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Adeia (ADEA) 2026财年第三季度业绩电话会议:受交易时机影响下调业绩指引

2026年11月3日 20:01
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Adeia公布2026财年第三季度营收8020万美元,调整后EBITDA为3690万美元,利润率46%。由于几项复杂的大型媒体许可协议可能推迟至2026年之后完成,公司将全年营收指引下调至3.75亿美元至4.15亿美元,但维持6亿美元的长期年度营收目标不变,并预计半导体混合键合技术将在逻辑芯片与存储芯片领域迎来规模化应用机遇。

该摘要由AI生成

核心要点

  • Adeia公布2026财年第三季度营收为8020万美元,其中媒体业务贡献6500万美元,半导体业务贡献1500万美元。
  • 经常性收入约为7600万美元,非经常性收入约为400万美元。非付费电视经常性收入同比增长48%。
  • 公司在付费电视、消费电子、电子商务和社交媒体领域共签署了八项许可协议,其中四项是与新客户签署的。
  • 调整后EBITDA为3690万美元,利润率为46%。非GAAP营业费用环比增长9%至4380万美元,主要是由于诉讼支出增加。
  • Adeia将2026财年营收指引下调至3.75亿美元至4.15亿美元,原因是几项法律关系复杂的大型媒体许可协议可能会在2026年之后完成。管理层继续以该范围的高端为目标。
  • 管理层维持6亿美元的长期年度营收目标,并预计半导体业务机遇将在2027-2028年扩展至逻辑芯片领域,在2028-2029年扩展至存储芯片领域。

关键财务数据

指标2026年第三季度业绩变化或背景
营收8020万美元媒体业务贡献6500万美元;半导体业务贡献1500万美元
经常性收入约7600万美元非经常性收入约为400万美元
非付费电视经常性收入—同比增长48%
非GAAP营业费用4380万美元环比增加360万美元,即9%
诉讼费用720万美元环比增加180万美元,即35%
调整后EBITDA3690万美元调整后EBITDA利润率为46%
利息支出810万美元有效利率为7.2%,包括债务发行成本摊销
其他收入180万美元主要是来自现金、投资及长期结算安排的利息收入
非GAAP税率21%主要是美国联邦税、州税及韩国预扣税
经营活动现金流510万美元第三季度现金生成额
现金、现金等价物及可交易证券1.277亿美元季度末余额
定期贷款余额3.865亿美元已扣除第三季度偿还的610万美元本金

Adeia支付了每普通股0.05美元的季度现金股利。董事会批准了另一笔每股0.05美元的股利,将于12月14日派发给11月23日登记在册的股东。

业务与运营表现

Adeia在本季度完成了八项许可协议,其中包括四家新客户。协议涵盖付费电视、电子商务、消费电子和社交媒体领域。

关键交易包括与Charter完成的重要多年期续约、与TCL的多年期续约,以及与Fanatics签署的新长期电子商务许可协议。Adeia还与一家社交媒体公司和一家消费电子公司签署了新协议,并与另外三家付费电视提供商签署了许可协议。

付费电视仍是业务的重要组成部分,同时公司正将相关技术扩展至流媒体和电子商务领域。管理层表示,消费电子业务在总营收中的占比始终保持在10%以上。

截至本季度末,Adeia拥有超过1.45万项半导体和媒体专利资产。今年以来,其综合专利组合增长了6%,投资重点集中在混合键合、热管理以及支持AI驱动体验的媒体技术上。其专利中约有80%为自主研发。

管理层强调,在逻辑和存储芯片中应用混合键合技术是半导体业务营收的长期推动力。公司预计该技术在先进HBM、3D DRAM、3D NAND、高带宽闪存以及基于小芯片(Chiplet)的异构计算中将变得日益重要。

管理层业绩指引

2026财年指引指标展望
营收3.75亿美元-4.15亿美元
非GAAP营业费用1.76亿美元-1.80亿美元
调整后EBITDA利润率约55%
利息支出3200万美元-3400万美元
其他收入600万美元-700万美元
非GAAP税率21%
资本支出约250万美元

调整后的营收范围反映了少数大型媒体许可协议完成签署时间的不确定性。管理层表示,储备项目依然完好,并继续看到达成4.15亿美元目标的路径,但也承认部分交易可能会推迟至2026年之后。

