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Conferencia de resultados del Q2 fiscal de 2027 de Dell (DELL): La cartera de pedidos de IA alcanza los 95.000 millones de dólares y eleva sus previsiones

TradingKey1 de sep de 2026 23:43
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Dell Technologies registró unos ingresos récord de 47.000 millones de dólares en el segundo trimestre del ejercicio fiscal 2027, lo que supone un incremento interanual del 58%, mientras que el beneficio por acción diluido no GAAP aumentó un 203% hasta los 7,04 dólares. El crecimiento estuvo liderado por Infrastructure Solutions Group, impulsado por una sólida demanda de servidores de IA y almacenamiento. Ante este escenario, la dirección elevó las previsiones de ingresos para el conjunto del año hasta los 192.000 millones de dólares en el punto medio, respaldada por una mayor eficiencia operativa y una fuerte generación de flujo de caja libre.

Resumen generado por IA

Puntos clave

  • Dell Technologies registró unos ingresos de 47.000 millones de dólares en el segundo trimestre del ejercicio fiscal 2027, un 58% más interanual, mientras que el BPA diluido no GAAP aumentó un 203% hasta alcanzar un récord de 7,04 dólares.
  • Los ingresos de Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) aumentaron un 89% hasta los 31.800 millones de dólares. El resultado operativo de ISG alcanzó los 4.800 millones de dólares, con una expansión del margen operativo de 620 puntos básicos hasta el 15%.
  • Los pedidos de servidores de IA alcanzaron la cifra récord de 60.900 millones de dólares, los ingresos por servidores de IA fueron de 16.400 millones de dólares y la cartera de pedidos pendientes al cierre subió a 95.000 millones de dólares. Dell registró 131.700 millones de dólares en pedidos de IA durante los últimos 12 meses.
  • Los ingresos por redes y servidores tradicionales crecieron un 122% hasta los 10.500 millones de dólares, mientras que los ingresos por almacenamiento aumentaron un 26% hasta los 4.900 millones de dólares. La dirección atribuyó la demanda a la modernización de los centros de datos, las cargas de trabajo de CPU relacionadas con la IA, los requisitos de seguridad y el aumento de la cuota de mercado.
  • Dell elevó sus previsiones de ingresos para todo el año en 25.000 millones de dólares, fijando el punto medio en 192.000 millones de dólares. Ahora prevé un BPA diluido no GAAP de 25,50 dólares y unos ingresos por servidores de IA de 74.000 millones de dólares.
  • La empresa devolvió a los accionistas la cifra récord de 4.300 millones de dólares durante el trimestre mediante recompras de acciones y dividendos, respaldada por 8.100 millones de dólares de flujo de caja libre ajustado.

Resultados financieros principales

Las métricas de beneficios, márgenes y flujo de caja son no GAAP, a menos que se indique lo contrario en la llamada.

MétricaResultado del segundo trimestre del ejercicio fiscal 2027Variación interanual / contexto
Ingresos47.000 millones de dólares+58%
Margen bruto en dólares9.900 millones de dólares+78%
Tasa de margen bruto21,1%Impulsado por la mejora del margen de ISG y una mayor proporción de ISG en la mezcla de ingresos
Gastos operativos4.000 millones de dólares+22%; 8,5% de los ingresos, 250 puntos básicos menos
Resultado operativo5.900 millones de dólares+160%; 12,6% de los ingresos
Beneficio neto4.600 millones de dólares+189%
BPA diluido7,04 dólares+203%
Flujo de caja de las operaciones2.200 millones de dólaresSe señalan como impulsores una mayor rentabilidad y el crecimiento secuencial de los ingresos
Flujo de caja libre ajustado8.100 millones de dólares
Capital devuelto a los accionistas4.300 millones de dólaresIncluyó la recompra de 9,5 millones de acciones a un precio medio de 401 dólares por acción y un dividendo de aproximadamente 0,63 dólares por acción
Efectivo e inversiones14.200 millones de dólares200 millones de dólares más a nivel secuencial
Ratio de apalancamiento principal0,8xAl cierre del trimestre

Desempeño operativo y de negocio

Infraestructura de IA

El impulso de los servidores de IA se aceleró durante el trimestre. Dell registró 60.900 millones de dólares en pedidos y 16.400 millones de dólares en ingresos, cerrando el segundo trimestre con una cartera acumulada de 95.000 millones de dólares. Su cartera de proyectos a cinco trimestres creció secuencialmente y se mantuvo varias veces por encima de la cartera acumulada, según la dirección.

