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桥水银行股份 (BWB) 2026年第三季度业绩电话会议:净息差与核心存款增长

TradingKey2026年10月21日 20:03
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Bridgewater Bancshares公布2026年第三季度财报,总营收同比增长20%,拨备前净收入增长36%创历史新高。净息差扩大2个基点至3.09%,核心存款增长1.65亿美元,效率比降至50%以下。资产质量总体稳定,CET1资本充足率升至9.63%。管理层预计近期贷款维持中个位数增长,净息差保持相对稳定。

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Bridgewater Bancshares(NASDAQ:BWB)公布2026年第三季度盈利能力有所提升,资金增长保持平衡。创纪录的营业收入与拨备前净收入、持续的贷款重新定价以及受控的费用支出,推动效率比自2023年第一季度以来首次降至50%以下。

核心要点

  • 总营收同比增长20%,拨备前净收入创历史新高,同比增长36%。
  • 受贷款收益率上升和存款成本稳定的支撑,净息差扩大2个基点至3.09%。
  • 核心存款增加1.65亿美元,按年化计算增长近20%。无息存款增加6300万美元,而经纪存款减少9600万美元。
  • 该季度贷款按年化计算增长7.2%。今年迄今,贷款和核心存款按年化计算分别增长6.1%和6.4%。
  • 资产质量总体保持稳定,但两笔较大的不良贷款客户关系导致了240万美元的冲销以及专项准备金的增加。
  • 管理层预计近期贷款增长率将在中个位数区间,即使在其假设的加息路径下,净息差也将保持相对稳定。

关键财务数据

指标2026年第三季度业绩或变动分析评论
总营收同比增长20%受净利息收入及信用证手续费增加推动
拨备前净收入同比增长36%创单季历史新高
净利息收入按年化计算增长22%受收益资产增长和息差扩大的支撑
平均收益资产按年化计算增长16%推动了净利息收入的增长
净息差3.09%,上升2个基点贷款重新定价抵消了稳定的存款成本
贷款收益率5.96%,上升5个基点新发放贷款收益率在6%中段水平
存款成本2.78%连续第三个季度保持稳定
核心存款增长1.65亿美元;按年化计算增长近20%包括6300万美元的无息存款增长
贷款增长按年化计算增长7.2%由建筑贷款、非业主自住商业地产(CRE)贷款和工商业(C&I)贷款带动
效率比低于50%自2023年第一季度以来首次低于50%
不良资产占资产的0.37%环比小幅下降,集中于两笔客户关系
年化净冲销率0.21%主要反映了一笔240万美元的冲销
信贷损失准备1.28%下降约2个基点
核心一级资本充足率(CET1比率)9.63%同比上升55个基点
有形账面价值增长同比增长9.4%得益于留存收益的支撑

业务与经营业绩

核心存款吸收是本季度主要的增长驱动力。除了季节性资金流入外,Bridgewater 将增长归因于招募资金管理人才、拓展新商业客户关系以及市场格局动荡。资金结构的改善使该银行能够在支持更快贷款增长的同时,减少经纪存款。

管理层表示,核心存款仍将是资产负债表扩张的主要约束条件。该银行意在使贷款增长与核心存款增长保持一致,而非以牺牲盈利能力为代价盲目追求规模。

平价住房依然是关键的增长垂直领域。其余额同比增长20%,占贷款总组合的16%。该板块占第三季度贷款增长的25%以上,占建筑和工商业(C&I)贷款组合总增长的大约一半。管理层表示,与传统的组合住宅或商业地产(CRE)贷款相比,这类贷款通常具有更高的收益率和更高的补偿性存款余额。

Bridgewater 还将其贷款组合中的浮动利率占比从两年前的15%提高至26%。该银行目前拥有12亿美元的浮动利率贷款,而直接与短期利率挂钩的存款则为16亿美元。

其他重新定价机遇包括:未来12个月内到期的6.97亿美元固定利率贷款(加权平均收益率为5.70%),以及1.05亿美元重新定价或到期的可调利率贷款(收益率为4.23%)。

