Nova (NVMI) 2026年第三季度业绩电话会:创纪录营收与第四季度业绩指引
Nova Limited 2026年第三季度营收达创纪录的2.878亿美元,环比增长13%,同比增长28%,Non-GAAP营业利润率为35.5%,稀释每股收益2.86美元均超指引上限。存储与先进封装业务成为核心增长引擎,DRAM产能扩张和XPS需求攀升带动存储业务创新高。管理层预计第四季度营收3.05亿至3.15亿美元,Non-GAAP稀释每股收益3.03至3.18美元,全年营收有望突破10亿美元。展望2027年,GAA投资、先进DRAM制程转换及HBM产能扩张将提供持续动能,但行业快速扩张对供应链形成压力,XPS市场或面临新竞争对手。
核心要点
- Nova Limited(NASDAQ: NVMI)公布2026年第三季度营收达到创纪录的2.878亿美元,环比增长13%,同比增长28%,超出其业绩指引上限。
- Non-GAAP营业利润率达到35.5%,高于公司28%至33%的目标模型区间。Non-GAAP稀释每股收益为2.86美元。
- 存储业务营收和订单均创历史新高,主要得益于DRAM产能扩张、材料量测采样率提高以及更广泛的应用拓展。
- 先进封装领域的独立尺寸量测业绩创历史新高。已有10余家客户订购或完成对Nova WMC平台的验收,另有更多客户评估正在进行中。
- 管理层预计第四季度营收为3.05亿美元至3.15亿美元,Non-GAAP稀释每股收益为3.03美元至3.18美元。公司仍有望在2026年实现年营收突破10亿美元。
- 管理层预计2026年下半年将较2025年下半年增长超33%,并认为进入2027年后的投资结构将更加有利,包括全环绕栅极(GAA)、先进DRAM和HBM相关支出。
核心财务数据
| 指标 | 2026年第三季度业绩 | 变动或背景说明 |
|---|---|---|
| 营收 | 2.878亿美元 | 环比增长13%,同比增长28%;连续第三个季度创历史新高 |
| 产品营收构成 | 逻辑与晶圆代工占61%;存储及其他占39% | 四家客户和四个地区在产品营收中的占比均达到至少10% |
| GAAP毛利率 | 57.7% | 受到交付产品价值及产品结构的支撑 |
| Non-GAAP毛利率 | 59.1% | 第四季度指引中值约为59% |
| GAAP营业费用 | 7330万美元 | 增加主要源于研发和战略评估成本 |
| Non-GAAP营业费用 | 6800万美元 | 反映出在产品开发方面的持续投入 |
| GAAP营业利润率 | 32.0% | 处于公司28%至33%的目标模型区间内 |
| Non-GAAP营业利润率 | 35.5% | 高于目标模型区间的上限 |
| GAAP稀释每股收益 | 2.64美元 | — |
| Non-GAAP稀释每股收益 | 2.86美元 | 高于公司指引上限 |
| 现金及投资 | 18亿美元 | 包括现金、现金等价物、银行存款和有价证券 |
| 自由现金流 | 1.32亿美元 | 2026年前九个月约为2.06亿美元 |
| 股份回购 | 约3850万美元 | 根据9月份公布的2亿美元回购授权进行 |
业务与运营表现
存储业务是主要增长引擎。受DRAM强劲需求推动,营收和订单量均创下历史新高。集成量测业务受益于先进DRAM产能扩张,而随着客户提高采样率并增加应用场景,XPS需求持续上升。管理层表示,在头部客户的单座晶圆厂中,机台部署数量已多达9台。
先进封装领域的独立尺寸量测业务同样创下历史新高。Nova表示,对半导体封测外包客户的销售额更为强劲,且Nova WMC平台在逻辑和高带宽内存(HBM)应用中持续获得采纳。材料与化学量测也在更多地切入HBM相关工艺。
先进逻辑芯片需求保持稳健。管理层表示,全环绕栅极生产所需的量测强度比FinFET高出约30%,且Nova在各大客户的全环绕栅极应用中所占份额更高。公司在2024年至2026年期间实现累计5亿美元全环绕栅极营收的目标仍稳步推进中。
在前道化学量测领域,AncoScene完成了验收,并获一家领先晶圆代工厂批准用于大批量生产。Nova表示,该平台正在多个地区推进更多客户渗透阶段。