La demanda se diversificó entre clientes de neocloud, entidades soberanas y empresas. El número de clientes de IA de Dell superó los 6.500, incluidos 3.300 clientes sumados en los últimos tres trimestres. La dirección también informó de aumentos en clientes corporativos, compradores recurrentes, ingresos corporativos y la cartera de proyectos corporativos.

Dell señaló que los despliegues complejos de IA pueden requerir más de 50 diseños para responder a las exigencias de rendimiento de la carga de trabajo, alimentación, refrigeración y centros de datos. La empresa también se convirtió en la primera en enviar sistemas de rack diseñados sobre la plataforma NVIDIA Vera Rubin.

Servidores tradicionales y redes

Los ingresos por redes y servidores tradicionales aumentaron un 122% hasta los 10.500 millones de dólares, superando la demanda a la oferta disponible. La dirección afirmó que la mayor parte del crecimiento provino de clientes corporativos existentes que modernizaron infraestructuras de centros de datos más antiguas.

Dell ha ganado más de 10 puntos porcentuales de cuota de mercado en servidores tradicionales durante los últimos dos trimestres, según la dirección. La empresa identificó 1,2 millones de activos instalados que funcionan con tecnología 14G o más antigua, lo que respalda lo que considera una oportunidad duradera de renovación y consolidación.

Un mayor número de núcleos, la capacidad de DRAM y el contenido de almacenamiento incrementaron las configuraciones del sistema y los precios. Dell también observó una demanda adicional de CPU derivada de flujos de trabajo de IA agéntica, incluidas compras por parte de firmas de neocloud, clientes de negociación de alta frecuencia y usuarios corporativos avanzados.

Almacenamiento

Los ingresos por almacenamiento aumentaron un 26% hasta los 4.900 millones de dólares. La demanda de almacenamiento con IP propia de Dell creció por encima del mercado por sexto trimestre consecutivo, mientras que una mejor combinación de productos de IP propia y unas tarifas más altas contribuyeron a una mayor rentabilidad.

La demanda fue amplia en PowerFlex, PowerStore, PowerProtect y PowerVault. PowerStore registró su noveno trimestre consecutivo de crecimiento de la demanda a doble dígito, mientras que PowerScale y ObjectScale impulsaron el almacenamiento no estructurado a crecer al menos a doble dígito por tercer trimestre consecutivo.

La dirección prevé que la IA genere una demanda adicional de almacenamiento a medida que los clientes preparen, muevan, conserven y protejan mayores volúmenes de datos. Lightning, el sistema de archivos paralelos de Dell para casos de uso nativos de IA, sigue siendo un producto relativamente nuevo y se encuentra en fase de pruebas beta con varios clientes.

Client Solutions Group

Los ingresos de CSG crecieron un 20% hasta los 15.000 millones de dólares. Los ingresos comerciales subieron un 22% hasta los 13.200 millones de dólares, logrando su octavo trimestre consecutivo de crecimiento, mientras que los ingresos de consumo aumentaron un 7% hasta los 1.800 millones de dólares.

El resultado operativo de CSG fue de 1.100 millones de dólares, lo que representa el 7,6% de los ingresos. La disciplina de precios y una mayor escala respaldaron la rentabilidad. Las grandes empresas continuaron renovando sus flotas de PC, aunque los clientes más sensibles a los costes ampliaron los ciclos de actualización.

Previsiones de la dirección

Dell señaló que prevé una segunda mitad del ejercicio fiscal 2027 más sólida y elevó sus perspectivas para todas las líneas de negocio.