管理层指引

  • 贷款增长:管理层预计近期贷款增长将在中个位数区间,具体取决于核心存款动力、利率、新发放贷款量及还款活动。
  • 净息差:公司预计净息差将维持在当前水平附近,保持相对稳定。这一前景展望假设2026年12月将再次加息,且2027年上半年将再加息两次。
  • 非利息支出:在第三季度支出好于预期之后,预计第四季度支出将回升至接近第二季度的水平。
  • 拨备支出:管理层预计第四季度拨备支出将略高于第三季度,反映出预期的贷款增长以及针对两笔较大不良资产的持续处置努力。
  • 资本:管理层表示,留存收益应能支持预期增长,同时为其按市价发股(ATM)计划和股票回购保持灵活性。

风险与关注事项

利率上升可能会减少贷款发放量,因为符合借款人回报率要求的交易变少。管理层还指出,再融资和还款活动可能会放缓,从而部分抵消新增贷款发放疲软的影响。

信贷风险仍集中于两笔较大的不良贷款客户关系。由于银行推动近期资产出售,一笔1000万美元的商住两用多家庭住宅贷款在第三季度产生了240万美元的冲销。一笔860万美元的中心商务区(CBD)写字楼贷款在季度末提有530万美元的专项准备金,管理层表示其中一部分准备金最终可能会转为冲销。

该银行还在密切关注经济不确定性、通胀压力、存款竞争以及与贷款重新定价相关的借款人压力。管理层表示,其对借款人的持续审查尚未发现系统性问题。

分析师问答环节亮点

管理层表示,近期利率上升可能会小幅减少近期贷款发放量,不过正在进行的交易应会在第四季度继续完成交割。平价住房预计将保持相对韧性,因为项目在填补资本结构缺口方面有更多选择。

在息差可持续性方面,管理层强调,与上一轮加息周期相比,贷款组合更短的久期和更高的浮动利率占比应能提供更大的保护。到2027年存量贷款的持续重新定价可能会带来额外上行空间,尽管公司未提供更长期的息差目标。

当商业客户关系将无息余额与积极管理的货币市场存款相结合时,Bridgewater 估计边际资金成本大约在3.5%左右。管理层认为短期大额存单(CD)市场(尤其是信用社的竞争)是当地存款定价压力的先行指标。

公司还表示,批发性融资仍将是其负债策略的一部分,因为它能提供稳定性与灵活性,尽管核心存款的持续增长可能会使该余额随时间推移而下降。

业绩电话会议完整文字记录


完整财报电话会议逐字稿

管理层陈述

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the Bridgewater Bancshares 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Call. My name is Betsy, and I will be your conference operator today. [Operator Instructions] Please note that today's call is being recorded.

At this time, I would like to introduce Justin Horstman, Vice President of Investor Relations, to begin the conference call. Please go ahead.

Justin Horstman

Thank you, Betsy, and good morning, everyone. Joining me on today's call are Jerry Back, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Joe Chybowski, President and Chief Financial Officer; Nick Place, Chief Banking Officer; and Katie Morrell, Chief Credit Officer.

In just a few moments, we will provide an overview of our 2026 third quarter financial results. We will be referencing a slide presentation that is available on the Investor Relations section of Bridgewater's website, investors.bridgewaterbankmn.com. Following our opening remarks, we will open the call for questions.

During today's presentation, we may make projections or other forward-looking statements regarding future events or the future financial performance of the company. We caution that such statements are predictions and that actual results may differ materially. Please see the forward-looking statement disclosure in the slide presentation and our 2026 third quarter earnings release for more information about risks and uncertainties, which may affect us.

The information we will provide today is as of and for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, and we undertake no duty to update the information. We may also disclose non-GAAP financial measures during this call. We believe certain non-GAAP financial measures in addition to the related GAAP measures, provide meaningful information to investors to help them understand the company's operating performance and trends and to facilitate comparisons with the performance of our peers. We caution that these disclosures should not be viewed as a substitute for operating results determined in accordance with GAAP. Please see our slide presentation and 2026 third quarter earnings release for reconciliations of non-GAAP disclosures to the comparable GAAP measures.

I would now like to turn the call over to Bridgewater's Chairman and CEO, Jerry Back.

Gerald Baack

Thank you, Justin, and thank you for joining us this morning. In the third quarter, disciplined execution of a thoughtful strategy resulted in an incredibly strong quarter. Growth and profitability were objectives and both proved to be highlights. While we have always had the ability to generate robust loan growth, we have become more focused on creating balance sheet growth that prioritizes optimizing profitability. This strategy has never been more evident than it is now.