随着装机量扩大,服务营收再创历史新高。在支持先进节点制造的升级需求带动下,增值服务营收同比增长约50%。
Nova正在扩充产能以满足需求。位于亚洲的一座新建洁净室预计将于年底前投入运营,在提升产能的同时,使生产更加贴近客户和本地供应商。
管理层业绩指引
针对2026年第四季度,管理层提供了以下业绩展望:
| 指标 | 2026年第四季度指引 |
|---|---|
| 营收 | 3.05亿美元至3.15亿美元 |
| GAAP稀释每股收益 | 2.78美元至2.93美元 |
| Non-GAAP稀释每股收益 | 3.03美元至3.18美元 |
| GAAP毛利率(指引中值) | 约57% |
| Non-GAAP毛利率(指引中值) | 约59% |
| GAAP营业费用(指引中值) | 约7800万美元 |
| Non-GAAP营业费用(指引中值) | 约7200万美元 |
| Non-GAAP财务收益(指引中值) | 约1870万美元 |
| 有效税率 | 约17% |
基于该展望中值,Nova预计全年营收将再创新高。管理层表示,2026年年度营收应会突破10亿美元,比其五年战略规划提前一年达成这一里程碑。公司在第三季度过去12个月的营收便已突破10亿美元。
展望2027年,管理层预计增长动能将来自全环绕栅极投资、DRAM支出持续实现两位数增长、包括1c和1d在内的先进DRAM制程转换、HBM产能扩张以及更广泛的客户采纳。管理层还预计全年将实现逐季环比增长,但未提供正式的2027年财务指引。
风险与关注重点
- 行业的快速扩张正在给供应链带来压力。Nova正与现有供应商就长期产能展开合作,拓宽供应商基础,并投资建设内部制造基础设施。
- 管理层表示,相对于晶圆制造设备支出的增长,Nova自身的增长幅度可能会因不同制程节点和架构的投资结构而有所差异。
- 2027年下半年,可能会有新的竞争对手进入XPS材料量测市场。Nova正在投资研发更高性能的产品并降低使用成本,以维持其竞争地位。
- Metrion的交货周期相对较长,不过五大主要客户中有四家已在大批量生产、规模部署或评估测试中采用该平台。
- 管理层预计第四季度之后成本将有所上升,但认为出货量增加、运营效率提升、产品性能增强以及价格调整可以抵消这些影响。
分析师问答亮点
管理层表示,2027年的支出结构对Nova愈发有利。全环绕栅极的量测强度比FinFET高出约30%,而先进DRAM、HBM和新市场进入者有望进一步提高应用渗透率并扩大客户覆盖面。
在存储业务方面,管理层将强劲增长归因于产能扩张以及Nova尺寸、材料和化学量测产品组合的更广泛应用。预计2027年将启动向4F-Square架构过渡的初步试点,这可能会进一步提高工艺控制强度。
Nova预计潜在的XPS竞争对手将在2027年下半年左右出现,但不会波及整个材料量测产品组合。公司正在开发性能更高且使用成本更优的新一代XPS产品。
管理层表示,五大主要目标客户中已有四家通过大批量生产、规模化部署或评估测试采纳了Metrion平台。Nova的目标是在2027年拿下第五家客户。
在盈利能力方面,管理层维持第四季度Non-GAAP毛利率约59%的指引,并表示目前未看到具体的毛利率阻力因素。季度毛利率可能会出现约一个百分点的波动。
财报电话会议实录全文
完整财报电话会议逐字稿
管理层陈述
Operator
Good day, and welcome to the Nova Limited Third Quarter 2026 Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Miri Segal, CEO of MS-IR. Please go ahead.
Miri Segal-Scharia
Thanks, operator, and good day, everyone. Welcome to Nova's Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. With us on the line today are Gaby Waisman, President and CEO; and Guy Kizner, CFO.
