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史密斯威森 (SWBI) 2027财年第一季度业绩电话会:销售额增长32.3%

TradingKey2026年9月4日 13:41
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史密斯威森2027财年第一季度净销售额同比增长32.3%至1.126亿美元,调整后EBITDA增长86%,稀释后每股收益为0.06美元。期内毛利率提升至28.7%,主要受关税退款推动。公司整体出货量表现超越大盘,手枪与长枪业务市场份额持续扩大。管理层预计第二季度销售额将同比增长约10%,并维持全年营收增长5%至7%的展望。同时,需关注库存增加、资本支出上升及关税退款对毛利率的单期影响等潜在风险。

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核心要点

  • 2027财年第一季度净销售额同比增长32.3%至1.126亿美元,这主要得益于聚合物手枪、现代运动步枪(MSR)和杠杆式步枪的出货量表现强劲。
  • 调整后EBITDA增长86%,稀释后每股收益由上年同期的亏损0.08美元改善至0.06美元。
  • 史密斯威森表现优于大盘:在调整后NICS背景调查增长7.7%的背景下,公司总出货量增长了近20%。管理层表示,这反映出市场份额的持续扩大。
  • 毛利率扩大280个基点至28.7%,不过290万美元的关税退款贡献了260个基点的提升。
  • 管理层预计2027财年第二季度销售额将同比增长约10%,并维持2027财年全年营收增长约5%至7%的展望。
  • 因公司为秋冬销售旺季做准备,内部库存环比从1.56亿美元增至1.81亿美元,但仍低于上年同期的2.03亿美元。

核心财务数据

指标2027财年第一季度变化 / 背景
净销售额1.126亿美元同比增长2750万美元,即32.3%
调整后EBITDA同比增长86%
毛利率28.7%同比提升280个基点;关税退款贡献260个基点
运营支出2810万美元同比增长300万美元
净利润260万美元上年同期为净亏损340万美元
稀释后每股收益0.06美元上年同期为每股亏损0.08美元
经营性现金流-880万美元上年同期为-810万美元
资本支出1190万美元上年同期为430万美元
内部库存1.81亿美元同比从2.03亿美元下降;环比从1.56亿美元上升
现金与投资2520万美元季末余额
信用额度借款4000万美元季末余额

业务与运营表现

进入体育用品渠道的手枪出货量增长了近17%,而调整后的NICS增长约5%。渠道库存持平,管理层表示这表明零售出货健康且市场份额有所提升。手枪平均售价环比保持稳定,同比上涨近9%,反映出促销活动有限以及需求持续强劲。

长枪出货量增长了近22%,高于调整后NICS 10%的增幅。史密斯威森长枪的渠道库存减少了5,000支。这一增长主要由MSR(现代运动步枪)拉动,部分原因是受州级法规变更前的提前提货推动;同时1854杠杆式步枪的出货量较上年同期翻倍。

受益于有利的产品组合,长枪平均售价环比上涨近11%,同比上涨超过18%。本季度新产品占总出货量的35%。

公司还报告了执法部门和国际市场的出货量呈高两位数增长。管理层将专业渠道的强劲势头部分归因于对史密斯威森培训学院(Smith & Wesson Training Academy)的投资,并表示本财年下半年的订单储备良好。

按数量计算,分销商库存环比下降6.8%,较2025年7月底下降3.5%。管理层预计渠道库存对第二财季业绩不会产生正面或负面影响。

管理层业绩指引

展望项目管理层预期
2027财年第二季度销售额同比增长约10%
2027财年第二季度毛利率较上年同期提升200至300个基点
2027财年第二季度运营支出比2027财年第一季度高出10%至15%
2027财年营收较2026财年增长约5%至7%
2027财年资本支出4500万至5000万美元
实际税率约30%

管理层预计,由于产能吸收改善,第二季度毛利率将有所提升,但部分被与产量相关的支出增加和通胀成本所抵消。预计运营支出的增加反映了客户与运费成本、持续研发投入以及与利润挂钩的薪酬增加。

公司表示,2027财年的增长应当比上一财年更为平稳,上一财年由于州监管法规的变化,第四财季表现尤为强劲。在产品组合和有限促销需求的支撑下,管理层预计当前的平均售价水平将得以延续。

