umsatz stieg im Jahresvergleich um 73 % auf 15,6 Millionen US-Dollar, gestützt durch den Erfolg des Vivistim-Therapiesystems und rund 425 verkaufte Einheiten. Die Bruttomarge verbesserte sich auf 83,2 %. Dennoch weitete sich der Nettoverlust auf 17,3 Millionen US-Dollar aus, da das Unternehmen intensiv in die Vertriebsinfrastruktur und den Ausbau aktiver Regionen investierte. Angesichts der positiven Dynamik hob das Management die Gesamtjahresumsatzprognose auf 57,0 bis 57,5 Millionen US-Dollar an. Die liquiden Mittel beliefen sich zum Quartalsende auf 160,7 Millionen US-Dollar.
Wichtigste Erkenntnisse
- Der Umsatz im dritten Quartal 2026 stieg im Jahresvergleich um 73 % auf 15,6 Millionen US-Dollar, getragen von einer breiteren Akzeptanz von Vivistim und rund 425 verkauften Einheiten.
- Das Wachstum ging überproportional von bestehenden Kunden aus, während die durchschnittliche Anzahl aktiver Vertriebsregionen im Jahresvergleich um 78 % von 22,5 auf 40 zulegte.
- Die Bruttomarge verbesserte sich von 79,6 % auf 83,2 %, was vor allem auf geringere Fracht- und Zollkosten sowie niedrigere Bestandsabschreibungen zurückzuführen war.
- Die Betriebskosten stiegen auf 31,5 Millionen US-Dollar und der Nettoverlust weitete sich auf 17,3 Millionen US-Dollar aus, da Mobia Medical weiterhin in seine Vertriebsorganisation investierte.
- Die Unternehmensführung hob die Umsatzprognose für das Gesamtjahr 2026 von 54 bis 56 Millionen US-Dollar auf 57,0 bis 57,5 Millionen US-Dollar an, was einem jährlichen Wachstum von rund 78 % bis 79 % entspricht.
- Die liquiden Mittel beliefen sich zum 30. September 2026 auf 160,7 Millionen US-Dollar.
Wichtigste Finanzkennzahlen
| Kennzahl | Q3 2026 | Q3 2025 | Veränderung / Kommentar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Umsatz | 15,6 Millionen US-Dollar | 9,0 Millionen US-Dollar | Plus 73 % im Jahresvergleich |
| Verkaufte Einheiten | Rund 425 | — | Getrieben durch die Akzeptanz bei neuen und bestehenden Programmen |
| Bruttomarge | 83,2 % | 79,6 % | Anstieg vor allem infolge niedrigerer Fracht- und Zollkosten sowie geringerer Bestandsabschreibungen |
| Betriebskosten | 31,5 Millionen US-Dollar | 18,4 Millionen US-Dollar | Höhere Personalkosten sowie 2,2 Millionen US-Dollar an zusätzlichen aktienbasierten Vergütungen |
| Nettoverlust | 17,3 Millionen US-Dollar | 11,4 Millionen US-Dollar | Verlust im Jahresvergleich ausgeweitet |
| Nettoverlust je Aktie | 0,52 US-Dollar | 13,31 US-Dollar | Vergleich durch den Anstieg der Aktienanzahl infolge des Börsengangs im Mai 2026 und der Umwandlung von Wertpapieren beeinflusst |
| Durchschnittliche Anzahl aktiver Vertriebsregionen | 40 | 22,5 | Plus 78 % im Jahresvergleich |
| Liquide Mittel | 160,7 Millionen US-Dollar | — | Bestand zum 30. September 2026 |
Geschäftliche und operative Entwicklung
Vivistim blieb der zentrale Wachstumstreiber. Das von der FDA zugelassene Gerät ist für geeignete Patienten nach einem chronischen ischämischen Schlaganfall bestimmt, die unter mittelschweren bis schweren Beeinträchtigungen der oberen Extremitäten leiden. Mobia Medical erklärte, die höheren Absatzzahlen spiegelten eine breitere Akzeptanz sowohl bei neuen als auch bei bestehenden Vivistim-Programmen wider, wobei Bestandskunden überproportional zum Quartalswachstum beitrugen.