Before we begin, I would like to remind our listeners that certain information provided on this call may contain forward-looking statements, and the safe harbor statement outlined in today's earnings release also pertains to this call. If you have not received a copy of the release, please view it in the Investor Relations section of the company's website.
Gaby will begin the call with a business update, followed by Guy with a financial overview. We will then open the call for the question-and-answer session.
I will now turn the call over to Gaby Waisman, Nova's President and CEO. Gaby, please go ahead.
Gabriel Waisman
Thank you, Miri, and thank you all for joining us today. I will start the call by summarizing our third quarter performance highlights. Following my commentary, Guy will review the quarterly financial results in detail. We delivered another record quarter, exceeding the top end of our guidance with revenue reaching approximately $288 million and growing 28% year-over-year as well as record profitability. This performance was driven in part by record revenue from memory and advanced packaging segments. The strength of the quarter was reflected in outstanding performance in multiple product lines. We achieved record results across integrated metrology, stand-alone dimensional metrology and chemical metrology solutions, coupled with record service revenue.
These results manifest the continued industry momentum as well as the proliferation of our portfolios across regions, customers, market segments and critical applications. Our healthy pipeline continues to provide solid visibility into customer demand. Furthermore, we now guide the second half of 2026 to grow more than 33% compared to the second half of 2025, demonstrating an accelerating momentum of our business into 2027. The semiconductor industry's investment momentum is substantial. The mounting requirements for computing power, memory and connectivity are driving increased investments in advanced logic, memory and packaging nodes. We see this reflected in robust demand across our customer base as our industry continues to expand capacity and transitions to more advanced manufacturing technologies. These trends reinforce our confidence in demand durability.
For Nova, the opportunity is shaped not only by the overall level of industry investment, but also by the split to specific nodes and architectures. As spending shifts towards more complex designs and applications, including gate-all-around, the need for advanced process control and the intensity of metrology keep climbing. While we grow at a fast pace, our growth relative to WFE may vary from time to time depending on the investment mix. Our objective remains to outperform the market over time while continuing to leverage opportunities created by capacity expansions and unique value offerings.
Memory was an important growth engine this quarter, reaching record levels of both revenue and bookings, primarily driven by strong DRAM demand. This performance was supported equally by our dimensional and materials metrology solutions. Our integrated metrology products benefited from capacity expansions in advanced DRAM manufacturing. In materials metrology, demand for our XPS solution continued to grow as customers increased sampling rates and expanded the platform's use into new applications, increasing tool utilization. This translates into a growing number of tools per fab at leading memory customers, including a significant order from a major customer that further solidified the demand profile in 2027.
Advanced packaging was another significant contributor during the quarter with record performance of our stand-alone dimensional metrology solutions and continued strong momentum across the portfolio. Our sales to OSAT customers picked up significantly, and we see multiple opportunities to expand our presence in this market. We are particularly pleased with the continued adoption of the Nova WMC platform across both logic and HBM applications and across a broad geographic footprint with more than 10 customers having placed orders or completing acceptance of the platform and additional evaluations underway.
Alongside growing application content in dimensional metrology, we see adoption of our materials metrology solutions in HBM-related applications, complemented by strong performance from our chemical metrology portfolio. Together, these developments are expanding Nova's participation across the evolving advanced packaging ecosystem. Advanced logic sustained its robust momentum during the quarter, driven by healthy demand. Looking ahead, as investment mix increasingly shifts towards gate-all-around devices, we expect a step function in the number of tools needed to support process complexity and metrology requirements and in the value provided by our Nova PRISM platform.
The logic segment also represents an opportunity for our front-end chemical metrology. During the quarter, the AncoScene platform successfully completed acceptance and release for high-volume manufacturing by a leading foundry, and it continues to grow in both market share and customer base. These developments broaden our opportunity in advanced logic and reinforce the increasing relevance of our portfolio. Nova's growing installed base continued to drive record service revenue with strong performance in every region. Customers remain focused on maximizing production capacity, which increases the importance of tool availability, productivity and robustness. These dynamics drove approximately 50% year-over-year growth in value-added services revenue, led by strong demand for upgrades supporting advanced node production.