风险与关注焦点

  • 毛利率同比扩大几乎全部来自于关税退款,而供应商成本、人工费用和与产量相关的支出仍面临压力。
  • 第一财季经营性现金流支出增加,原因是净利润的增长被库存增加和利润挂钩薪酬支付所抵消。
  • 由于在斯普林菲尔德(Springfield)的投资以及先进制造计划,计划中的4500万至5000万美元资本支出比公司历史常态运行水平高出约2500万美元。
  • 在2027财年后期,同比对比可能会受到上年州级监管法规变更带来的基数效应影响,尤其是对于现代运动步枪(MSR)。
  • 由于分销渠道内的库存变动,公司的出货趋势可能无法直接反映调整后的NICS趋势。

分析师问答集锦

在被问及为何在第一季度销售额增长32.3%之后仍维持全年业绩指引不变时,管理层指出了上一财年第四财季受州法规变化推动而异常强劲的表现。公司继续预计全年营收增长5%至7%,并将本财年描述为更为平稳的增长模式。

在定价方面,管理层表示长枪平均售价的提高反映了更优的产品组合,包括高定位的1854步枪。在整个产品组合中,强劲的核心需求减少了进行大规模促销的必要性。

关于专业渠道,管理层表示过去12至18个月做出的投资已开始显现成效。在培训学院和活跃的下半年订单储备支持下,预计执法部门的销售将保持强劲势头。

业绩电话会议完整文字记录


完整财报电话会议逐字稿

管理层陈述

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. First Quarter Fiscal 2027 Financial Results Conference Call. This call is being recorded.

At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Kevin Maxwell, Smith & Wesson's General Counsel, who will give us information about today's call. Thank you. You may begin.

Kevin Maxwell

Thank you and good afternoon. Our comments today may contain forward-looking statements. Our use of the words anticipate, project, estimate, expect, intend, believe, and other similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements may also include statements on topics such as our product development, strategies, market share, demand, consumer preferences, inventory conditions for our products, growth opportunities and trends, and industry conditions in general.

Forward-looking statements represent our current judgment about the future and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by our statements today. These risks and uncertainties are described in our SEC filing, which are available on our website, along with a replay of today's call. We have no obligation to update forward-looking statements.

We reference certain non-GAAP financial results. Reconciliations of GAAP financial measures to non-GAAP financial measures can be found in our SEC filing and in today's earnings press release, each of which is available on our website. Also, when we reference EPS, we are always referencing fully diluted EPS, and any reference to EBITDA is to adjusted EBITDA.

When we discuss NICS results, we are referring to adjusted NICS, a metric published by the National Shooting Sports Foundation based on FBI NICS data. Adjusted NICS removes those background checks conducted for purposes other than firearms purchases. Adjusted NICS is generally considered the best available proxy for consumer firearm demand at the retail counter. Because we transfer firearms only to law enforcement agencies and federally licensed distributors and retailers and not to end consumers, NICS generally does not directly correlate to our shipment or market share in any given time period, we believe mostly due to inventory levels in the channel.

Joining us on today's call are Mark Smith, our President and CEO, and Deana McPherson, our CFO.

With that, I will turn the call over to Mark.

Mark Smith

Thank you, Kevin, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today. As we expected, we are off to an excellent start to fiscal 2027 with strong first quarter performance. Continued solid demand for our products in both the consumer and professional channels in Q1 were a direct result of our purposeful focus on innovation, the strength of our industry partnerships, operational execution, and the power of the iconic Smith & Wesson brand.

We delivered significant year-over-year increases in all key financial metrics, including 32% in growth in net sales, 86% growth in adjusted EBITDA, and an increase in EPS to $0.06 from a loss of $0.08 last year. The firearm market continues to be solid, with overall NICS up 7.7% over our first quarter last year. And with our shipments up nearly 20% in the same time period, we once again outperformed, demonstrating that strong consumer preference for our leading product portfolio is driving sustained share growth and continued positive momentum into FY '27.

From a product line perspective, we gained share in both handguns and long guns in the quarter. Handgun unit shipments into the sporting goods channel increased nearly 17%, while NICS was up only about 5%. Importantly, and continuing the trend from FY '26, channel inventories were flat during the same period, indicating strong pull-through and meaningful share gains at the retail counter. This was driven by strong demand for our semi-auto pistols across the board, including our market-leading concealed carry products and new products within our full-size M&P lines.

Long guns also performed well in the quarter, with our unit shipments into the sporting goods channel increasing almost 22% well ahead of the 10% increase in NICS. And within the long-gun category, channel inventories of our products were actually down 5,000 units during the period, again indicating solid share gain at retail. Growth in long guns was led by the MSR category and weighted to May and June ahead of state level regulatory changes. But we also saw strong growth in our 1854 lever action rifles, with shipments doubling compared to last year. A great indicator of our increasing foothold in the hunting segment of the long gun market, where we have historically had limited exposure.