Métrica de previsiónPrevisión
Ingresos del tercer trimestre fiscal49.000 millones de dólares en el punto medio, aproximadamente un +80% interanual
Crecimiento de ISG en el tercer trimestre fiscalAproximadamente +145%
Ingresos por servidores de IA en el tercer trimestre fiscal19.000 millones de dólares
Crecimiento de CSG en el tercer trimestre fiscalAproximadamente +15%
Gastos operativos del tercer trimestre fiscalDescenso de un dígito bajo a nivel secuencial
Crecimiento del resultado operativo en el tercer trimestre fiscalAproximadamente +120%
Margen operativo de ISG en el tercer trimestre fiscalUn aumento de algo más de 1 punto porcentual interanual
Margen operativo de CSG en el tercer trimestre fiscalAproximadamente el 6%
Número de acciones diluidas en el tercer trimestre fiscalAproximadamente 651 millones
BPA no GAAP diluido del tercer trimestre fiscal6,50 dólares en el punto medio, un aumento de más del 150%
Ingresos para todo el año192.000 millones de dólares en el punto medio, revisados al alza en 25.000 millones de dólares; aproximadamente +70%
Crecimiento anual de ISGAproximadamente +120%
Ingresos anuales por servidores de IA74.000 millones de dólares, aproximadamente el triple interanual
Crecimiento anual de servidores tradicionalesAlgo más del 100%
Crecimiento anual del almacenamientoEn torno al 15%
Crecimiento anual de CSGEn torno al 15%
Porcentaje de gastos operativos anualesAproximadamente el 8% de los ingresos
Crecimiento del resultado operativo para todo el añoAproximadamente +120%, con una mejora del margen de más de 2 puntos porcentuales
BPA no GAAP diluido para todo el año25,50 dólares en el punto medio, aproximadamente un +150%

La dirección afirmó que se espera que las tasas de margen bruto, excluyendo el efecto de la mezcla de servidores de IA, aumenten año tras año. La empresa atribuyó su apalancamiento operativo a una mayor escala y a esfuerzos plurianuales para simplificar, estandarizar y automatizar las operaciones.

Riesgos y aspectos a vigilar

  • La oferta sigue siendo ajustada en DRAM, NAND, CPU, unidades de disco, componentes ópticos, sustratos, componentes de potencia e infraestructura de racks para IA. La dirección señaló que la demanda superó a la oferta tanto en servidores tradicionales como de IA.
  • El aumento de los costes de los componentes está contribuyendo al incremento de los precios de servidores y almacenamiento. Dell reconoció que parte del crecimiento de ingresos reportado refleja la inflación, aunque afirmó que la demanda subyacente de unidades y configuraciones sigue siendo significativa.
  • La dirección advirtió que no cabe esperar que todos los factores favorables tras el rendimiento del margen de ISG en el segundo trimestre —incluidas la mezcla de productos y las tarifas— continúen al mismo nivel.
  • Dell prevé que el margen operativo de CSG en el tercer trimestre fiscal se modere a alrededor del 6%, a medida que equilibra la demanda, la cuota de mercado y la rentabilidad.
  • Los clientes de PC sensibles a los costes están extendiendo los ciclos de sustitución, y Dell ya había observado previamente señales de un mercado de PC más débil en el segundo semestre. La empresa redirigió parte de los componentes disponibles hacia productos de infraestructura.

Puntos destacados del turno de preguntas de los analistas

Los analistas se centraron en si el crecimiento de la infraestructura no relacionada con la IA estuvo impulsado por una demanda sostenible o por los precios y las compras anticipadas. La dirección afirmó que la modernización, la seguridad, la resiliencia y la consolidación fueron los principales impulsores. Las previsiones de Dell para la segunda mitad del año asumen que el crecimiento de los servidores tradicionales se mantendrá por encima del 100% y el del almacenamiento en torno al 15%.

Respecto a la demanda de IA a más largo plazo, la dirección afirmó que su cartera de proyectos continuó creciendo incluso tras registrar 131.700 millones de dólares en pedidos a lo largo de los últimos cuatro trimestres. Dell prevé que la IA agéntica y las cargas de trabajo de inferencia aumenten la demanda en servidores acelerados, sistemas de CPU tradicionales, redes y almacenamiento, aunque estas estimaciones de mercado a más largo plazo siguen siendo proyecciones de la dirección.

Las preguntas también abordaron la mezcla de clientes. La dirección indicó que la demanda de servidores tradicionales sigue procediendo principalmente de clientes corporativos consolidados. La demanda de IA se está expandiendo entre las empresas sin desplazar la actividad continua de clientes soberanos y grandes firmas de neocloud.

En cuanto a los márgenes, la dirección señaló la escala como el factor que más contribuyó a la mejora de ISG. La escala aportó algo más de 400 puntos básicos en el segundo trimestre y se espera que aporte más de 650 puntos básicos durante todo el año, junto con la mezcla de almacenamiento, la disciplina de precios y la eficiencia operativa.

Transcripción completa de la llamada de resultados


Transcripción completa de la conferencia de resultados

Comentarios de la dirección

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Fiscal Year 2027 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call for Dell Technologies Inc. I'd like to inform all participants this call is being recorded at the request of Dell Technologies. This broadcast is the copyrighted property of Dell Technologies Inc. Any rebroadcast of this information in whole or part without the prior written permission of Dell Technologies is prohibited. [Operator Instructions]

I'd like to turn the call over to Paul Frantz, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Frantz, you may begin.