As our installed base expands, we see further opportunities to deliver value throughout the life cycle of our solutions. As our business continues to scale alongside industry demand, we remain focused on ensuring that our operational infrastructure and supply chain can support our growth and meet our customer commitments. We are working closely with our suppliers to align capacity and planning with our needs while continuing to strengthen the resilience and breadth of our supply base. At the same time, we're expanding our own manufacturing capacity, including the new cleanroom in Asia, which is expected to become operational by year-end.
Our outstanding execution this quarter, combined with a robust outlook for the fourth quarter, puts us on track to exceed $1 billion in annual revenue, reaching this important milestone a year ahead of our current 5-year strategic plan. With a strong pipeline, extended customer visibility and an increasingly favorable industry investment mix, we believe Nova is well positioned to carry this momentum into 2027. We look forward to discussing the next chapter of Nova's journey at our Investor Day on March 9, 2027, in New York City, where we will present our future strategy and provide greater insight into the market and technology transitions ahead, the opportunities they create and how we are aligning our portfolio and investments to drive Nova's next phase of growth.
Now for some more details on our financials, let me hand over the call to Guy.
Guy Kizner
Thanks, Gaby. Good day, everyone. I will begin by reviewing our third quarter financial achievements and then provide guidance for the fourth quarter. We delivered another quarter of record results, generating $287.8 million in revenue, our third consecutive quarter of all-time high. Revenue exceeded our guidance and increased 13% quarter-over-quarter and 28% year-over-year. This achievement is a testament to the strength of our core offerings as well as our ability to capture and respond to the continued demand in the market. Product revenue distribution was approximately 61% from logic and foundry and 39% from memory and others. Product revenues included 4 customers and 4 territories, which contributed each 10% or more to product revenues.
In the third quarter, gross margin was 57.7% on a GAAP basis and 59.1% on a non-GAAP basis. These strong margin levels reflect the high value of our product delivered to customers. Combined with record revenue, they enable us to generate another quarter of strong profitability. As expected, operating expense increased to $73.3 million on a GAAP basis and $68 million on a non-GAAP basis as we continue to invest in innovation and future growth opportunities. The increase was driven primarily by higher R&D spending to support our product road map and technology leadership as well as costs related to ongoing strategic evaluations.
Operating margins in the third quarter reached 32% on a GAAP basis and 35.5% on a non-GAAP basis, surpassing the upper range of our target model of 28% to 33%. These results highlight our ability to translate revenue growth into profitable expansion. The effective tax rate in the third quarter was approximately 18%. Earnings per diluted share in the third quarter on a GAAP basis were $2.64 per diluted share, and earnings per share on a non-GAAP basis were $2.86 per diluted share, exceeding the high end of our third quarter guidance.
Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the third quarter with $1.8 billion in cash, cash equivalents, bank deposits, and marketable securities. Our free cash flow for the third quarter reached $132 million, bringing total positive free cash flow for the first 3 quarters of 2026 to approximately $206 million. This performance highlights the strong cash-generating capability of the business and the quality of earnings. In addition, consistent with our balanced capital allocation strategy, we repurchased approximately $38.5 million of shares during the quarter, following the $200 million share repurchase authorization announced in September.
Next, I'd like to outline our guidance for the fourth quarter of 2026. We currently expect revenues for the quarter to be between $305 million and $315 million. GAAP earnings per diluted share to range from $2.78 to $2.94 (sic) [ $2.93 ]. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share to range from $3.03 to $3.18. At the midpoint of our fourth quarter 2026 estimates, we anticipate the following: Gross margins of approximately 57% on a GAAP basis and approximately 59% on a non-GAAP basis. Operating expense on a GAAP basis to increase to approximately $78 million. Operating expense on a non-GAAP basis to increase to approximately $72 million. Financial income on a non-GAAP basis is expected to increase to approximately $18.7 million in the fourth quarter, reflecting the higher cash balance on hand. Effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 17%.