Das Unternehmen definiert eine aktive Vertriebsregion als ein Gebiet, in dem seit mindestens neun Monaten ein Territory Manager tätig ist. Mobia Medical plant, neue Gebiete weiterhin in einem maßvollen und stetigen Tempo aufzubauen. Das Vertriebsmodell sieht vor, dass Territory Manager eng mit Therapy Development Specialists zusammenarbeiten, um Klinikprogramme, Zuweisungswege und Kooperationen mit ambulanten Therapiezentren aufzubauen.
Die Unternehmensleitung hob hervor, dass die gepaarte Vagusnervstimulation im August in die überarbeiteten Leitlinien der American Heart Association und der American Stroke Association zur Rehabilitation nach Schlaganfällen aufgenommen wurde. Nach Angaben des Unternehmens steigert diese Anerkennung das Interesse von Ärzten. Als Beispiel nannte Mobia Medical einen Klinikverbund, der eine zunächst auf Krankenhausebene geplante Einführung auf das gesamte integrierte Versorgungsnetzwerk ausgeweitet hat.
Die Kostenerstattung bleibt ein wesentlicher Bestandteil der Strategie. Vivistim verfügt über einen CPT-Code der Kategorie 1, der mit einem durchschnittlichen Medicare-Erstattungssatz von rund 45.000 US-Dollar verknüpft ist. Das Management erklärte zudem, dass die jüngste endgültige OPPS-Regelung (OPPS Final Rule) die Fortführung der aktuellen Erstattungsstrategie stützt.
Mobia Medical schätzt seinen adressierbaren Markt in den USA auf über 30 Milliarden US-Dollar. Das Unternehmen rechnet damit, im Jahr 2027 den ersten Teil seines GRASP-Registers zu veröffentlichen, um die bestehenden klinischen Daten durch Real-World-Evidence zu ergänzen.
Ausblick der Unternehmensleitung
Das Management hob die Umsatzprognose für das Gesamtjahr 2026 von der bisherigen Spanne von 54 bis 56 Millionen US-Dollar auf 57,0 bis 57,5 Millionen US-Dollar an. Der revidierte Ausblick entspricht einem erwarteten Wachstum von rund 78 % bis 79 % gegenüber 2025.
Der Ausblick stützt sich auf die fortgesetzte Expansion der Vertriebsgebiete in den USA, die Stabilität der Patienten-Pipeline sowie die Dynamik von Kliniken, die Vivistim-Programme aktivieren und in diese investieren.
Das Management erwartet, dass die Bruttomarge im niedrigen 80-Prozent-Bereich bleibt. Investitionen in den Vertrieb bilden weiterhin den zentralen Ausgabenschwerpunkt, darunter Territory Manager, Therapy Development Specialists, Kapazitäten für Vorabgenehmigungen sowie die Patientenaufklärung.
Risiken und wichtige Beobachtungspunkte
- Die Betriebskosten wuchsen im dritten Quartal schneller als der Umsatz, was die anhaltenden Neueinstellungen und Investitionen in die Vertriebsinfrastruktur widerspiegelt.
- Der Nettoverlust weitete sich trotz des Umsatzwachstums und der Margenverbesserung von 11,4 Millionen auf 17,3 Millionen US-Dollar aus.
- Neue Vertriebsregionen erfordern Investitionen über einen Zeitraum von rund neun Monaten, bevor das Unternehmen sie als aktiv einstuft.
- Nach Angaben der Unternehmensleitung hängt eine breitere Kostenübernahme durch die Kostenträger von mehreren Faktoren ab, darunter ausreichend fundierte Real-World-Evidence und die Anzahl erstatteter Leistungsansprüche.