营业费用展望也有所下调。管理层将这一变化归因于对研发和销售及管理费用(SG&A)的审慎支出,以及法庭延期导致的近期诉讼成本下降。预计部分法律费用将转移至后续期间。

Adeia维持了6亿美元的长期年度营收目标。管理层预计与逻辑芯片相关的半导体许可机遇将在2027-2028年间显现,随后存储芯片的续约和更广泛的应用将在2028-2029年间展开。

风险与关注点

  • 年度营收对少数高价值许可协议的签署时间仍较为敏感。
  • 管理层将受影响的媒体交易描述为规模庞大且法律关系复杂,而与新客户的谈判进一步增加了执行复杂度。
  • 半导体客户比媒体客户更为集中,因此单个许可周期举足轻重。
  • 较高的诉讼成本影响了第三季度的费用,而法庭延期可能会将部分支出推迟至2027年或更晚。
  • 半导体变现的时间取决于混合键合技术的采用情况和大批量生产计划,特别是在先进HBM和存储产品中。

分析师问答要点

管理层明确指出,导致2026财年营收指引区间扩大的交易是媒体协议,而非半导体协议。公司表示这些机遇仍在储备项目中,并将这种不确定性归因于时间节点问题,而非潜在许可价值的消失。

在半导体方面,管理层表示,机遇涵盖逻辑芯片、存储芯片以及自主研发芯片的数据中心公司。管理层预计逻辑芯片业务将在2027-2028年贡献收益,而存储芯片方面的机遇将在2028-2029年变得更为重大,因为届时混合键合技术将与更高层数的HBM生产以及与前三大存储厂商的续约周期相匹配。

管理层表示,大批量HBM生产中混合键合技术的采用预计将与HBM5更为紧密地贴合。管理层还指出,小芯片(Chiplet)和异构计算是其他潜在的应用领域。

关于费用方面,Adeia表示法庭延期(包括涉及DISH的诉讼后因EchoStar破产而暂停的情况)推迟了部分法律支出。管理层估计,营业费用指引下调1000万美元中,约有一半反映了被推迟的法律成本,其余则来自于费用管控。

业绩电话会议完整文字记录


完整财报电话会议逐字稿

管理层陈述

Operator

Good day, everyone. Thank you for standing by. Welcome to Adeia's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the call over to Chris Chaney, Vice President in Investor Relations for Adeia. Chris, please go ahead.

Chris Chaney

Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us as we share with you details of our quarterly financial results. With me on the call today are Dipti Vachani, our CEO; and Keith Jones, our CFO. Dipti will share with you some general observations regarding the quarter, and then Keith will give further details on our financial results and guidance. We will then conclude with a question-and-answer period. In addition to today's earnings release, there is an earnings presentation, which you can access along with the webcast in the IR portion of our website.

Before turning the call over to Dipti, I would like to provide a few reminders. First, today's discussion contains forward-looking statements that are projections, predictions, or other statements about future events, which are based on management's current expectations and beliefs and therefore subject to risks, uncertainties, and changes in circumstances. For more information on the risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from what we discuss today, please refer to the Risk Factors section in our SEC filings, including our annual report on Form 10-K and our quarterly report on Form 10-Q. Please note that the company does not intend to update or alter these forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances arising after this call.

To enhance investors' understanding of our ongoing economic performance, we will discuss non-GAAP information during this call. We use non-GAAP financial measures internally to evaluate and manage our operations. We have, therefore, chosen to provide this information to enable you to perform comparisons of our operating results as we do internally.

We have provided reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures in the earnings release, the earnings presentation, and on the Investor Relations section of our website. A recording of this conference call will be made available on the Investor Relations website at adeia.com.

Now I would like to turn the call over to our CEO, Dipti Vachani.

Dipti Vachani

Thank you, Chris, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm excited to be here and honored to lead Adeia. I've worked at some of the most cutting-edge companies in the world, and I chose Adeia for its technology, its team, and its timing.

First, the technology. In media, AI is accelerating the shift to more personalized on-demand experiences, and our innovations in discovery and personalization sit right at the center of this change. In semiconductors, our innovations in hybrid bonding and thermal management help solve some of the biggest bottlenecks in scaling AI compute and memory.