Paul Frantz

Thanks, everyone, for joining us. With me today are Jeff Clarke, David Kennedy and Tyler Johnson. Our earnings materials are available on our IR website, and I encourage you to review these materials. Also, please take some time to review the presentation, which includes additional content to complement our discussion this afternoon.

During this call, unless otherwise indicated, all references to financial measures refer to non-GAAP financial measures including non-GAAP gross margin, operating expenses, operating income, net income, diluted earnings per share, free cash flow and adjusted free cash flow. A reconciliation of these measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our web deck and our press release. Growth percentages refer to year-over-year change unless otherwise specified. Statements made during this call that relate to future results and events are forward-looking statements based on current expectations. Actual results and events differ materially from those projected due to a number of risks and uncertainties, which are discussed in our web deck and our SEC filings. We assume no obligation to update our forward-looking statements.

Now I'll turn it over to Jeff.

Jeffrey Clarke

Thanks, Paul, and thanks, everyone, for joining us. Another outstanding quarter. I'm proud of how our team executed across the business delivering record revenue and record earnings per share. Revenue was $47 billion, up 58% and earnings per share was $7.04, up 203%. These results reflect the pounding benefits of our competitive advantages, the breadth of our portfolio and the strength of our operating model. Our modernization efforts are driving greater efficiency and significant operating leverage enabling us to grow earnings faster than revenue.

Customers no longer see IT environment simply as cost centers, but as value drivers that enable growth, productivity and competitive advantage. As a result, they are expanding and reallocating budgets to support continued investment. This is creating opportunities across our portfolio from infrastructure to client devices, our world-class supply chain and ability to serve customers across their IT environments are helping us meet more of their needs and gain share. Our deployment and service capabilities are helping customers integrate solutions across their IT environment and capture more value quickly. The proof is in our results.

Over the past 12 months, we have booked more than $130 billion in AI server orders. In just the past 2 quarters, we have generated almost as much revenue from traditional servers and networking as we have in any prior full year in company history. Storage returned to growth and share gain with strong demand for Dell IP storage products and CSG revenue is growing at the fastest rate in 5 years. It is clear why demand for our solutions is succeeding available supply, our results and guidance demonstrate the strength of our position as customers enter a new era of infrastructure modernization.

Customers are modernizing their data centers for both AI and non-AI workloads and the benefits are meaningful. AI is an important catalyst, but the opportunity extends well beyond AI optimized infrastructure. AI requires modern disaggregated architectures that keep data accessible and in motion across compute, storage and networking. It is also accelerating investment across traditional IT environments as customers see greater performance, efficiency and resiliency. Our AI server momentum continues to accelerate. We booked $60.9 billion of AI orders in this quarter than most in our history.

We are also seeing AI-related tailwinds in traditional servers and networking along with early signs of increased storage demand as customers prepare, manage and protect growing volumes of data. Deployment methods are evolving as well. On-prem and edge infrastructure offers attractive token economics for the right workloads while giving customers greater control over their data and intellectual property. Our portfolio, global reach and deep customer relationships position us to help customers design, deploy their right solutions for their performance, cost and security requirements. Together, these trends are expanding our addressable market and driving demand across compute, networking, storage and PCs. This represents a significant long-term opportunity for us. It plays directly to our strengths and expands the value we can deliver across the entire IT environment.

Now on to the results. Starting with ISG. Revenue increased 89% to a record $31.8 billion with operating income of $4.8 billion and an operating income rate of 15%. In AI, demand continues to accelerate. In Q2, we booked a record $60.9 billion in AI orders and recognized $16.4 billion in AI server revenue. We exited the quarter with a record $95 billion of AI backlog, and our pipeline continue to grow sequentially and remains multiples of our backlog even after converting $131.7 billion into orders over the past 12 months. Demand is broadening across neoclouds, sovereigns and enterprise customers and our customer count has surpassed 6,500. The scale and complexity of these deployments reinforce why customers choose us.

AI infrastructure requires much more than assembling and delivering components. These opportunities demand significant engineering, design and deployment expertise with some engagements requiring upwards of 50 unique designs as customers optimize for workload performance, power, cooling and the data center environment. This complexity plays to our strength. Our engineering capabilities, broad portfolio, global supply chain and ability to deploy and support infrastructure at scale globally differentiate us, enable customers to move from design to production more quickly.