Earlier in the year, we saw loan competition increasing with silly pricing that we weren't willing to stretch for. In addition, we knew that historically, core deposit growth was seasonal and typically slower during the first half of the year. In response, we strategically slowed our pace of loan growth to the mid-single-digit range, accommodating for these trends.

As we expected, core deposit growth returned in the back half of the year with annualized growth of nearly 20%. This came not only from seasonality but from our new client relationships we have grown across the bank. This allowed us to accelerate loan growth during the past quarter to over 7% annualized, with loan and core deposit growth now in line on a year-to-date basis. This is a great example of how we are leveraging data, our market knowledge, balance sheet and understanding of our client base to strategically and efficiently drive the growth and profitability of the bank. Overall, this translated into a record total revenue and pre-provision net revenue in the third quarter. Combine this with a decline in noninterest expense, and we were able to move our efficiency ratio below 50% for the first time since the first quarter of 2023.

Another significant contributor to earnings was the continued growth in net interest income as ongoing loan repricing drove 2 more basis points of net interest margin expansion in the third quarter. Looking ahead, we know we are entering a new rates up environment, which Joe will speak to shortly, but we believe our balance sheet is better positioned for this environment than it has been in the past as we have been proactively growing the variable rate mix of the loan portfolio.

Our strong asset quality trends also remained a positive part of the story. As we have shared in recent quarters, we are working through 2 loans that we hope to resolve in the near term. Katie will provide more details on this later. But aside from those, we are very pleased with our loan portfolio as nonperforming assets remain well below peer levels and positive classified asset trends continue.

On Slide 5, we will show Bridgewater's long track record of consistently growing tangible book value in excess of peers. This has been the case since before we went public in 2018 and even more recently since 2021. On a year-over-year basis, we have grown tangible book value at a 9.4% pace. Delivering shareholder value is key at Bridgewater.

Overall, the third quarter was a very good quarter for Bridgewater. I'm thrilled with the momentum we have created, and I'm optimistic of the outlook for the remainder of 2026 and beyond. The team is incredibly strong and knows how to execute on the strategies we have in place.

With that, I'll turn it over to Joe.

Joseph Chybowski

Thanks, Jerry. Slide 5 highlights one of the key themes of the quarter, our improving profitability. This included record pre-provision net revenue, which was up 36% year-over-year as well as continued improvements in return on assets and return on average tangible common equity. Much of this profitability momentum continues to be driven by strong revenue growth, which was up 20% year-over-year. The revenue growth came from both net interest income, which I'll talk more about on the next slide, as well as solid noninterest income growth driven by higher letter of credit fees. Swap fees were a bit lighter in the third quarter as swap pricing dynamics are less favorable in the current rate environment.

Turning to Slide 6. Net interest income growth of 22% annualized in the third quarter once again came from both higher average earning assets, up 16% annualized and net interest margin expansion. As expected, the pace of net interest margin expansion slowed from the second quarter, but was still up 2 basis points to 3.09% as the loan portfolio continued to reprice higher, while deposit costs remained relatively stable. Overall, margin expansion has exceeded our expectations as we originally didn't expect to hit 3% until the fourth quarter of this year. Essentially operating above 3% for the majority of the year has been a boost to our overall profitability.

Looking closer at the net interest margin drivers on Slide 7, loan yields were up another 5 basis points to 5.96% as the portfolio continued to reprice higher, with average new production yields in the third quarter in the mid-6s. While loan yields moved higher, deposit costs of 2.78% remained relatively stable for the third consecutive quarter. The question now is what happens to the net interest margin going forward, given the recent rate hike and potential for more going forward.

The most important thing to know is that we are better positioned today for a rates up environment than we have been in the past. Over the past couple of years, we have been proactively increasing the mix of variable rate loans on the balance sheet to create additional repricing opportunities and be more rate neutral. Today, variable rate loans make up 26% of the portfolio, up from 15% just 2 years ago. This means we now have $1.2 billion of variable rate loans, which offsets much of the $1.6 billion of deposits directly tied to short-term rates. So while we expect Fed rate hikes to push deposit costs higher across the sector, we also expect our loans to continue to reprice higher and not just from the higher variable rate mix but also because of the ongoing back book repricing.

We have $697 million of fixed rate loans scheduled to mature over the next 12 months at a weighted average yield of 5.70% and another $105 million of adjustable rate loans repricing or maturing at 4.23%. With these lower yields running off the books and new originations going on the books at higher yields, we have further repricing upside ahead of us.