Second, the team. Throughout my career, I've been tasked with solving some of the most difficult problems in AI scale. As I get to know Adeia's prolific inventors, I've asked myself, where have you been in my whole life? I could have really used your help. Our engineers are addressing the greatest challenges the AI industry is solving today and well into the future. I've spent time with members of the senior leadership team, and I'm very impressed by their experience, their talent, and the culture of innovation they've built.

Third, the timing. AI is reinventing how we discover and consume media, and it is transforming the compute infrastructure behind it. Adeia's IP sits right where those trends meet. Media is information. Semiconductors process information. In partnership with the ecosystem, our opportunity is to anticipate where the market is headed and invent the technologies it will need.

Building upon my successful track record at Arm, Intel, Skyworks, and Texas Instruments, I am excited to share with you what I'll bring to Adeia. I have a proven track record of building businesses around leading-edge technologies. I maximize value by creating programs to monetize the technology and building ecosystems that help scale it.

At Arm, that meant bringing new reoccurring revenue streams and bringing together hundreds of partners. I look forward to applying that experience here along with a leadership style built on candor, accountability, and staying close to customers and technology.

My near-term focus is clear: Listen, learn, and execute. I am spending time with our employees, customers, and shareholders and working with our team to deliver the path towards our long-term annual revenue target of $600 million. I will continue to diversify our revenue streams and accelerate our innovation engines in both media and semiconductors.

Keith will cover our third quarter results in more detail, but I will briefly cover a few highlights. Revenue was $80.2 million in the third quarter. As I have reviewed our pipeline and where our technology plays in the broader ecosystem, I am very excited and confident in the opportunities that lay ahead in the short-term and the long-term.

However, our business is relatively sensitive to the ultimate timing of a small handful of deals. In an effort to be prudent and transparent, we have adjusted our revenue guidance to reflect the potential range to the extent that certain deals are executed beyond 2026.

Even with this change in guidance, I am confident with the progress we're making. My goal remains to hit the high end of the range. Keith will provide additional color later in the section.

I am proud of the work done in the third quarter. We signed 8 deals across Pay-TV, consumer electronics, e-commerce, and social media. Our business remains robust, and the momentum we are seeing across our pipeline provides us with the confidence for the remainder of this year and as we look forward to 2027.

Before I turn the call over to Keith, I want to thank the Board for the trust they have placed in me to be the next leader of Adeia. I also want to thank Paul for all that he has done for Adeia over the past 4 years and for working with me through this transition period. I couldn't be more excited to be here and for the future of Adeia. Keith?

Keith Jones

Thanks, Dipti. Let me begin with a very warm welcome for Dipti as our new CEO. Speaking on behalf of all the employees here at Adeia, we are extremely excited to have you on Board, bringing your extensive experience, energy, and leadership. I am very much looking forward to our partnership for years to come.

Now let me turn to a review of our third quarter results. Third quarter revenue was $80.2 million. Deal momentum was strong with 8 license agreements closing in the quarter across Pay-TV, e-commerce, consumer electronics, and social media. Four of these deals were with new customers. As we have mentioned before, adding new customers is critical to the continued diversification of our revenue streams.

I would like to emphasize that Pay-TV is overall an important component of our business. The underlying revenue remains significant for us. As such, we continue to innovate in this area, and we are able to further leverage this technology in other growing areas such as streaming and e-commerce.

With that being said, I am proud to announce that we signed a significant multi-year renewal with Charter. Charter is the largest provider of Pay-TV and broadband services in the United States and has been a valued customer of ours for over 20 years.

We also signed a multi-year renewal with TCL, one of the world's largest manufacturers of connected TVs. This renewal highlights the importance of our consumer electronics business, which has consistently been greater than 10% of our total revenue.

In e-commerce, we signed a new long-term license agreement with Fanatics, a leading sports apparel e-commerce company. This reflects the growing momentum we have had in the e-commerce space, leveraging the success of our RPX deal in the second quarter.

Other notable agreements signed in the third quarter included new deals with a social media company and a consumer electronics company, as well as license agreements with 3 other Pay-TV providers.

Since separation, we have aimed to support our revenue across our core Pay-TV market and to expand and grow revenue in both semiconductor and our adjacent media markets. We are proud of the progress we have made.