- Das Unternehmen befindet sich noch in einer frühen Phase des Marktaufbaus und legte keine detaillierte Aufschlüsselung zwischen der Gebietsexpansion und dem Produktivitätswachstum vor.
Wichtigste Punkte der Analysten-Fragerunde
- Umsatztreiber: Das Management führte das Wachstum im dritten Quartal auf die vertriebliche Umsetzung zurück und erklärte, dass Bestandskunden einen überproportionalen Anteil des Anstiegs generierten.
- Gebietsexpansion: Das Unternehmen beabsichtigt, neue Vertriebsregionen in gleichmäßigem Tempo hinzuzufügen, nannte jedoch kein konkretes Quartalsziel.
- Produktivität reifer Regionen: Das Management rechnet damit, dass die Behandlungsvolumina in den Kliniken über einen längeren Zeitraum steigen werden; allerdings sei der Vertriebsaufbau noch in einem zu frühen Stadium, um die Reifekurve zu beziffern.
- Klinische Evidenz: Die erste Veröffentlichung aus dem GRASP-Register wird für das Jahr 2027 erwartet. Das Management betrachtet Real-World-Evidence als einen Baustein zur Förderung der Akzeptanz bei Ärzten und einer potenziellen Kostenträgerabdeckung.
- Kapitalallokation: Neueinstellungen im Vertrieb, Unterstützung bei Vorabgenehmigungen und Patientenaufklärung bleiben die zentralen Investitionsschwerpunkte.
Vollständiges Transkript der Telefonkonferenz
Vollständiges Transkript der Telefonkonferenz
Ausführungen des Managements
Operator
I would now like to turn the call over to Louisa Smith of Gilmartin Group Investor Relations for Mobia Medical. Louisa, please go ahead. Thank you.
Louisa Smith
Good afternoon, and thank you for being on today's call. Joining me from Mobia Medical are Richard Foust, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Bunker Curnes, Chief Financial Officer. Earlier today, Mobia Medical issued a press release announcing financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is available on the Investor Relations section of the company's website.
Before we begin, I would like to remind you that management will make remarks during this call that constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws and that are being made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Any statements made during this call that relate to expectations or predictions of future events, results, or performance, including our full year 2026 revenue guidance, are forward-looking statements. These statements involve material risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated or implied by these forward-looking statements.
Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements. For a full list and description of the risks and uncertainties associated with our business, please refer to the section captioned Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations in our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This conference call contains time-sensitive information and is accurate only as of the live broadcast today, November 5, 2026. Mobia Medical disclaims any intention or obligation, except as required by law, to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events, or otherwise. With that, I will now turn the call over to Richard.
Richard Foust
Thank you, Louisa. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. We are pleased to welcome you to Mobia Medical's Q3 2026 earnings call and are eager to share some details behind our strong third quarter performance.
But first, we will begin with a real patient story that grounds us in why we do this work. Bill was 52 at the height of his career and in excellent physical condition when he suffered an ischemic stroke after his daily run. He lost nearly all function in his right arm and hand that day. Over the next 3 months, he underwent intensive physical therapy, but his arm remained immobile. Because the hospital where Bill was treated was a Vivistim center, his care team brought him back for evaluation once his recovery plateaued. And he began Vivistim therapy 6 months after his stroke.
After just 6 weeks of Vivistim therapy, he had made more progress than in the previous 6 months. He is now dressing independently, tying his shoes with both hands, and preparing meals. That was in 2022. And today, there is nothing he cannot do independently. Bill's story shows what is possible with Vivistim therapy. And his story is not an outlier. Every day, we hear from enthusiastic patients whose lives have been changed with Vivistim therapy. These patient stories are why we are so committed to this mission, and this quarter's results show that our work is paying off.
Let me take you through our Q3 results and outlook for the rest of 2026. Revenue totaled $15.6 million for the quarter, representing a 73% growth over the prior year. With this performance and the strong fundamentals of the business, we are raising our full-year revenue guidance. We now expect total 2026 revenue in the range of $57.0 million to $57.5 million, up from our prior guidance of $54 million to $56 million. Bunker will cover additional financial details and guidance assumptions later in our remarks.