Given this loan repricing, we expect our net interest margin to hold relatively stable over the near term despite the recent rate hike. This also assumes another rate hike in December and two more in the first half of 2027. This demonstrates how much better we are positioned today, considering the margin compression we saw during the last rates up cycle. With continued loan growth and margin stability, we are well positioned for ongoing net interest income growth in the quarters ahead.

Turning to Slide 8. We have always operated the business in a highly efficient manner given our branch-light model and CRE focus. With the recent revenue momentum I just talked about, coupled with well-controlled expenses in the third quarter, our efficiency ratio once again dropped below 50% for the first time since the first quarter of 2023. After pulling forward some expense early in the year due to M&A-related talent acquisition opportunities, we expected to be able to hold third quarter expenses in line with second quarter. However, we outperformed this as expenses came in even lower.

Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, we would expect noninterest expense to return to that second quarter level. Overall, lower expenses in the third quarter translated to increased operating leverage given our strong revenue growth. We have a proven track record of being able to manage expenses effectively, and we expect to be able to continue to do this going forward, while still investing in the business with a focus on driving further positive operating leverage.

With that, I'll turn it over to Nick.

Nicholas Place

Thanks, Joe. Turning to Slide 9. I think the biggest highlight of the quarter for us was the $165 million or 20% annualized core deposit growth we generated. Over the past couple of years, we've developed a much better understanding of our core deposit flows and seasonality. So while growth was more muted in the first half of the year, we expected it to return in the back half of the year, and that's exactly what we saw. But the growth was not just seasonality. We have made key hires within our treasury management team, taken advantage of marketplace disruption and brought in deposits from new client relationships.

This has also helped improve our overall deposit mix as noninterest-bearing deposits increased $63 million, while higher cost brokered deposits declined $96 million. A lot of credit goes out to our treasury team for providing such a high level of insight into our asset and liability management and making sure our bankers know what we need from a funding standpoint to support our growth. We are seeing this translate to better relationship margins and increased profitability for the bank. We have -- as we have demonstrated, we have the ability to grow loans as much as we want, but it's really the core deposits that are the governor, and we were very pleased with what we saw in the third quarter.

Given the core deposit growth, we generated stronger loan growth in the third quarter with balances up 7.2% annualized, as you can see on Slide 10. We have made it clear that we want to grow the loan portfolio in line with core deposits over time. On a year-to-date basis, loan balances are up 6.1% annualized, while core deposits are up 6.4%. This demonstrates disciplined execution from our teams as we focus on generating profitable growth across the bank. As we think about the loan growth outlook from here, core deposits will continue to be a governor, but there are other factors as well, including the interest rate environment, which we expect to have an impact on both origination and payoff activity.

Looking at Slide 11. New loan production was stronger in the third quarter with increased loan originations and advances more than offsetting the elevated levels of payoffs. We are still seeing strong loan demand across our verticals. But with interest rates moving higher, we are starting to see fewer deals penciling out as we remain disciplined on pricing. We anticipate new origination activity could slow a bit from here. However, on the other side, higher rates mean that payoff activity could slow as well. Overall, we expect near-term loan growth in the mid-single-digit range as we navigate this higher rate environment and continue to emphasize profitable growth.

Turning to Slide 12. The majority of the loan growth we saw in the third quarter came from the construction, nonowner-occupied CRE and C&I portfolios. Multifamily balances declined during the quarter due to some elevated payoff and refinance activity in that portfolio. Overall, our affordable housing vertical continues to play a big role in our growth story, accounting for about half of the growth we saw across the construction and C&I portfolios.

As you can see on Slide 13, we remain focused on growing our presence in the affordable housing space, which has resulted in 20% year-over-year growth. Affordable housing made up over 25% of our loan growth in the third quarter and currently makes up 16% of the total loan book today. These loans tend to be higher yielding than traditional multifamily or CRE loans given their complexity and also tend to come with higher levels of compensating deposit balances. This is a high barrier to entry vertical, where we have established a differentiated level of expertise within the various parts of the transactions we tend to support. Our growing client base is strong as we work with several of the largest affordable housing developers across the country. As a result, we see a lot of growth runway, both locally and nationally within this segment.

With that, I'll turn it over to Katie.