We demonstrated those capabilities again by becoming the first to ship rack systems engineered on the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform. The AI market is evolving rapidly, and we are focused on expanding our platforms and capabilities solving increasingly complex customer challenges and innovating across the infrastructure stack with accelerating demand and a growing pipeline and differentiated capabilities, we are well positioned to capture the opportunity ahead.

Moving to traditional servers. Revenue was up 122% as demand remains exceptionally strong, supported by multiple vectors of growth. First, a majority of our growth is coming from existing customers as they continue to refresh and modernize their data centers to support traditional workloads. Heightened security and resiliency requirements are also creating incremental demand as customers modernize their infrastructure. Second, we are seeing a growing trend of customers that require meaningful CPU compute capacity to support AI and agentive workflows. These workloads are creating incremental demand for traditional servers. We are executing very well against both opportunities and gaining share.

Over the past 2 quarters, we have gained more than 10 points of traditional server share, and we expect to gain share again this quarter. With the majority of the installed base still on 14th generation or older servers, we see a significant and durable refresh opportunity ahead. The strength and breadth of demand, combined with our continued share gains demonstrate the competitiveness of our portfolio and the consistency of our execution.

Turning to storage. Revenue was up 26% as strong demand for our Dell IP portfolio translated into revenue growth and improved storage profitability. Dell IP delivered another record demand growth quarter making this our sixth consecutive quarter of demand growth above market. Demand remains broad-based, enterprises continue to modernize their storage environment as data growth increases the importance of keeping data available and secure. At the same time, we are beginning to see incremental demand from AI workloads, which require customers to prepare, manage and move increasingly large volumes of data.

We saw strong growth across PowerFlex, PowerStore, PowerProtect and PowerVault, with PowerStore posting double-digit demand growth for the ninth consecutive quarter. PowerScale and ObjectScale also drove another exceptional quarter in unstructured storage which has now grown at double digit or better for 3 consecutive quarters. Storage is becoming a more meaningful contributor to our growth and profitability. Dell IP continues to increase as a percentage of our storage mix and margins continued to improve, supporting overall ISG profitability. Our share gains expanding Dell IP mix and accelerating pace of product development give us confidence in the opportunity ahead.

Turning to CSG. Revenue grew 20% with demand growth across all regions and verticals. Commercial revenue grew 22%, our eighth consecutive quarter of growth with demand up for the tenth quarter. Large enterprise customers continue to refresh their PC installed base, driving double-digit growth across all regions. More cost-sensitive customers are extending their upgrade cycles. This is increasing the number of older devices in the installed base and expanding the long-term refresh opportunity for CSG. Consumer revenue was up 7%, the fourth consecutive quarter of demand growth. CSG profitability remained strong, benefiting from price discipline and greater scale.

In closing, we delivered record revenue and EPS with continued strong cash flow and record capital returned to shareholders. Our results reflect several reinforcing factors. First, infrastructure demand is growing structurally driven by data center modernization, AI adoption and attractive economics of deploying workloads on-prem. Second, our broad-based portfolio across AI infrastructure, traditional servers and networking, storage and PCs enable us to serve the full range of our customers' needs. And lastly, we delivered value at scale through our engineering and deployment expertise, supply chain scale and fast disciplined operating model. Our full year operating expense rate guidance of approximately 8% of revenue is the lowest in our company's 42-year history demonstrates the operating leverage this model can deliver.

These advantages reinforce one another. They are driving growth, share gains, profitability and cash generation. By creating more value for our customers, we compound our advantages and create durable cash flow and long-term value for our shareholders. I am proud of our team's performance. We entered the second half with strong momentum and confidence in our position.

With that, let me turn it over to David to walk through the financials and our outlook.

David Kennedy

Thanks, Jeff. We delivered another record quarter, capping a very strong first half of the year. The team executed exceptionally well, driving record revenue, record EPS and record shareholder returns. Total revenue was up 58% to $47 billion. Gross margin dollars grew 78% to $9.9 billion. Gross margin rate was 21.1% driven by an improvement in ISG margin rate and a higher mix of ISG revenue. Operating expenses were up 22% to $4 billion, primarily from variable compensation tied to our outperformance.