With the tremendous number of opportunities that we see ahead of us, we recently increased our long-term annual revenue target to $600 million. With the widespread adoption of our technologies, our confidence is unwavering, and our long-term target remains unchanged.

As part of this growth trajectory, increasing our recurring revenue is of paramount importance to the company's overall success. In the third quarter, we grew non-Pay-TV recurring revenue by 48% year-over-year, continuing a multi-quarter trend.

We continue to be very excited about the expanding industry adoption of hybrid bonding across both the memory and logic markets. As noted in recent news, hybrid bonding will be essential to the manufacturing process at 20-plus layers in HBM in the next few years, as well as for future 3D DRAM, 3D NAND, and high-bandwidth flash.

For Adeia, this timing aligns nicely with our contract renewals with the top 3 memory manufacturers. We view the ultimate pervasive adoption of hybrid bonding across both the memory and logic markets as a key to driving a sustainable and growing revenue stream for many years to come.

Our IP portfolios are the foundation of what we do and are the lifeblood of our business. We ended the quarter with over 14,500 patent assets for both semiconductors and media. This commitment to innovation has resulted in our combined portfolios growing 6% year-to-date.

Our patent growth is focused on areas of strategic importance, including hybrid bonding, thermal management, and media technologies that support AI-driven experiences. Our creative and talented inventors are critical to our continued success.

Approximately 80% of our patents have been developed internally by this proud group, and we are dedicated to finding solutions that address important industry challenges.

Now I'd like to discuss our operating expenses, for which I'll be referring to non-GAAP numbers only. During the third quarter, operating expenses were $43.8 million, an increase of $3.6 million or 9% from the prior quarter. This anticipated increase was primarily driven by higher litigation expenses.

Research and development expenses were up $176,000 compared to the prior quarter. Selling, general, and administrative expenses increased $1.6 million or 8% from the prior quarter, primarily due to portfolio maintenance costs and other expenses to support our strategic sales efforts.

Litigation expense was $7.2 million, an increase of $1.8 million or 35% compared to the prior quarter, primarily driven by higher spending related to our various legal matters.

Interest expense during the third quarter was flat at $8.1 million. Our current effective interest rate, which includes amortization of debt issuance costs, was 7.2%.

Other income was $1.8 million and was primarily related to interest earned on our cash and investment portfolio and due to interest income recognized on revenue agreements with long-term billing structures under ASC 606.

Our adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter was $36.9 million, reflecting an adjusted EBITDA margin of 46%. Depreciation expense for the third quarter was $500,000.

Our non-GAAP income tax rate was 21% for the quarter. Our income tax expense consists primarily of federal and state domestic taxes as well as Korean withholding taxes.

We ended the third quarter with $127.7 million in cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities, and we generated $5.1 million in cash from operations. We made $6.1 million in principal payments on our debt in the third quarter and ended the quarter with a term loan balance of $386.5 million.

We paid a cash dividend of $0.05 per share of common stock. Our Board also approved a payment of another $0.05 per share dividend to be paid on December 14 to shareholders of record as of November 23.

For 2026, we are reducing our revenue guidance to $375 million to $415 million. As Dipti mentioned earlier, our pipeline remains strong and robust. However, this reflects the impact of a small handful of deals we are actively working on.

With the progress we have made to date, we are optimistic about closing these deals, which would place it at the high end of the range. However, these deals are relatively large and legally complex, which can take time to execute. Thus, to provide transparency, we have adjusted the range to reflect the potential impact to the extent certain of these deals are executed beyond 2026.

We are lowering our operating expense outlook to $176 million to $180 million. This reflects both disciplined expense management within our R&D and SG&A functions, as well as expected lower litigation spending as a result of certain court delays, which would defer the anticipated costs.

We expect interest expense to be in the range of $32 million to $34 million. We expect other income to be in the range of $6 million to $7 million. We expect a resulting adjusted EBITDA margin of approximately 55%. We expect the non-GAAP tax rate to be 21% for the full year. We also expect capital expenditures to be approximately $2.5 million for the full year.

Our entire team remains committed to executing on our goals for the remainder of this year. We remain confident in our technology, our team, and the strength of our growing pipeline.

That brings an end to our prepared remarks. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to the operator to begin our question-and-answer session. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from Kevin Cassidy, Rosenblatt Securities.