Katie Morrell

Thanks, Nick. As Jerry mentioned earlier, our asset quality profile remains strong. Starting on Slide 14, our watch and special mention loans continued to decline during the quarter and are now down approximately 50% from year-end 2025 and represent just 0.5% of total loans. Substandard loan levels have also improved year-over-year and have remained stable over the last several quarters. We view these credit migration trends as an important leading indicator of overall portfolio health and their continued improvement reflects both the strength of our underwriting discipline and our proactive approach to portfolio risk management.

Turning to Slide 15. Our nonperforming assets declined modestly from last quarter, ending the period at 37 basis points and remaining well below peer levels. As we have discussed over the past couple of quarters, our nonperforming assets remain concentrated in 2 larger relationships. The first is a $10 million mixed-use multifamily property that moved to nonaccrual last quarter. We previously had $1 million specific reserve on this loan. However, as we advanced our workout strategy and move towards a near-term sale of the asset, we ended up taking a $2.4 million charge-off during the third quarter. This charge-off was the primary driver of the uptick in annualized net charge-offs this quarter to 0.21%.

The second larger NPA is the $8.6 million Central Business District office loan that has been on nonaccrual since the first quarter of 2025. During the third quarter, we further increased the specific reserve on this loan to $5.3 million, reflecting our latest assessment of the underlying collateral value. We are still working toward a resolution of this asset as quickly as possible, and we would expect that some portion of the existing reserve could ultimately migrate to charge-offs as we execute on this strategy.

Given the additional specific reserve and stronger loan growth, we booked a higher provision in the third quarter. However, our total allowance actually decreased a couple of basis points to 1.28%. We believe the allowance appropriately reflects the risk profile of the portfolio, including the specific reserves associated with these 2 larger relationships and our constructive outlook on the broader loan portfolio.

Looking ahead, we expect provision expense to be a bit higher in the fourth quarter than it was in the third as we continue working toward resolution of these credits while supporting expected loan growth. We are also watching closely for signs of weakness related to economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures and repricing risk related to the rise in interest rates. We implemented a very effective process during the last rates up cycle to proactively engage with clients well in advance of any repricing, and this process remains ongoing today. So far, these conversations are going well, and we have not identified any systemic issues.

Overall, we remain confident in the quality of our portfolio, the strength of our underwriting and our borrowers and our ability to navigate the remaining problem assets. I'll now turn it back over to Joe.

Joseph Chybowski

Thanks, Katie. Slide 16 highlights our stable capital position, which continues to be supported by our retained earnings. Notably, our CET1 ratio has increased 55 basis points year-over-year to 9.63%. We did not repurchase any shares in the third quarter.

Turning to Slide 17, I'll recap our near-term expectations. On the loan side, we expect mid-single-digit growth. Of course, this will continue to be dependent on our core deposit momentum over time as well as the uncertainty around interest rates and the impact that has on our new originations and payoffs. We expect the net interest margin to hold relatively stable at current levels over the near term, even assuming an additional rate hike in December and two more in early 2027. This is driven by our balance sheet being better positioned today than it was during the last cycle with more loan repricing opportunities offsetting higher deposit costs.

After a better-than-expected expense quarter, we look for fourth quarter noninterest expense to be similar to second quarter levels. We also expect provision expense in the fourth quarter to increase from what we saw in the third quarter, given our loan growth and continued progress on resolving our 2 larger nonperforming assets.

I'll now turn it back over to Jerry.

Gerald Baack

Thanks, Joe. Before we open up for questions, I want to provide a quick update on our 2026 strategic priorities. Profitable growth is where we have been focused, and we believe it is having an impact. Aligning loan and core deposit growth has allowed us to drive net interest margin expansion while we continue to capture market share. Not only are we adding clients, but we also added 17 talented individuals to our team as a result of the M&A disruption.

Nick spoke of the momentum we have seen in the affordable housing space with balances up 17% annualized year-to-date. Finally, we have advanced to the execution phase of our AI strategy focused on responsibly enabling our teams to achieve efficiencies across the organization. This includes establishing oversight, security and risk frameworks, pushing out tools to our teams and leveraging partnerships to help operationalize use case and workflows. We are still early in the process, but the benefits are becoming apparent.

With that, we'll open it up for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question today comes from Jeff Rulis with D.A. Davidson.