The breadth of our growth in Q1 was a further testament to our ability to react to market shifts through our flexible manufacturing model, consumer preference for our brand and innovative product line, and the strength of our relationship with industry partners. We had success not only across all of our product lines, but also across our customer segments. Within the consumer channel, we saw strong double-digit gains in wholesale, big box, and buying groups. In addition, we drove high double-digit growth in law enforcement and international shipments, a strong indication of professional endorsement of the product lines, and our full capabilities to service these brave men and women not only with our firearms, but with our world-class Smith & Wesson Training Academy, which continues to be a competitive differentiator.

Moving now to ASPs, we continued the trend of outperforming in unit shipments versus the broader market while simultaneously demonstrating resiliency in our pricing. Sustained demand for our core products throughout the period limited our need for promotions in the quarter, and combined with new products accounting for 35% of our shipments, our ASPs continued to move higher even in the typically slower summer months. Handgun ASPs held steady sequentially versus Q4, and were up nearly 9% year over year, while long-gun ASPs increased nearly 11% sequentially and over 18% year over year.

Finally, a quick few notes on inventory. As I mentioned earlier, channel inventories were flat and combined with our strong results indicate we continue to see healthy pull-through of our products at the retail counter. At the end of Q1, our internal inventory was $181 million, down from $203 million a year ago and up from $156 million at the end of Q4. The sequential growth reflects our normal seasonal build as we prepare for the busy fall and winter seasons, as well as restocking of long gun inventories following a strong Q4. Our disciplined sales and operations planning process, which aims to align production to forward demand across every product line, gives us confidence in our inventory position as we look to the balance of fiscal 2027.

Looking forward, we believe we are well positioned to continue gaining momentum as we move into the traditionally stronger second half of the year. Our award-winning product line is in high demand with both our loyal consumers and law enforcement and professional customers, as indicated by our shipments consistently outpacing the market and our growth in professional sales. We are making significant investments in our operational infrastructure to support our growth and drive further efficiencies. And we are well underway with installation of this new equipment in our machining center in Springfield, Massachusetts.

Our balance sheet remains strong, and we continue to deploy capital efficiently to drive long-term growth and stockholder value. And with this momentum, we expect our second quarter to significantly outperform last year on both the top and bottom lines, which Deana will cover in a few minutes.

In closing, this continues to be a story about brand strength paired with a purposeful long-term strategy. Our focus on innovation, marketing, strong partnerships, and operational excellence, and importantly, our team's relentless focus on execution across every function is what drives our outperformance. As always, I just want to note that none of this is possible without each and every member of our team across all functions working together towards making Smith & Wesson the number 1 firearms brand. I'm incredibly proud of all of them for their exceptional talent and dedication, always striving to exceed the expectations of our passionate and loyal customers.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Deana to cover the financials.

Deana McPherson

Thanks, Mark. Net sales for our first quarter of $112.6 million or $27.5 million are for 32.3% above the prior year on strong polymer pistol, MSR, and lever action shipments. During the quarter, inventory at distributors declined by 6.8% from the end of the prior quarter and 3.5% compared with the end of July 2025 in terms of actual units, indicating continued strong sell-through of our products at retail. Handgun ASPs remained sequentially flat versus Q4, but higher than Q1 2026 due to lower promotional spend during the current quarter and continued strong demand for our products. Long-gun ASPs increased sequentially and year-over-year due to a favorable mix.

Gross margin of 28.7% was 2.8% above the prior year, primarily driven by $2.9 million of tariff refunds, which accounted for 260 basis points of increased margin during the quarter. Increased absorption on higher production was almost entirely offset by higher volume-related spending, supplier cost increases, and increased labor costs, both from increased headcount and increased wage rates. Operating expenses of $28.1 million for our first quarter were $3 million higher than the prior year comparable quarter with legal expenses, profit-related compensation costs, volume-related increases in selling expenses and freight, and higher advertising costs driving the increase.

The higher revenue and associated margin, combined with a decrease in interest expense due to lower net debt, resulted in $2.6 million of net income, or $0.06 of EPS, compared with a $3.4 million net loss, or an $0.08 loss per share last year. Cash used in operations for the first quarter was $8.8 million compared with $8.1 million in the prior year due to higher net income being offset by a bigger increase in inventory and the payment of profit-related compensation. Because of increased demand during last quarter, internal inventory in certain product lines was depleted.