分析师问答

Kevin Cassidy

Congratulations, Dipti, and welcome. Just how should investors be estimating the time for signing new license agreements with semiconductor customers? Is this more complicated than the media customers? Or maybe -- and I guess I'm assuming that's where some of these handful of deals that might be delayed are coming from the semiconductor market.

Dipti Vachani

So you're right. The semiconductor market is different than the media market in such that the media market is much more fragmented, the semiconductor market being a more concentrated group of customers within logic and memory. Though the handful of deals that we're referring to for this quarter were media deals, we expect semiconductor, especially in the logic side, to kick in sometime next year, in the 2027, '28 time frame. And then memory renewals, '28, '29.

And so we will expect that to be in our revenue forecast in that time frame. But right now, the handful of deals that we're looking at are on the media side. And honestly, we see a -- the pipeline hasn't changed. It is strong, and it's exactly the pipeline we looked at last quarter, but this is -- as we get closer, it's about deal timing. And that's it. It's deal timing and being transparent on that timing, we've decided to adjust the range.

Kevin Cassidy

And just going again to the semiconductor side of it, of the ones you have in the pipeline, are they more data center products? Or is it across all end markets?

Dipti Vachani

It's all end markets. So I'll categorize them into 3. We have the logic market, and you've heard about our AMD business, as well as other customers that we know are engaged in hybrid bonding with Broadcom, Intel, NVIDIA Feynman. And so there is the logic group of customers. Then you have your media -- I'm sorry, your memory customers. And so there's a group of customers there. SanDisk and Kioxia are on the NAND side and then other memory providers on HBM.

And then I think you'll see it more holistically across the board with data center companies acting more like semiconductor companies. And we know that, that's happening today. They're building their own silicon. And as they do, hybrid bonding will be of value to them. And so we'll see them step in as well as customers for us.

Operator

And your next question today will come from Scott Searle with ROTH Capital.

Scott Searle

Dipti, congratulations, and look forward to working with you. Maybe just a quick clarification. Just in terms of the mix of revenue in the quarter, Keith, I'm not sure if you could provide some color in terms of media-semi mix, recurring and catch-up. And I want to clarify whether all of those deals that you guys were referring actually occurred in the quarter because I think press releases for TCL and Spectrum came out after the quarter? So wondering if that made it into the third quarter results.

And then as you're looking into the wide range of implied expectations in the fourth quarter, and Dipti, can you take us through what's at the lower end versus the higher end, the big gating swing factors in that $40 million range from the low end to the high end?

Keith Jones

Scott, thanks for your question. So a few parts there. So we'll break them down one by one, my friend. So just kind of giving the numbers on media versus semiconductor. And just to be very transparent, I'm talking about just Q3 in and of itself.

So media was $65 million. Semiconductor was $15 million. So we're seeing some growth quarter-over-year, year-over-year on semiconductor. So once again, a great story in that perspective.

And then for recurring versus nonrecurring, just using kind of some simple round numbers, the recurring revenue was $76 million, and then the nonrecurring was about $4 million in that regard.

So trying to make sure I remember all your questions because there were several multiple parts to that. The revenue growth that we're seeing is actually kind of aligned with what we anticipated. I think Dipti will get into a little bit more. But once again, where we're seeing our revenue opportunities, our pipeline is extremely strong. It's very strong. And at the end of the day, quite frankly, it's timing.

And ultimately, where we're at, I could not be more pleased. If we look year-over-year, where we were at last year at the same time, we're actually ahead business-wise in terms of total revenue. And then even on operating margins, we're doing absolutely fantastic.

And then when you -- our company, our team, we are entirely focused, as you heard in my prepared remarks, of hitting $415 million. $415 million is the number that we're really focused on. $415 million was the midpoint of the guidance that we previously had, and those opportunities still align.

What we are a little bit want to be transparent about is, like we said, there's a small handful of deals that kind of move that quarter, and it's really execution of those deals that get us to the midpoint or the high point of that range or otherwise.

So we're really focused. And to be blunt, it's a matter of when, not if. It's 1,000% on timing, and we're locked in on that. So our best days are really to come. I think Dipti can add a little bit more color on that backdrop as well. Dipti?