分析师问答

Jeff Rulis

Just a question on the -- I know Nick and Katie, you talked about the impact of higher rates on both demand and -- hoping to get a little more detail on that, if you could -- particularly if we get 1 or 2 more hikes. Just if you could touch on the demand expectations as well as Katie, I don't know if you walk through some of those maturity repricing schedules should we get another 1 or 2 hikes?

Nicholas Place

Jeff, yes, this is Nick. I think in the real near term, the recent rates up move will impact our loan origination activity slightly. I think there's always some sort of delayed momentum that will continue to push some transactions over the finish line here in the fourth quarter that were well underway in the third quarter.

Long term, I think it's really just dependent on what happens in the belly of the curve there. I mean we're up quite a bit since the beginning of the year, and our borrowers are pretty resilient on working through what that does to their capital stacks. But over the course of time, that will cause more and more transactions to not pencil out. I think what we saw in the last rates up move is that impact to loan origination activity was certainly offset by the refinance and payoff activity. So where there's a headwind on the new origination side, I think there's a bit of a tailwind on the payoff side.

So we still feel really good about our loan demand overall. Our affordable housing segment, as we talked about, is contributing to a larger and larger percentage of the growth every quarter. And there's seemingly more avenues to plug those holes and capital stacks on those transactions than there is maybe in market rate deals. So we expect to continue to see a lot of opportunity within that space even in this higher rate environment.

So we still feel good about it, but we're certainly watching what those rates are doing as it relates to deals sort of spinning out of our pipeline.

Katie Morrell

And then as far as -- yes, Jeff, this is Katie. So as far as repricing credit risk is concerned, like I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we haven't really stopped our repricing analysis process over the last couple of years. So feeling good about that, especially as we go through covenant testing and looking ahead 12 months out, if there's a repricing event, how does that look for property performance.

So I think we do have a really good handle on any of the specific loans that would be affected and have action plans in place. So while these rate hikes are going to make performance more challenging in some instances, I don't think we have any big surprises.

Jeff Rulis

Appreciate it. And maybe just one back to the margin, Joe. We've kind of got to this goal quicker than we had thought. And I guess the bigger picture, 3 or 4 years ago, the margin was at 3.50%. Just want to kind of feel that out of sort of the terminal level. I know we're about near term and then longer term, but the ability to grind higher on the margin and you said the balance sheet has changed. Just any more detail about expectations, maybe a little [indiscernible] on the margin to kind of frame up how you maybe get back to the mid-3s or not would be helpful.

Joseph Chybowski

Yes, Jeff, this is Joe. So I think we -- I mean, high level, we've been really pleased with the margin, as you said, and you highlighted the performance this year. And ultimately, the conviction that we feel to have margin stability going into a potentially higher kind of rates up cycle. I think it's -- you're always reminded of 90 days ago, we had Fed funds probabilities with a cut in December and a 4.30% 10-year. And we fast forward 90 days and we not only got a hike, we have 3 more hikes anticipated, and we have a 5.30% 10-year.

So I think a lot has obviously changed over the last 90 days. But that being said, I mean, I think we're -- like I said, we're really pleased and encouraged with the durability and stability of the margin. And I think to your point, a lot of that's been worked over the last couple of years of really reorienting the portfolio on the loan side to be more variable rate to really match with the variable rate deposit book. And I also think just the duration of the loan portfolio has shortened as well, almost 12 months from kind of the peak in 2022. So I think there's been a lot of work there to really be more balanced and then to be able to kind of weather both rates up and rates down.

So I think the dynamics of like just the incremental loans that come on relative to the incremental cost of funds, I think that also gives us optimism, to your point, on if loans come on the books today in the mid-6s, as we said, with upside potential given where rates have gone and incremental cost of funds come on in the mid-3s, I think the margin itself, we feel good about the stability that can take place. And ideally, the back book loan repricing that continues throughout '27 gives us potential upside.

So I think those are the dynamics, the puts and takes. But generally, I think we're really pleased with where we're at and especially in light of what's transpired over the last 90 days.

Operator

The next question comes from Brendan Nosal with Hovde.

Brendan Nosal

Maybe starting off here on capital. Good quarter for growth, a bit of AOCI drag, although not as much as most. If I look at your tangible capital ratio, down from 8.60% to 8.15% or so, does that kind of change the likelihood of you tapping the ATM versus 3 months ago as you look forward towards mid-single-digit growth? Or do you think you can generate enough capital internally for the time being where you're still kind of reserving optionality, but not leading one way or the other, the ATM versus buyback?

