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Oil: Price shock impact on US growth – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz assess how the recent surge in Brent and WTI prices affects the US economy. They stress that the United States is structurally less vulnerable than in the 1970s thanks to lower oil intensity and higher domestic production.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US: Earnings resilience and AI investment support outlook – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels and Lucia Ku maintain a positive six‑month view on US equities and USD investment grade credit. They highlight the United States’ status as an energy exporter, robust projected earnings growth, and strong technology and AI‑related investment.Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
NOK: Energy support and hawkish shift – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley argues that higher energy prices and a more hawkish Norges Bank stance are supportive for the Norwegian Krone (NOK). Norway’s strong Oil and gas export position and limited domestic vulnerability to the current energy crisis underpin NOK resilience.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
UK: Growth risks from energy shock – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja warns that the UK faces rising recession risks as higher energy prices hit growth. Using Hamilton-based energy shock measures and probability models, he expects United Kingdom (UK) GDP growth to slow to 0.7%, with downside risks increasing.Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Fed's Musalem: Monetary policy should hold in place for some time
In a speech delivered before a gathering at the American Enterprise Institute in Washington, St. Louis Federal Reserve President Alberto Musalem said that the monetary policy is well-positioned and that it should hold in place for some time, per Reuters.Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US President Trump: Iran’s New Regime President asked for a ceasefire
In a post published on Truth Social on Wednesday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that Iran’s New Regime President, who is "much less radicalized and far more intelligent than his predecessors," has asked the US for a ceasefire.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US Retail Sales rise 0.6% to $738.4 billion in February
Retail Sales in the United States (US) rose 0.6% to $738.4 billion in February, the US Census Bureau reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 0.1% contraction recorded in January and came in slightly better than the market expectation for an increase of 0.5%.Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US: Limited fallout from oil shock – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz argue that the US economy is better positioned to absorb higher Oil prices than in past crises. Lower oil intensity, near self-sufficiency and experience from the 2022 shock support resilience.Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
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