This quarter's performance reflects the strong fundamentals of our business. We address a large unmet need with a clinically validated solution that is generating patient demand, backed by strong market access and a favorable financial profile. Let me take a moment to discuss each of those elements. First, we are addressing a compelling unmet need for a highly motivated patient population that is symptomatic. There are approximately 9 million ischemic stroke survivors in the United States, many living with lasting impairments in their arms and hands. And until Vivistim therapy, there were no proven options once their recovery plateaued.
This is why patients and healthcare providers are eager to adopt Vivistim therapy, the first and only clinically validated, FDA-approved device for chronic ischemic stroke survivors with moderate to severe upper extremity impairments. And most importantly, we have successfully treated patients several decades after their strokes. With Vivistim therapy, there is no expiration date on recovery. Second, Vivistim therapy is backed by strong and growing clinical evidence and physician support. Our published clinical data demonstrates meaningful clinical improvement, durability through 2 years, and reproducibility in real-world settings.
This evidence, alongside growing adoption, is driving increased awareness in the physician community. In August, we were pleased to announce that the American Heart Association and American Stroke Association revised their stroke recovery guidelines to include paired vagus nerve stimulation as a treatment option for improving upper limb function for eligible chronic stroke survivors. Recognition of Vivistim therapy by one of the most influential professional organizations in our space is a huge testament to the quality of our clinical evidence and the profound impact of our patient outcomes.
As we continue to collect and publish real-world data, we believe that similar recognition from additional professional societies will follow, and that this will serve as a key building block in establishing broad utilization and payer coverage across the country. Third, we continue to be well positioned on reimbursement with a well-established Category 1 CPT code associated with an average Medicare payment rate of approximately $45,000 and a highly effective in-house prior authorization and market access team.
Vivistim therapy is accessible to patients, and hospitals are getting paid for performing the procedure. With a large serviceable market, which we estimate to be over $30 billion in the U.S. alone, a highly valued product, and a gross margin above 80%, we have all the ingredients for a sustainable, high-growth business that can create operating leverage at scale. We have a unique opportunity in front of us. Our commercial engine is optimized to capture it effectively through a thoughtful process of building new territories, launching Vivistim programs, and engaging patients in the stroke ecosystem.
I'm going to dive a little bit deeper into the specifics of what this market build looks like. Our field team is organized into territories, each with a territory manager or TM and a therapy development specialist or TDS. TMs are responsible for partnering with hospitals and healthcare providers, while TDSs partner with therapy sites and support patient education in the community. TMs focus on engaging with stroke hospitals. Stroke hospitals have the expertise and infrastructure to lead the way in defining new standards of care for chronic stroke recovery.
They are the center of the stroke care ecosystem with connections to occupational and physical therapy sites in the community that enable the continuity of care beyond acute survival and into chronic recovery. We estimate there is a relatively concentrated base of approximately 1,500 primary and comprehensive stroke centers across the United States. At each stroke hospital, our TMs build relationships with the entire stroke care team, including neurosurgeons, neurologists, physiatrists, and stroke coordinators.
Our TMs learn how acute stroke care currently works at each site and then determine how Vivistim programs can fit in so that the hospital has a comprehensive chronic stroke recovery pathway. In concert, our TDSs work with the stroke care ecosystem outside of the hospital, such as therapy sites and patient support groups, to drive awareness and referrals. Our TDSs also onboard the therapy sites around the stroke hospital that will deliver in-clinic therapy to Vivistim patients and partner with these sites to ensure care continuity and successful patient outcomes.
Putting that together, each new Vivistim program we open is a stroke hospital that will screen and implant patients with connections to the therapy sites that will identify eligible patients and provide in-clinic Vivistim therapy after implant. This is what constitutes a high-quality, sustainable Vivistim program. Importantly, we are not disrupting existing care pathways. Rather, we are extending the treatment continuum beyond the acute and subacute phases. Through this process, we are creating advocates for Vivistim therapy, not just creating users of our technology.