Joseph Chybowski

The latter part of your question, Brendan, I think, is the way to put it. I think as we've said, I mean, optionality is always our goal. And so I think while TCE is down quarter-over-quarter, I do think when we think about the growth prospects of the company and how we think about the loan growth to Nick's comments, we certainly feel like we can self-generate the capital to support the growth and then also have the optionality on both sides, given the buyback and given the ATM. So I think nothing changes from that perspective.

Brendan Nosal

Okay. Perfect. And maybe kind of circling to growth, 6% annualized growth so far this year, both for core funding and for loans, calling for mid-single-digit growth in the near term. Does that kind of feel like the new steady state for you guys just in terms of how fast you can grow core funding, which is a strong pace and then that just happens to be the pace we should be on average looking for loan growth from here?

Nicholas Place

Brendan, this is Nick. Yes, I feel like especially in this current interest rate environment, that feels like the right run rate for us. I mean, to the extent that we get more accommodating fiscal policy that could allow us to potentially grow at a faster pace. But with what we're seeing today and what we're seeing in the market for opportunities, we're trying not to grow just for the sake of growth. I think we're trying to be really disciplined about growing as profitably as we can. And that's kind of where we're landing in that sort of mid-single digit on both sides.

Operator

The next question comes from Nathan Race with Piper Sandler.

Nathan Race

Going back to the last discussion topic around growth on the right side of the balance sheet, obviously, really impressive core deposit gathering in the quarter. I'm just curious to what extent you guys have visibility into kind of the core deposit gathering pipeline and to what extent continued success on that front can maybe help wind down some of the higher cost funding that's maturing over the next 12 -- or over the course of 4Q and into 2027.

Nicholas Place

Yes. Nate, this is Nick. Yes, I mean, we feel really good about what we saw in the third quarter and frankly, how we're positioned on a go-forward basis. We've been able to pick up really amazing talent in the market on the treasury management side of things. We picked up great commercial bankers in market. Our affordable housing vertical continues to build both loan opportunities and core deposit opportunities. We've been really pleased with what that team has been able to do to gather core deposits outside of the Minneapolis-St. Paul market through new relationships that are national affordable housing developers.

So we feel really good about our prospects to continue to grow core deposits. As we talked about earlier in the prepared remarks, I mean, we've done a lot of time to really evaluate and understand our deposit flows and our balance sheet. So we do tend to see more core deposits build in the back half of the year. So there's always some tailwind for us there. But I don't want to take away from the great work that the teams are doing to not only bring in new relationships, but expand existing ones and take advantage of the opportunity in front of us.

So the core deposits will continue to be the governor for us as we think about loan growth, but our teams are doing a phenomenal job to build a really strong pipeline of new relationships and new deposits.

You mentioned brokered and the sort of wholesale funding side. I mean that's always going to be a part of the equation for us as we think about managing our overall liabilities. It's a really stable funding source. There's optionality within that portfolio that we can't get elsewhere. So we have -- we are trying to be disciplined about our growth and to allow us optionality to reduce those over time, but it will always be part of the story.

Nathan Race

Got it. That's helpful, Nick. And just curious on the payoff front. I mean, any sense in terms of kind of what inning you're in, in terms of maybe some of the lower-yielding commercial real estate loans originated 4 or 5 years ago when rates are lower, kind of nearing the end and maybe payoffs are going to be kind of less of a headwind as we can see in the chart on Slide 11 in the deck.

Nicholas Place

Yes. I mean it's been a pretty dynamic environment over the last 90 days. I think conversations that we have with clients around what they were expecting to do with their property 90 days ago, there's maybe more certainty of them either refinancing to an agency type debt on a piece of a multifamily property or just selling the property just because interest rates were attractive enough for a new buyer. Some of those clients are now sort of reevaluating if that makes sense, just given pricing guidance that they're getting from brokers on what they could get in the sale given the rates up move.

I think the nice thing, and Katie mentioned this, these clients have had a lot more time to think about and plan for this repricing than clients in 2023 that saw really rapid rates up move and that they weren't expecting. So we feel good about the ability to work through any of those credit issues. And I think our clients are much more prepared today, even if they do have to sit on the -- and let the loan reprice or we provide extensions on those credits and the deal doesn't pay off. They just feel better about that, the prospects for that transaction than some of the conversations we were having in 2023.

