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WTI Oil rebounds as supply tensions overshadow demand concerns
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil rebounds on Friday and trades around $80.80 at the time of writing, up 0.40% on the day. Oil prices recover some of their losses after two days of correction as investors remain concerned about energy supply disruptions in the Middle East.
Fri, Aug 14
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Approaches 0.5900 resistance area as US Dollar weakens
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) appreciates on Wednesday as the US Dollar (USD) loses ground across the board amid dwindling hopes of immediate Federal Reserve interest rate hikes.
Fri, Aug 14
Bitcoin Weekly Forecast: Hormuz uncertainty clouds BTC outlook
Bitcoin (BTC) trades around $62,900 at the time of writing on Friday, down over 3% so far this week amid cautious institutional demand and persistent geopolitical uncertainty.
Fri, Aug 14
UoM Consumer Sentiment Index set to ease as inflation, labour market worries loom
The University of Michigan (UoM) will release the preliminary estimate of August’s Consumer Sentiment Index on Friday.
Fri, Aug 14
Euro holds gains above 1.1550 following Eurozone GDP and bright Trade Balance data
The Euro (EUR) holds moderate gains against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) came in line with market forecasts while June's Trade Balance beat forecasts.
Fri, Aug 14
US Dollar: Looking for a shift in Fedspeak – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that post-CPI summer conditions are suppressing FX volatility and keeping the Dollar broadly stable. They still see scope for a weaker Dollar as market expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening look overstated.
Fri, Aug 14
Japanese Yen: Bearish bias within 158.00–160.20 band against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann judge USD/JPY price action as inconclusive intraday, with trading expected between 159.00 and 159.70 after a tight 159.01–159.56 range.
Fri, Aug 14
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Friday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $64.76 per troy ounce, up 0.48% from the $64.45 it cost on Thursday.
Fri, Aug 14
Silver regains ground above $64 as Fed rate hike bets fade
Silver (XAG/USD) gains 0.37% on Friday and trades around $64.70 at the time of writing, erasing part of its recent correction.
Fri, Aug 14
Brazilian Real: Election risks threaten Real – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish flags growing election and fiscal risks weighing on Brazilian assets. BRL has underperformed in LatAm, with USD/BRL nearing its 200-day moving average at 5.2042 and Bovespa breaking below its long-term average.
Fri, Aug 14
Australian Dollar: RBA keeps hike option open – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Elwin de Groot reports that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) left rates unchanged, with markets initially reading the statement as dovish.
Fri, Aug 14
Federal Reserve: RMP pause and QT timing – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Gennadiy Goldberg and Molly Brooks analyze the Federal Reserve’s decision to halt Reserve Management Purchases (RMP) after tapering from $40bn to $10bn per month.
Fri, Aug 14
Eurozone Q2 GDP growth remains at 0.4%, as flash data showed
According to Eurostat, the Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in the second quarter this year remains at 0.4% as shown by the preliminary data.
Fri, Aug 14
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY declines to 99.75-99.70 amid receding Fed hike bets
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, continues to lose ground through the first half of the European session on Friday and retreats further from a two-week high, touched the previous day.
Fri, Aug 14
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple risk steeper correction as bearish pressure mounts
Bitcoin (BTC) trades below $63,000 on Friday, projecting a downside bias as selling pressure resurfaces. Ethereum (ETH) and Ripple (XRP) also take a bearish path, risking a drop below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $1,856 and the $1.00 psychological support, respectively.
Fri, Aug 14
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Picks up above 1.3500 amid generalised US Dollar weakness
The British Pound (GBP) pares losses against a weaker US Dollar (USD) on Friday, as a run of soft US inflation figures and growing signs of labour market deterioration have cast doubt about the odds for an immediate Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike.
Fri, Aug 14
British Pound: Growth resilience supports gains against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the British Pound (GBP) is the best performing major currency in August, with GBP/USD back above 1.3500. The United Kingdom (UK) economy is proving resilient to the energy price shock linked to the US-Iran conflict, with Q2 GDP up 0.4% after 0.6% in Q1.
Fri, Aug 14
US Dollar: Carry trades supported as Fed seen on hold – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and lower US Treasury yields have led markets to scale back expectations of a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike, limiting US Dollar (USD) upside.
Fri, Aug 14
Euro flattens against Japanese Yen, ECB-BoJ to raise rates in September
The Euro (EUR) trades flat at around 183.85 against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Friday. The cross consolidates while investors seek fresh cues regarding whether there will be more United States (US)-Japan joint intervention to prop up the Japanese currency.
Fri, Aug 14
Japanese Yen: Shifting rate expectations and currency support – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that Japanese government support for an imminent Bank of Japan rate hike has reinforced market expectations rather than surprised them. Probabilities now favor a hike as early as September, with October fully priced and another move in December possible.
Fri, Aug 14