Building on last quarter, we continue to drive significant scale in the P&L with OpEx down 250 basis points to 8.5% of revenue. Operating income grew 160% to $5.9 billion or 12.6% of revenue, driven by higher revenue, scale and price discipline across servers, storage and CSG. Net income was up 189% to $4.6 billion, primarily driven by strong operating income. Diluted EPS increased 203% to $7.04, a record.

Moving to ISG. ISG delivered record revenue of $31.8 billion, up 89%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of double-digit or better revenue growth. AI server momentum accelerated, and we set records across the board, including $60.9 billion in orders, $16.4 billion in revenue, and $95 billion in ending backlog. Traditional server and networking revenue was $10.5 billion, up 122% as demand continued to outpace supply. Storage revenue was $4.9 billion, up 26%, with strong demand across the Dell IP portfolio, driving revenue growth and significant margin contribution. Dell IP storage demand has grown above market for 6 consecutive quarters. Unstructured storage remain one of our fastest-growing solutions with broader strength across the rest of the portfolio.

ISG operating income was a record $4.8 billion, up 225%, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit or better growth, primarily driven by higher revenue across the business. Operating margin was 15%, up 620 basis points. Looking at the key drivers of margin performance, a number of factors came together and went our way this quarter. The demand environment was strong, mix and rates were favorable and the team executed with discipline. While we would not expect every benefit to continue at this level, the quarter also reflects meaningful structural improvements in the business, which is reflected in our second half guidance.

Looking more closely at the drivers. First, we are realizing the benefits of our multiyear modernization journey. That work is driving greater efficiency and strong operating leverage, resulting in significant scale. Second, storage profitability was up with a higher mix of Dell IP and rate expansion across the solutions. And third, we maintained strong operational and price discipline in the dynamic environment reflecting our team's strong execution and continued focus on supporting our customers.

Turning to CSG. CSG revenue was up 20% to $15 billion. Commercial revenue grew for the eighth consecutive quarter, up 22% to $13.2 billion, and consumer revenue increased 7% to $1.8 billion. CSG operating income was $1.1 billion or 7.6% of revenue, driven by pricing discipline and the benefits of scale in the P&L. We will continue to balance customer demand with availability of supply to drive profitable share gain. CSG remains an integral part of the business. It provides scale across our supply chain and manufacturing, completes our end-to-end portfolio with the essential productivity device and is our most capitally efficient business. Together, these strengths make CSG a significant source of cash generation and helps fund growth across Dell and capital returns to our shareholders.

Moving to cash on the balance sheet. We delivered another strong cash quarter with cash flow from operations of $2.2 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $8.1 billion. This is primarily driven by sequential revenue growth and higher profitability. We returned an all-time record $4.3 billion to shareholders this quarter, including repurchasing 9.5 million shares at an average price of $401 per share and paying a dividend of approximately $0.63 per share. This acceleration in shareholder return, up $2.2 billion quarter-on-quarter reflects our agility and commitment to capital deployment as we generate more significant adjusted free cash flow as well as our confidence in our long-term value creation. We ended the quarter with $14.2 billion in cash and investments of $0.2 billion sequentially and our core leverage ratio is at 0.8x.

Overall, our strong cash generation and healthy balance sheet, further validated by positive credit rating actions during the quarter provides significant flexibility to invest in the business and continue returning capital to shareholders.

Turning to guidance. We've had a strong first half of the year, and we expect the second half to be stronger. The momentum we've seen continues, and we are raising our expectations about every line of business. Our second half gross margin rate outlook has improved over the past 90 days and we continue to drive significant operating leverage and scale. For Q3, we expect revenue to be $49 billion at the midpoint, up roughly 80% year-on-year. We expect ISG to grow roughly 145%, supported by $19 billion in AI server revenue. CSG revenue is expected to be up roughly 15%.

Operating expenses are expected to be down low single digits sequentially. Operating income is expected to grow roughly 120%. We expect ISG operating income rate to be up just over 1 point year-over-year, even as AI server revenue more than triples year-over-year. We expect CSG operating income rate to moderate to roughly 6% as we balance demand, share and profitability. We anticipate a diluted share count of approximately 651 million shares. Diluted non-GAAP earnings per share is expected to be $6.50, up over 150% at the midpoint. For the full year, we are raising our revenue guide by $25 billion to $192 billion at the midpoint, up roughly 70%, with diluted non-GAAP EPS of $25.50 up approximately 150%. We expect ISG to grow roughly 120%, driven by AI server revenue up 3x year-over-year to $74 billion. We expect traditional servers to grow just over 100%, storage up in the mid-teens and CSG revenue to grow in the mid-teens.