Nathan Race

Okay. Got it. And if I could just sneak in one more confirmation for Joe. I think you alluded to kind of incremental cost of deposits coming in the door are at 3.5% today. Just want to confirm that, that's kind of what you're seeing here or at least what happened in 3Q? And then kind of where do you see that going over the next few quarters if we do get additional rate hikes just based on some of the competitive dynamics in the Twin Cities?

Joseph Chybowski

Yes. I mean I think that's a decent estimate, Nate. I think when we couple kind of commercial relationships with a noninterest-bearing deposit with a more actively managed money market, I think that's kind of how we think about the incremental cost of funds. I do think that kind of the leading indicator of kind of deposit competition locally is always the short-term CD market, primarily credit union driven. So I think we have seen some marketing related to that. So I think that's part of how we think about deposit cost competition potentially picking up just on the short end of the curve.

But to Nick's point, we feel really good about the ability to continue to grow kind of whole commercial relationships that are not just kind of chasing the highest rate.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The next question comes from Brandon Rud with Stephens.

Brandon Rud

If I could start, just one on the expenses in the third quarter and kind of expectations for the fourth quarter. I guess what drove the outperformance here in 3Q? And then what's going to contribute to the step-up as we look towards the fourth quarter here?

Joseph Chybowski

Brandon, it's Joe. Yes, I think like when we talk about expenses on a quarter-over-quarter basis, we never try to get too in the weeds on one category versus the other, but more just think about generally a full year. And so I think our priorities continue to be investing in people and technology. And as Jerry mentioned, Nick mentioned, we've -- we felt like we've had tremendous success attracting top talent in the market, and we're always going to prioritize that. But I also think the technology investments we've made certainly continue to bear fruit and pay off and make -- allow our people to be more efficient.

So I think those are the priorities. I think when we think about expense growth on a go-forward basis, not quarter-over-quarter, but over a long term, the range of NIE to average assets is always a decent way to think about it. But ultimately, I think we're most focused on the continued positive operating leverage that we saw here quarter-over-quarter to see 20% year-over-year revenue growth, 10% year-over-year expense growth. I mean that's certainly a dynamic that we continue to prioritize and are confident we'll continue to see as we head into '27.

Brandon Rud

Got it. Okay. And then I think maybe I heard this wrong. Katie, did you say that the provision here in the fourth quarter may be a bit higher than 3Q? And if so, should we interpret that as maybe incremental charge-offs in 4Q? Or would that be to fill the reserve and kind of see a step-up in the ACL ratio?

Katie Morrell

Yes, Brandon, that was the comment in the prepared remarks that we expect fourth quarter to be a bit higher than we saw in the third. Obviously, this is an elevated level from our historical run rate. But we are actively working through these nonperforming assets. So we're just working through them as quickly as possible, and we do anticipate that some of those reserves that we're holding on those loans could migrate to charge-offs and then couple that with the expected loan growth in the fourth quarter, we see that the provision would be slightly elevated.

Brandon Rud

Got it. Okay. Maybe if I could squeeze one more in. I think the security yield this last quarter was just over 5%. I guess -- thanks for the comments on the loan repricing side of things. I guess how much left -- sorry, how much opportunity is left on the securities repricing side as well that could maybe help the NIM over the medium term?

Joseph Chybowski

Yes, Brandon, this is Joe. I think ultimately, I mean, the increase in the securities yield is less about kind of portfolio roll-off and repricing and more about just incremental purchases. So I think with the move up in rates, we certainly saw real opportunities to add to the portfolio, specifically in the tax-exempt municipal space. So that certainly drove higher interest income. It also drove a lower tax rate here in 3Q relative to 2Q.

So I think we'll continue to be opportunistic in the investment portfolio as we kind of balance loan growth, core deposit growth and then ultimately, securities purchases. But I will say the environment with the move in rates up, securities can be a real alternative just given levels that you can add today in really high-quality credits.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call back over to Jerry Back for any closing remarks.

Gerald Baack

Thanks, everyone, for joining our call today. We're very excited here at Bridgewater about our profitability outlook and our growth outlook and very well positioned to finish 2026 strong and optimistic about 2027. I want to say thanks again to our phenomenal team members here at Bridgewater.

Everybody, have a great day. Thank you.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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