Dipti Vachani

Yes. I mean, the beauty of this business is the business doesn't go away, right? The accounts don't go away. It is all about timing. And I see a path to $415 million. Like Keith mentioned, we have a path to close it, and we are 110% focused on that. But I wanted to be -- we wanted to be transparent that there is, because of timing, it could swing one way or the other, and we wanted to give you that range.

Scott Searle

And Dipti, if I could follow-up in terms of semiconductor in '27 and '28, I know it's early. But if you could take us through some of your high-level thoughts in terms of how this progresses? It sounds like we see logic next year.

And then if you could dive into a little bit more the adoption in HBM DRAM. There's been a lot of discussion and dialogue in the marketplace about layers and timing and available capacity in the industry. But it seems like it's lining up with when we start to move to 16 layers and 20 layers with your renewal timeline. So I wonder if you could extrapolate on that and maybe provide just a little bit more color in terms of the diversity within the logic pipeline.

Dipti Vachani

You're absolutely right. It is lining up very well with the timing of 16-layer and 20-layers, and we'll see it with HBM4 and 5. But I think if you look at this more holistically, as we -- in the logic space, we're seeing that traction happening already with AMD. We know that NVIDIA is going to be incorporating HBM -- I mean, is going to be incorporating hybrid bonding, right? And then the traction at Intel and Apple and Broadcom. So the logic space, we see it happening already. We know what's happening in the memory space is exactly the way you mentioned it, with 20 layers and 16.

And so across the board, '27, '28, '29 are going to be great years for us in the semiconductor space. Think about also overlaying on top of that, this idea of heterogeneous compute. When we look at the world of physical AI or edge computing, we're talking about lots of different kind of processing coming together and chiplets. And chiplets are also a very big opportunity for hybrid bonding.

And so again, I think there's multiple vectors here in play, '27, '28 on the logic side, '28, '29 on the memory side and holistically a very, very strong business. And Keith, you wanted to add on the memory side as well?

Keith Jones

Sure. No, Scott, you're very perceptive. It's almost because if you walk our hallways and you see us jumping up and down about every product announcement that we hear kind of coming out. So there has been a lot of conversation about when do you start seeing the impact of hybrid bonding in high-volume manufacturing. That very much is kind of lining up with HBM5. And quite frankly, we're completely excited about that.

And you hit the nail on the head. By the time we start getting into high-volume manufacturing, that aligns perfectly with our renewal cycles with the top 3 semiconductor memory manufacturers. So that's really a great thing for Adeia. And that is something that we look forward to. And frankly, it's beyond a proof point of the adoption of our technology. It really talks about our resilience, our technology, and how it's kind of shaping things because once again, hybrid bonding, we do hear in the media, it's quite frankly it's the only way to move forward. There is not another alternative to get to from a performance perspective, and that really makes us excited.

So once again, it's a great opportunity. You picked up on it. We see that kind of, as Dipti talked about, playing out really kind of latter half of '27, but more in '28 and '29, which aligns perfectly from all the news releases in terms of when high-volume manufacturing kicks in.

Scott Searle

And anytime you want to allow me to wander the walls, happy to do it.

Keith Jones

You're welcome anytime, my friend. You know that.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next up is Hamed Khorsand from BWS Company.

Hamed Khorsand

So first off, let's just talk about this revenue that you're reporting here in Q3. So last quarter, you were pretty much laser-focused at your commentary that it was going to be higher than Q2, but similar in levels and then you would get a ramp in Q4. Now you're backtracking, you've missed Q3, and you're saying it's definitely going to be Q4.

How are you certain? Because it seemed like at the beginning of the year, you've got AMD, you got Microsoft, you got all these things going and it seemed like everything was fine. But now you're missing and you're saying it's deals getting pushed out. Why are you so confident? Why should we believe you?

Keith Jones

Well, I think you heard our remarks, Hamed. And quite frankly, when I look at our pipeline and what we have in front of us, I'm incredibly excited, my friend. Just being honest with you. And you've been following us for years, and you also know that we are a small volume, large dollar shop. So with that being said, all of these deals are large and complex.

And I'll repeat what I said before, it's a matter of if, not when. So the items that we kind of identified that are in that small handful of deals, they were in our pipeline at the beginning of the year.