In addition, we generally build inventory during the first half of the fiscal year in order to level load our operations in preparation for the busy fall and winter season. We spent $11.9 million in capital projects this quarter, compared with $4.3 million last year, and continue to expect our capital spending for the year to be between $45 and $50 million. As a reminder, our capital spending this year is approximately $25 million higher than our historical run rate due to investments we are making in our Springfield facility, combined with advanced manufacturing initiatives at multiple locations. we paid $6 million in dividends and ended the quarter with $25.2 million in cash and investments and $40 million in borrowings on our line of credit.

Finally, our Board has authorized our $0.13 quarterly dividend to be paid to stockholders of record on September 17th with payment to be made on October 1st. Looking forward to our second quarter, we continue to expect a normal seasonal environment and strong demand for our products, resulting in anticipated sales for Q2 of roughly 10% above last year. With channel inventory continuing to remain at healthy levels, we don't expect inventory to have an impact, positively or negatively on our second quarter. For the full year, we continue to expect that our fiscal 2027 revenue will grow approximately 5% to 7% over FY '26.

We expect Q2 gross margin to be 200 to 300 basis points higher than last year's Q2 on increased absorption, partially offset by increased volume-related spending and inflationary cost increases. Operating expenses in Q2 will likely be 10% to 15% higher than in Q1 due to volume-related customer and freight costs combined with continued investment in R&D and increased profit-related costs such as profit sharing. Our effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 30%.

With that, operator, can we please open the call for questions from our analysts?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Mark Smith with Lake Street Capital Markets.

分析师问答

Alex Ewig

This is Alex Ewig asking questions for Mark Smith. Q1 net sales grew 32% versus the 15% to 20% you guys guided in June. But the full year guidance, you guys kind of left unchanged at 5% to 7%. And Q2 is only 10% above last year. What drove this upside, and was it timing or pull forward from Q2? And what does the implied back half deceleration look like? Kind of projecting flat to down in the back half. And what does this kind of assume about demand?

Mark Smith

Thanks, Alex. So the growth this year, I'll just point you back to the full year. Yes, I mean, it's going to be a little bit more steady this year. I mean, I think last year, as you can see, it was a big Q4, and some of that was some of the state regulatory changes driving a pretty big Q4 for us, specifically on the MSRs. So this year, great, great start to the year with outperformance in Q1. And we just think this year it's going to be just a little steadier than it was last year, but at the end of the day, we kind of think of that as that's good news. It's steady growth. It's sustained market share gains and something that we, we can kind of really build on that momentum as we go into the back half of the year.

So it's still up significantly versus last year to 7% growth, pretty happy with that, and it's going to be smoother this year than it was last.

Alex Ewig

And then ASP on both handguns and long guns outpaced our expectations. How much of this is mix versus price increases this year? And do you guys expect ASPs to kind of remain at these levels moving forward?

Mark Smith

Yes, we've been pretty happy with the ASPs. I think kind of in Q1, as Deana covered on the long gun side, definitely mix. We're really happy with the performance of the 1854, which, as you know, is kind of the top end of the pricing hierarchy for us. So that was really good and continued proof that we're really gaining a nice foothold there in that hunting segment of the market, whereas according to prepared remarks, we historically kind of had a smaller presence. So a little bit of mix, but a lot of it also is really limited promotions. We've had pretty solid demand for our core line as well. And so Q1, I think, was a story. A little bit of mix, but a lot of, no need to participate to a meaningful degree in promotions and we do anticipate that that's those ASP levels will continue going forward.

Alex Ewig

And then professional channel units jump pretty sharp off of a relatively small base. What type of long-term opportunity do you guys see in that professional channel?

Mark Smith

Yes, we're really pleased with the performance on the LE side. The investments in the academy are really starting to pay dividends and a lot of the efforts we've been putting in over the last 12, 18 months really come into fruition. That's a longer sales cycle there with the professional channel. And so I think you're starting to see some of the results and some of those efforts come to fruition. So really starting to gain momentum there. We're pretty pleased there. We're continuing to invest in the academy, a lot of traction there with the law enforcement professional user community, and we expect that to continue. We have a lot in the pipeline, a nice pipeline, as we look to the back half of the year.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mark Smith for closing remarks.

Mark Smith

All right. Thank you, Operator, and thanks, everyone, for joining us today and your interest in the company and Smith & Wesson. We look forward to speaking with everybody again next quarter.

Operator

Thank you. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect at this time, and thank you for your participation.

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