Excluding the mix impact of AI servers, gross margin rates are up year-over-year. Our modernization efforts are paying off, simplifying, standardizing, automating and enhancing our operating model with AI delivering significant operating leverage with operating expenses to be approximately 8% of revenue, the lowest level in the company's 42-year history. With gross margin improvement and the benefits of significant scale, operating income is expected to grow approximately 120% with over 2 points of rate improvement year-over-year. I&O is expected to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion. Diluted non-GAAP earnings per share is expected to be $25.50, up approximately 150% at the midpoint.

In closing, we've delivered another exceptional quarter, capping a record first half of the year. Over the past 2 quarters, revenue was $90.8 billion, up 71%, EPS grew 208% to $11.90. We generated record cash flow from operations of $6.3 billion and returned an all-time record $6.3 billion to shareholders. The team executed exceptionally well across the business. The second quarter provided further evidence that AI momentum is accelerating with $60.9 billion in orders $16.4 billion in revenue and a backlog approaching $100 billion. At the same time, traditional servers, storage and CSG all contributed, reinforcing the breadth and balance of our portfolio.

Beyond the numbers, I would highlight the operating discipline. The modernization work we've invested in over several years is showing up in scale, in margin structure and in our ability to execute in a dynamic supply environment. We're entering the second half from a position of strength, and we'll continue to balance growth with discipline to drive long-term shareholder value. You are seeing the compounding benefits of our durable competitive advantages, differentiated operating model and operational discipline. We're excited about the second half and confident in our long-term value creation.

Thank you to the team for their execution, and thank you all for your time today. Now I'll turn it back to Paul to begin Q&A.

Paul Frantz

[Operator Instructions] Let's go with the first question.

Operator

Our first question comes from Amit Daryanani with Evercore.

Preguntas y respuestas

Amit Daryanani

I want to spend some time on the non-AI part of ISG? And if I look at a traditional server growth of 122% was actually faster than AI compute and storage grew 26% as well. I think a worry folks will have is this driven by a combination of pricing and prebuys rather than real demand. So I don't know if you can spend some time just talking about what do you think is driving this demand? And is there a way to think about pricing versus demand versus share gains? And really, any color on what workloads or use cases are you seeing this infrastructure going into and durability effect would be helpful.

Jeffrey Clarke

Sure, Amit. Let me try a little bit. So if you look at traditional servers and what we're seeing, which is the vast majority of the growth that we saw in the quarter. It's a consistent theme that I think we talked about last quarter. One, there's a modernization in the data center. That modernization continues to drive consolidation. It is increasing space, driving power efficiency and cooling, and it's obviously driving demand. And demand for new servers that have more cores, new servers that have more DRAM, the new servers that have more storage in them as we consolidate an aged installed base.

Secondly, that's probably the next big opportunity for us. As much as we've modernized and to give you a sense that it's not an end near or it's a onetime thing, we still have 1.2 million assets that are 14G or older in the installed base. They have to be upgraded. They're going to have to be consolidated with new technology, whether it's our 17G and the consolidation ratios 6:8:1 or a new 18G, they will begin shipping next month, where we see consolidation rates in the 12 to 14 servers per new 18G server. That is going to happen and a forcing function is going to be the security environment that we live into them. So we think about what's happening in the world of security and driving increased resilience and new requirements like post-quantum photography coming online, old infrastructure has to be updated.

And then increasingly, we're seeing enterprises drive AI workloads, specifically agentic workloads. I know your question was specifically the non ones, but it's complemented by growth there. In storage, we see a very similar dynamic. We have the dynamic of our products are very, very competitive in the marketplace. Data continues to grow. So regardless of the inflationary environment that exists, more data is being created on the planet at the edge and data centers in the cloud, and that data has to be stored. It has to be encrypted and protected. And those are the opportunities that we see, which is why we believe our Dell IP portfolio has a pretty significant tailwind. Think about it.

I think if we blend Q1 and Q2 together, we grew storage 17% in the first half of the year. We continue to see our Dell IP storage growing ahead of the market for 6 consecutive quarters on a demand basis. We could run off a bunch of fund numbers. PowerStores now grown 10 consecutive quarters in a row. We have PowerScale 5 quarters in a row, ObjectScale 4 quarters in a row. Data Domain, 3 quarters in a row, our all-flash arrays have grown now 10 quarters in a row. So there is inherent demand. Our products are more competitive. And we're seeing that play out in the marketplace from the largest enterprise customers down to small and medium-sized businesses. And then there, there's also the opportunity to grow with AI, which is driven by agents and KB Cash and new techniques in the AI world. I hope that helps.