Before I conclude my remarks, I would like to highlight that based on the midpoint of our fourth quarter guidance, we expect to finish 2026 with another year of record revenues. Moreover, in the third quarter, we surpassed our long-term milestone of $1 billion in revenue on the last 12-month basis and delivered profitability at the high end of our target range, both achieved a full year ahead of our original plan. Reaching these milestones ahead of schedule is a testament to the strength of our business model, the disciplined execution of our strategy and the significant value our process control portfolio creates for customers. Most importantly, it reflects our ability to consistently generate attractive returns and long-term value for our shareholders.
With that, we will be pleased to take your questions. Operator?
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Atif Malik with Citi.
分析师问答
Atif Malik
Gaby, you talked about objectives to outperform WFE, which is a function of spending mix. So when you look at DRAM versus foundry logic mix next year with higher gate-all-around mix and new logic project, do you think that spending mix closes the gap from this year and helps Nova outperform?
Gabriel Waisman
Thank you, Atif, for the question. So let me perhaps give some color to what makes the 2027 investment mix more favorable for us, for Nova. So I'll start with gate-all-around. First, we see some shift towards incremental investments in gate-all-around where intensity of metrology increases by about 30% compared to FinFET. And our Nova share in gate-all-around across all players is higher as well. So that also supports the increase. In memory, we do expect continued strong double-digit growth in DRAM investments and moving to some more advanced DRAM nodes moving to such as 1c, 1d, whereas we will see some additional intensity, including in materials metrology, where we see increased sampling, new applications and higher tool utilization, which drives an increase in numbers of tools per fab, which reached up to 9. Obviously, process control intensity in memory is lower than logic as a whole, but we do see some positive trend in that vector.
And the advanced packaging and specifically in HBM, we continue to see the capacity expansion, the process complexity driving our business. And we see some -- as I mentioned during the transcript, I do see some adoption in OSATs of some of our tools as a result of those players capitalizing on leading manufacturers' advanced packaging tool selections that were already made. And last but not least, we do see some new customers and entrants into the market. And those participants create additional opportunities for us to broaden our customer base and footprint.
So overall, what I see is that 2027 combines both the WFE growth with an investment mix favorable for Nova and some opportunities for increased application penetration and expansion of our market share. So I do anticipate this momentum to drive into next year. I would also say that we do see some linearity in the business in the quarter-over-quarter growth next year in that respect.
Atif Malik
Very helpful. And Guy, on the topic of supply chain, there are some concerns in the market that shortages of components like gas delivery and optical could limit the ability to ship more. Are you seeing any issues with Nova or your ability to ship more products or the bottlenecks elsewhere?
Gabriel Waisman
We are seeing -- we're definitely seeing this rapid industry ramp, stretching our supply chain, and we're taking steps to ensure that we keep delivering and maintaining our commitment to customers in spite of it. Supply chain resilience remains an area that requires active management attention and mitigation. We're working very closely with both existing suppliers on long-term capacity initiatives while also striving to broaden our supply chain and investing in Nova's own manufacturing infrastructure. I did mention our new cleanroom in Asia, and that supports our operational agility, provides us more capacity as part of our long-term plan. It's closer to customers, by the way, and definitely broadens the local supply chain ecosystem for us.
Operator
The next question comes from Shane Brett with Morgan Stanley.
Shane Brett
My first question is on memory. Even if I assume your memory revenue is flat quarter-over-quarter into December, it would imply your memory revenue is up north of 60%, which is seriously impressive, especially given we've not necessarily had a huge technology inflection in the front end this year. Just what is driving this really impressive memory growth for Nova? And how do you think about just kind of inflections into next year for memory that could drive even more outperformance?
Gabriel Waisman
Thank you, Shane. So we did indicate the fact that this quarter, we had about 39% of our business coming from memory and others. And we do forecast that our memory revenue this year to have a strong double-digit growth. And we do see some similar trends into next year as well. It's coming mostly from capacity expansions. You mentioned some transitions, and there are definitely some transitions that are providing some gradual increase in intensity as a result of architectural changes. And we definitely see some initial pilots next year with the transition to 4F-Square that will further increase the process control intensity for those customers.