Our third quarter reflects continued success in building the market for Vivistim therapy, increased awareness and recognition among the physician community, Vivistim programs built with care and attention, and more patients experiencing new possibilities in their recovery journey. Whether they are returning to their favorite hobby, picking up their grandchild again, or cooking a meal on their own, our patients continue regaining independence that was once out of their reach. That is Mobia's why, and we are just getting started. With that, I will turn the call over to Bunker to review our third quarter financial results. Bunker?
Nelson Curnes
Thank you, Richard, and good afternoon, everyone. Total revenue for the third quarter of 2026 was $15.6 million, representing year-over-year growth of 73% compared to $9 million in the third quarter of 2025. We sold approximately 425 units in the quarter. This growth was driven by the broader adoption of Vivistim therapy at both new and existing programs, leading to higher unit sales. Revenue came in ahead of our expectations, driven primarily by success in our existing programs.
Our patient funnel continues to create consistent, predictable revenue for our business, and with a massive TAM still ahead of us, we are excited about our trajectory going forward. As a reminder, we define an active territory as one that has had a territory manager in role for at least 9 months. In the third quarter, we expanded our footprint to 40 average active territories, an increase of 78% over the 22.5 average active territories in the same period last year. We anticipate continuing to add new territories at a relatively consistent pace.
Our gross margin was 83.2% for the third quarter of 2026, compared to 79.6% in the third quarter of 2025. The increase in gross margin was primarily due to lower freight and tariff costs, recognized in cost of goods sold as a percent of sales, as well as lower inventory write-offs compared to the prior-year period. As expected, our per-unit product costs remained relatively consistent this quarter, and we continue to expect gross margin to remain in the low 80s moving forward.
Total operating expenses for the quarter were $31.5 million versus $18.4 million in the prior-year period. The increase in OPEX spending is primarily due to an increase in personnel-related expenses driven by headcount, particularly within our commercial organization, as well as $2.2 million in additional stock-based compensation expense. We continue to invest in our commercial organization and the infrastructure needed to support growth while remaining focused on improving operating leverage over time.
Net loss was $17.3 million, or $0.52 per share, in the third quarter of 2026, compared to a net loss of $11.4 million, or $13.31 per share, in the third quarter of 2025. Year-over-year improvement in net loss per share primarily reflects the significant increase in common shares outstanding following the company's May 2026 IPO and the related conversion of outstanding convertible preferred stock and convertible notes into common stock.
Turning to the balance sheet, cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2026 were $160.7 million. Looking ahead to the remainder of 2026, we are raising our revenue guidance and now expect total revenue to be in the range of $57 million to $57.5 million, representing growth of approximately 78% to 79% over the full year 2025, compared to our prior guidance of $54 million to $56 million.
This outlook reflects our continued confidence in our commercial strategy, including our expansion of sales territories across the U.S., the durability of our patient funnel, and momentum from hospitals activating and investing in their Vivistim programs. With that, I will turn the call back to Richard for a few closing comments.
Richard Foust
Thanks, Bunker. We continue to be enthusiastic about the opportunity ahead of us. We are addressing a significant unmet need with a first-of-its-kind therapy that is backed by robust clinical evidence and growing recognition in the physician community. Our business has the key elements for significant impact and scalable growth. Our team is demonstrating excellence every day and executing in service of this important mission.
We are inspired by healthcare providers, therapists, patients, and caregivers that we partner with every day. And we won't stop until Vivistim therapy is the standard of care for stroke recovery. With that, I will turn the call over to the operator for Q&A. Thank you.
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Travis Steed from BofA.
