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European Central Bank: Inflation keeps three rate hikes in play - Nordea
Nordea’s Ole Håkon Eek-Nielsen and Jan von Gerich expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to deliver three additional 25bp rate hikes, taking the deposit rate to 3%.
Fri, Aug 14
Norwegian Krone: Dovish turn risks NOK appeal – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes Norway’s central bank kept its policy rate unchanged at 4.25% and softened its hawkish tone. The bank still anticipates one further rate increase, but removed explicit guidance for a near-term hike.
Fri, Aug 14
US Dollar: Lower short-term yields weigh on the Greenback – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) is trading on a softer footing as Fed rate hike expectations are scaled back following weaker labour data and a mixed United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) report.
Fri, Aug 14
Oil: War-driven price effects and inflation – UBS
UBS economist Paul Donovan discusses how the Gulf war has lifted Oil prices and pushed consumer price inflation above target in major economies.
Fri, Aug 14
United States Retail Sales contracted by 0.6% MoM in July
Retail Sales in the United States decreased to $763.6 billion in July, the US Census Bureau reported on Friday. This print reversed the 0.2% expansion recorded in the previous month and came in below market expectations (+0.1%). On a yearly basis, Retail Sales were up 5.0% in this period.
Fri, Aug 14
Federal Reserve: Communication reset at Jackson Hole – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Oscar Munoz argues that Chair Kevin Warsh’s communication strategy has undermined market confidence in the Federal Reserve’s inflation-fighting resolve.
Fri, Aug 14
Euro little changed against Pound Sterling as ECB, BoE outlooks stay in focus
EUR/GBP is little changed on Friday, extending the sideways pattern seen through most of the week as traders show a muted reaction to second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data from both the Eurozone and the United Kingdom (UK). At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8543.
Fri, Aug 14
Australian Dollar regains momentum as hawkish RBA meets softer US inflation
AUD/USD rebounds on Friday and trades around 0.7080 at the time of writing, gaining 0.31% on the day after falling as low as 0.7044 on Thursday.
Fri, Aug 14
Swedish Krona: Undervalued SEK with constrained upside – Nordea
Nordea strategists remain constructive on the Swedish Krona (SEK), viewing it as undervalued and supported by robust domestic fundamentals and improving macro data.
Fri, Aug 14
US Dollar: Mixed data and higher yields shape outlook – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team notes that US July PPI came in slightly below expectations, with volatile trade and transport services dragging the headline lower while broader services stayed firm.
Fri, Aug 14
Swiss Franc: Strong growth may curb losses against Euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights Switzerland’s stronger-than-expected Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and resilient economy, yet notes EUR/CHF remains in a gentle uptrend since late May.
Fri, Aug 14
Norwegian Krone: Restrictive Norges Bank stance and downside risks - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke explains that Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% and still signals that further tightening may be necessary as inflation remains above target. However, upcoming data, especially August inflation, could prompt the bank to drop its year-end hike signal.
Fri, Aug 14
Swiss Franc edges up from lows against the US Dollar with US Retail Sales on tap
The Swiss Franc (CHF) picks up from two-week lows as the US Dollar (USD) struggles with markets cutting back bets of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike in September.
Fri, Aug 14
British Pound strengthens against US Dollar as traders price out hawkish Fed bets
The British Pound (GBP) trades 0.35% higher to near 1.3533 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Friday.
Fri, Aug 14
South African Rand: ZAR outperforms on carry and Gold – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists highlight that the South African Rand (ZAR) continues to outperform in CEEMEA, gaining about 2.4% versus the US Dollar (USD) in spot terms this month. USD/ZAR is close to breaking below 16.00 for the first time since February.
Fri, Aug 14
Canadian Dollar: Manufacturing sales drag from energy – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists forecast Canadian Manufacturing Sales to fall 0.4% month-on-month in June, weaker than the market’s -0.1% call, mainly due to lower petroleum prices.
Fri, Aug 14
Gold bounces from weekly low on softer US Dollar, fading September Fed hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) rebounds on Friday after opening the day in negative territory and falling to a fresh weekly low of $4,311.
Fri, Aug 14
US Dollar Index: Range-bound Dollar as Fed odds ease – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the USD index (DXY) is trading near the lower end of its recent 99.50–100.00 range as cooling United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have cut implied odds of a September Fed rate hike.
Fri, Aug 14
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Posts fresh two-month low below 1.3900
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperforms a majority of its currency peers on Friday, with the USD/CAD pair trading 0.32% lower at around 1.3888. The Canadian currency gains on hopes of a United States (US)-Canada interim deal.
Fri, Aug 14
Pi Network Price Forecast: PI extends consolidation as bulls eye $0.10
Pi Network (PI) price holds steady on Friday, maintaining a consolidating tone for three consecutive days. Mild retail strength in the PI token remains stable, with Open Interest above $9 million, while social buzz eases.
Fri, Aug 14