Frankly, when we take a look at our forecast and where they were going to be at, we proved out that we could make traction. We proved out we believe that we can close with them. But we would have anticipated some of those deals closing out a little bit sooner, but then you start dealing with the art of complexity of negotiating with someone on the other side that have these large complex deals, and in some cases new logos as well, which adds a degree of complexity.

That all affects timing, not value in dollars of what we're going to see over time. So our team, once again, we're focused on trying to get that $415 million. But you also know that we take great pride of being transparent with shareholders.

That view of the world that we gave you 90 days ago was absolutely a fact, but things evolved, they changed, and our year-end target remains the same for the most part in what we're really trying to achieve in the company, but we just are trying to be transparent to the things that slip beyond our control, what that could potentially look like.

Hamed Khorsand

And that $20 million that you reduced revenue guidance by, did that get pushed into '27? Or is that completely gone?

Keith Jones

It's never completely gone. I think you can appreciate that as good as anybody because we're not competing against a particular company in a socket. The fact of the matter is that when our technology reads and it infringes, that opportunity remains.

I will say again to answer your question and just to drive it home, it's a matter of if -- it's a matter of when, not if. It's a matter of when, not if. So none of that disappears. Repeating that, you've heard Dipti say that as well. So it's something that we're focused on closing. It's just a matter of timing.

Operator

Your next question comes from Matthew Galinko, Maxim Group.

Matthew Galinko

Can you expand on the court delays and what your expectation for that is? How long are the delays from your current vantage point? And should we expect that the litigation spending that slips out of maybe fourth quarter lands somewhere in '27 where we see a higher level or not necessarily how it works out?

Keith Jones

Matt, great to hear from you. It's a great question. So in terms of court delays, there's many, but I'll give you a really simple example. So as you know, in April, as it relates to DISH, we filed suit against its parent company or, in addition, EchoStar.

So shortly thereafter, they declared bankruptcy and then all of that activity was stayed until that cleared. And they just emerged out of bankruptcy in October. So there was, by default, an unexpected pause when we filed that. So that expense pushes to the right. There's a couple of other examples, I can give that. But you picked up on that nuance, it's pushing things to the right in that regard.

So the one thing that I would like to point to and you're kind of hinting to it is that we have a bit of a slide on expenses. But also, if you take a look at our operating expense guidance, that came down $10 million in aggregate as well. Half of that, I would dare say, is kind of that push to the right of legal. And the other half is, quite frankly, our great team and the expense management that we've done.

So we've done a really good job of prioritizing. I would also say that we've done a great job of really kind of learning, evolving, and become more efficient in what we do. And frankly, it's not at a sacrifice of any short-term goals or long-term goals that we're trying to achieve.

So net-net, that impact from an [ EBITDA ] perspective is about $10 million on average, not $20 million, which is the revenue range. We really are doing a good job as a management team of being cautious.

And I would also say, if you kind of go through and do the math, if we end up at $415 million, which is our goal, and which we're focused to, we would be at the upper end of the prior EBITDA guidance that we had given on a much larger revenue target. So there speaks to the efficiency of our business.

Matthew Galinko

And maybe as a follow-up, just to get a little bit of, I guess, insight into how things might work next year. Should we expect any incremental spending in 2027 as you pursue opportunities for hybrid bonding in 2028?

Keith Jones

I think you're going to see some increases in our overall R&D spending and SG&A. I think it's going to be kind of a normal steady state. And I think -- I don't think it will be very far off from the models that are out there today. But, however, that's one trigger.

But the fact of the matter is when we see things going to be in high volume and we see adoption, we need to act upon it, and we need to act quickly and aggressively. So how we prioritize our dollars would be very much on capitalizing the opportunities that are in front of us. So it's really about really having this great technology that we have and making sure that we're monetizing it.

Operator

And everyone, at this time, there are no further questions. I'll hand the conference back to Ms. Dipti Vachani for any additional or closing remarks.

Dipti Vachani

Thank you, operator. Once again, I'm excited to be here and to dive deeper into our business and strategy in the coming months. I want to thank the Adeia team for the warm welcome and their hard work in continuing to deliver results. I look forward to meeting many of you later this quarter as we attend 2 upcoming conferences: The Annual ROTH Technology Conference in New York in November and then the Annual Wells Fargo TMT Summit in California in December. Thank you for joining us today.

Operator

Once again, everyone, this does conclude today's conference. We would like to thank you all for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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