So the opportunity in general is diverse and comes from our entire product portfolio. For the dimensional metrology, it's both the capacity expansion and an increasing intensity in HBM. In the materials metrology, we see increased sampling rates, new applications and all of that is driving additional tools per fab. I mentioned reaching the bar of 9 with leading customers. And in chemical metrology, it's definitely the growing adoption of our front-end solutions.
Shane Brett
Got it. That's great to hear. And for my follow-up, I'd love to hear about the competitive environment in material metrology. You pioneered this market have driven adoption with customers. If we do see competition emerge, how do you think this market will change for you?
Gabriel Waisman
So we anticipated the competition in material metrology. I indicated that a few times in the past. And it's a testament to the fact that this is becoming a meaningful process control area for both customers and obviously, for peers and competitors. We see new entrants that will come and compete probably towards the second half of next year. And we are investing considerably in order to maintain a very significant competitive gap to make it very challenging for new entrants. But we do welcome the competition. And again, it indicates the importance of this market and the fact that it will continue to grow and be very attractive in terms of the importance it possesses with our customers.
Operator
And the next question comes from Michael Mani with Bank of America.
Michael Mani
To start, could you give us a sense of where foundry and logic and memory end up for Q4? And the basis for that question is, when I look at your -- where your foundry and logic growth is tracking overall for this year, it seems to be maybe a little bit more muted, especially relative to memory, trailing behind overall foundry logic as we see it. What -- how should we interpret that? Is that more of a digestion sort of period after multiple years of very strong growth in that segment? Is it more of a mix factor or a timing factor? And is it really just gate-all-around coming back next year that could help return that part of your business to growth?
Gabriel Waisman
Thank you, Michael. So I wouldn't say it's muted. We do see meaningful growth for us in logic -- logic and foundry. In both advanced and mature nodes, by the way, and I'll speak to it a bit later. In the advanced logic nodes, the transition to gate-all-around is definitely increasing intensity overall. And I believe that it will also help our growth in that respect, both the intensity as well as our share with the customers. And talking about logic, I would indicate the mature nodes, especially China, whereas in the third quarter, we did see an increase in both revenue and in share of sales. But overall, this year, we expect China's share to be lower than 2025, but still nominally grow.
Michael Mani
Got it. And for my follow-up, I think on Metrion, you've mentioned before [indiscernible] that all 5 major customers by end of next year. I think qualifications are still progressing. So how many of the 5 are fully manufactured today versus still in qualification? What do you see as the time line and the gating factors for the remaining ones to get to that milestone?
Gabriel Waisman
So we currently -- it's a great question. Thank you, Michael. We do see right now 4 out of the 5 already adopting the Metrion either in high-volume manufacturing proliferation or evaluations. I do hope to conclude the fifth next year. And we see strong demand for the Metrion. There are longer lead times for this tool, but we're very encouraged by the market demand.
Operator
And the next question comes from Charles Shi with Needham.
Yu Shi
Maybe first, I want to clarify and maybe help us unpack the Q3 results and Q4 guidance a little bit. I think that roughly 90 days ago, we were under the impression that half-over-half growth for this year is probably in the high-teens range. And obviously, I think it's going to beat and raise quarter-to-quarter. That's what Nova does. But now based on your guidance, it seems like it's going to be half-over-half, 22%. Wonder if relative to the expectation, what has changed and what's driving the upside? That's the first question.
Gabriel Waisman
So thank you, Charles. I believe that it's more or less in line with our initial expectations. So I don't think that we deviate from the previous forecast and expectation of having a stronger second half to the first one. It might be a bit higher in terms of the strength, but it's still in line with the expectation. But we are doing -- we are encouraged, as I mentioned before, by the momentum, and we expect it to continue next year as well.
Yu Shi
Maybe a follow-up question on material, the competition new entrants you mentioned about and we know you have X-ray, you have Raman, you have SIMS, and these are all material technologies. But where exactly -- which technology you are seeing new entrants, especially if it's X-ray, can you be a little bit more specific because there are all kinds of X-ray technology, XRF/XPS is where you play, but there is X-ray CT, there's X-ray SDD. So kind of unpack a little bit for us what the new entrants you are seeing and that -- how you intend to maintain your competitive lead?