Fragen und Antworten
Travis Steed
Hey, congrats on the good quarter. I'll ask both my questions up front to keep it efficient. The first question, just maybe touch on the quarter beat raise. It looks like you're raising by the beat to all kind of make sense. I know there's any color you'd like to give on the outlook, what's assumed on utilization. And then the follow-up question I'll go ahead and get out of the way is on the new tech APC code in the final rule. I assume gives more confidence around reimbursement next year. So what's the process to get the level 6 code look like from here and any updates to the timeline? Thanks a lot.
Richard Foust
Travis, this is Richard. Thank you for the question. I'll start by saying that Q3 was a really strong quarter, great execution, doing what we need to do to grow the, you know, the number of active territories that we have, as well as driving adoption. As you know, we have a large market, compelling unmet need, great clinical and patient outcomes with physician support, and we're well positioned with our reimbursement and patient access situation right now. You know, 73% growth year-over-year is a very strong showing.
When we think about what drove that overage, I would put it down to strong commercial execution and really, really more growth coming from existing customers, which, as you know, is really healthy. In terms of the guide, we feel really confident with the guide. It's also, we have very disciplined and thoughtful approach. And so we're very comfortable with a 78% to 79% growth year over year with all the momentum that we have coming from Q3.
Lastly, in regards to your question about the OPPS ruling that just recently dropped, thank you for the question. It sets us up exactly as you said, which all of the things that we thought would happen are going to happen. And so we can roll forward our strategy that is working today and growing the company. So we're highly confident and excited about that outcome.
Operator
Our next question comes from Robbie Marcus from JPM.
Robert Marcus
Oh, great. I'll offer congratulations as well on a nice quarter. Now that reimbursement continues to improve and certainty improves, maybe speak to the reception you're getting out in the field. You know, what's the sales team doing to continue to bring in new accounts and drive utilization, and, you know, just speak to the receptivity in the field? Thanks.
Richard Foust
Yes, Robbie, this is Richard. It's a very good question. And I would say, I'm going to start by the building blocks of kind of what we are putting together to build, you know, a brand new market in stroke recovery. It starts with having this refined and disciplined approach commercially, which we continue to be able to execute against. And then these other building blocks, which are unlocks for us.
We recently published 2-year clinical outcomes, which reinforces the sustainability of our technology, as well as most recently being included in the AHA guidelines. And all of those things, you know, lead to further engagement. And I would say physicians leaning into our story. You know, specifically when I think about the AHA guidelines, it is a validation for patients and for physicians to really pay attention to us at an even higher level.
And the example that I'll give for you, just to put it into plain terms, you know, we were working on a hospital that was part of a larger IDN. And after the guidelines came out, you know, that hospital system reevaluated and decided to make it a full IDN implementation. And so I think in a lot of ways, you know, the unlock and the validation that we're getting as we move forward and begin to make this progress is all of the natural part of inflection points that we will have as a business, but it's really just an important segue to grow and developing and driving awareness.
Robert Marcus
Great. And maybe as a follow-up, speak to where you're spending your money and investing. What are the priorities, and how should we expect that to continue going forward? Appreciate it.
Richard Foust
Yes, thank you. The priorities today remain the same. We are investing in a commercial organization and the flywheel of all the things that we've built over the last number of years. This is hiring territory managers and TDSs, investing in our prior auth team and all of the patient education that goes with that. So that is where most of our investment is going. Bunker, would you like to add any comments to that?
Nelson Curnes
Well, just to say that, as we said during the scripted remarks, a territory manager that we hire really becomes an active territory for us after approximately 9 months. And that 9 months is our commitment and investment into that commercial territory to help ensure that they can drive the correct growth and outlook for those different areas. So we really are focused on spending the majority of our spend in the commercial organization, and we feel like that is the correct strategy for us going forward.
Operator
Our next question comes from Ryan Zimmerman from BTIG.
Ryan Zimmerman
Hi, this is Jacqueline on for Ryan. Thank you for taking the questions. For active territories coming in at 40 in the third quarter, implying 4.5 net adds in the quarter, on the second quarter call it was mentioned that 4 to 5 adds per quarter was a comfortable range. Does that still hold true for the fourth quarter or does the trajectory heading into '27 look different?
Nelson Curnes
Yes, thank you. I would say that the pace of new hires and new adds continues to be measured and consistent. It's really how we think about the business, making sure that we're set up for success on a continuous basis and we have the right people in place so that when they do become an active territory, they can really help to drive the revenues forward. While we don't necessarily guide to specific numbers, I think you've seen our territory adds over the last several quarters, and we intend to maintain a consistent pace moving forward.
Ryan Zimmerman
Thank you. And with revenue coming in at $15.6 million, up 73% year-over-year, can you walk us through how much of the growth was territory driven versus improving productivity in existing?
Richard Foust
Yes, I would say to answer that question, we don't really give a breakout on that specific metric. But what I can say is disproportionately more the growth came from existing customers.
Nelson Curnes
Yes, the productivity of those individual territories, as Richard said, is not necessarily something that we direct to, but that consistent growth of the active territories and those territories continuing to act, again, consistently. They're performing well. The rinse-wash-repeat of the next territory in is continuing to deliver those results, and so we see a lot of good signs for the future.
Operator
Our next question comes from Drew Curtis from Wolfe Research.
Michael Polark
Hey guys, this is Drew on for Mike. Kind of building off the last question, as your commercial organization continues to scale, is there any change to how long it takes the new territory to become productive? And then for the more mature territories, are you starting to see higher unit volumes there?
Richard Foust
Yes, so I'll take this. So two things. One is, I think over a long horizon, obviously, you know, the volume that a hospital does will increase over time. We're not in a position yet, since we're so early in our build, to talk specifically about what that looks like. In terms of how things mature, there's so much room in front of us. We're talking about a TAM of $30 billion, and within a territory, as you know, what we are doing is activating patients, and where patients go to get their procedure done is sometimes dependent on what is most convenient for them.
And so that's really why we talk about a territory approach, but we do expect over a longer time horizon, as we build this out across the country, for us to continue to drive adoption. And so that is our plan. I would say just in where we are today, we're still in the process of building and developing.
Nelson Curnes
Yes, I think it's about driving the continued awareness in the territories, which is awareness of our future patients, it's awareness of our physicians, it's awareness of those referral pathways. And we're still at the early days of that process, but we're starting to see some real momentum build.
Michael Polark
And then I guess on the clinical evidence piece, you're continuing to generate data for Vivistim. Broadly, what's the next major data milestone on the horizon, and how do you see this potentially influencing payer coverage and more physician adoption?
Richard Foust
Yeah, I would say, you know, we expect in, you know, within 2027 to be able to publish our GRASP registry or the first part of our GRASP registry. And that will be something that is, I think, an important milestone in terms of really being able to be the first real-world evidence that we have published. Obviously, there's other single-center studies out there. And in some ways, will enable, you know, physicians, societies, and others to see how our real-world evidence compares to, you know, our very credible Lancet publication with triple-blinded, randomized, sham-controlled study.
Michael Polark
Yes, just how that would potentially drive more payer coverage and physician adoption. Yes.
Richard Foust
Yes, I would say on the payer coverage, there's a lot of elements to payer coverage. I would say definitely real-world evidence is one of those elements, but I think it's not just the publishing of the data. It's a large enough amount of patients at the right time point. And then the second part of payer coverage is really the number of paid claims. And so there's a lot of different elements that have to line up for any specific payer before that would occur.
Operator
This concludes the question and answer session. I would now like to turn it back to Richard Foust for closing remarks.
Richard Foust
Thank you all for your interest in Mobia Medical. As we close out today's call, I want to reiterate that, you know, this is what motivates our team every day. With Vivistim, stroke survivors are able to regain something that they thought was gone forever. The need is still far greater than the number of patients we reach today, and we are just getting started in changing the standard of care. We're proud of the progress this quarter, and we're even more excited about what's ahead. Thank you. Thank you for joining us.
Operator
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.
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