Gabriel Waisman
Thank you, Charles. So definitely, thank you for the question. The competition we are seeing or we will see, it's not here yet, and we need to be a bit more cautious about it. We'll probably see something initial. I'm not sure that it will be meaningful, but towards the second half of next year, but it's centered around XPS only. So we don't see this across the board in our material metrology portfolio, but XPS only. Nova does have a very extensive XPS plus XRF portfolio. We are not selling, by the way, XRF as a stand-alone tool. It's a part or an addition to the XPS capabilities, augmenting the overall application space and value of the tool.
The investment, as always, is on the 2-pronged approach on both technology and cost of ownership. So we are investing significantly, and we're releasing new products, new XPS products that are providing higher performance and better cost of ownership. And we've doubled down on investments in order to make sure that future generations of tools will have a very significant gap in offering value to customers.
Operator
And the next question comes from Tom O'Malley with Barclays.
Robert Smith
This is Trip Smith on for Tom O'Malley. I was just curious if you could expand on the qualification and completed acceptance of the AncoScene product. I was just curious if there was like a timing on that after the high-volume manufacturing by the leading foundry. And then any kind of color on the competitive space in the front-end chemicals metrology area versus like the larger incumbent and how you're gaining share there?
Gabriel Waisman
Definitely. So first of all, I'll start with saying that front-end chemical metrology extends our chemical metrology presence beyond our historical strength in back-end application. And the first quarter was a record quarter for chemical metrology in general, where specifically the AncoScene completed acceptance and was released into HBM as a leading foundry. And we're currently at additional customer penetration stages, and we gained market share, which is occurring across several geographies. We have one competitor in the chemical metrology front-end space, which is KLA, and we are offering very unique value to our customers in that -- with that tool.
Robert Smith
And then maybe just as a follow-up. I think we've heard a little bit about this in the industry, but based on your guide, it kind of implies a flattish to down gross margin. I was just curious if that's coming from continued memory headwinds or broader supply constraints and how you guys are managing those.
Guy Kizner
Yes. So we -- our gross margin this quarter was 59%, and we guided next quarter also 59%. So we don't see a reduction. Obviously, the gross margin for the next quarter can fluctuate plus/minus 1%, but we don't see currently any headwinds on the gross margin side.
Operator
And the next question comes from Vedvati Shrotre with Evercore ISI.
Vedvati Shrotre
So you've previously outlined $500 million revenue opportunity with -- cumulative revenue opportunity through '26, right? Where do we stand against that today? And with TSMC expecting N2 or their -- N2 capacity almost doubling in 2027, like how should we think about your annual gate-all-around revenues next year? Could they scale similarly? Like could you see them double?
Gabriel Waisman
So thank you, Vedvati, for the question. We are on track with the accumulated revenue from '24 to '26 of a total of $500 million. And we are very encouraged by the shift towards increasing investments in gate-all-around. I definitely believe that this is providing a tailwind for the company. I think it's a bit early to assess or provide some color on the number, but we do see growth year-over-year in our gate-all-around process control revenue.
Vedvati Shrotre
Understand. And for my follow-up question on gross margins, I understand you'll be flat in December quarter. But as we go through the year, could you talk about the headwinds you're seeing or the tailwinds you're seeing? Like one aspect is you're also expanding your manufacturing facilities in Asia. So what would be the impact of that to the gross margins?
Guy Kizner
Yes. So when we are looking beyond fourth quarter, we do see cost increase, but the cost increase is being offset by better operational efficiency and higher volumes. We also typically adjust pricing when we introduce new capabilities that add value for our customers, whether through unique metrology capabilities or productivity improvements. And as we mentioned on the last earnings call, we do have several initiatives already in the pipeline that we expect to announce in the future, which should further support this trend.
Operator
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Gaby Waisman, Nova's President and CEO, for any closing remarks.
Gabriel Waisman
Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining our call today.
Operator
The conference has concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
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