David Kennedy

And maybe to add, Jeff, I think it's part of the durability of that growth and demand. Again, we see as part of our guide, our second half growth rates maintaining what you've seen in the first half. So Jeff mentioned the 17% growth in storage, pretty similar to mid-teens for the second half. We'll continue to guide to traditional server growing triple digits again for the second half as we drive that through. So we continue to see pipelines build. You continue to see the use cases that Jeff mentioned, and it all points to a more broad-based, more durable ecosystem.

Operator

And the next question will come from Ben Reitzes with Melius Research.

Benjamin Reitzes

I'll echo pretty impressive quarter and guide there. wanted to ask about a little longer term, your partner in AI servers talked about growing 70% next year in overall revenue. You guys are growing faster than that. Your backlog just surged. I was -- and you also have these CPU racks that are new, adding to traditional servers. So would you be willing to -- should you grow kind of in line with NVIDIA for next year? You guys are really part of the [ ACIE ] segment they have. Do you see that kind of growth rate in your future or anything you want to kind of say about your long-term growth rate, given it's so much better than expected, would be appreciated.

David Kennedy

Thanks, Ben. Look, I think if you anchor in on our second half trajectory building on the last question, you can see we like the position in relation to the durability that we see in the demand. We see it across the portfolio, and that's giving us tremendous leverage. As we continue to grow that scale that we get in the P&L, again, offers us the opportunity to continue to find scale and growth in the business.

As the second half growth, which is 68% is pretty much a mirror image to the first half, 71%. And it's obvious we're seeing signs where the data center is turning in from this cost center approach to a value creator. And the ecosystem and the enterprise customers that we're seeing are starting to embrace that. There's lots of complexity and execution. I think right now, really keen to execute a strong second half continue that great momentum as we go through the second half of the year, I think we'll be in a great position at that point, and we'll continue to look for the growth going forward.

Jeffrey Clarke

And then maybe some more context around that. Our 5-quarter pipeline grew sequentially. That's after booking $131.7 billion of orders over the past 4 quarters. I think that gives you a sense of what's happening today. And then if I look at the longer-term trends, I know you're a believer of this, but as we see it, agentic demand is reshaping the data center and the underlying infrastructure. Inferences past training and it's pure demand in our industry. We think the tokens that inference drives is going to grow 87x to 3,600 trillion tokens by 2030. Training demand grows 5x to 850 Zettaflops by 2030.

Enterprise agentic is expected to be the single largest workload by 2028. We're expecting AI to be 75% of all data center demand by 2030, adding 200 gigawatts of power over that same time frame. And half of that, we believe, is right in our sweet spot with our customers, the neocloud, sovereigns and enterprises. And if you look at that math, we think the opportunity in front of us is more than $1 trillion over that time frame. And we believe we're well positioned. We believe that our model is differentiated, that our engineering is differentiating ourselves with every customer that we interact with. The scale of our deployment capabilities is unmatched globally.

We believe what we're doing on the support side is equally important, helping customers ramp getting to that first token faster than anyone else and then keeping it running. And then the DFS component that we have to help customers in that bridge point from an order to that first token is something that we believe is differentiating us, and we're going to continue to focus on that. And then if you believe that demand is there, it drives more servers, the agentic workload, and it drives more data around that agentic workload growing each of those areas for us as well.

Operator

And our next question will come from Mark Newman with Bernstein.

Mark Newman

A few more details on the huge strength you're seeing in both traditional and AI servers. First of all, for traditional service, this has been traditionally almost all enterprise customers. And I believe you're lumping in the CPU racks, the agentic AI servers that are CPU racks in there, I believe. Is this traditional server category still almost all enterprise? Or are you seeing a portion of that from, say, neoclouds and then similarly, for the AI server customer mix, both revenue and orders, I know majority in the past has been new clouds or Tier 2 CSPs.

Is that still the same? I wondered if you could give us any hints in terms of the relative growth rate between enterprise versus other larger customers in the AI server mix because previously, you said enterprise had been growing faster. And I just wondered if that is still the case given the huge step-up, particularly in the orders.

Jeffrey Clarke

You bet. Mark, traditional server, the 122% growth. It's primarily our historical enterprise customers. I'd stress demand outstrip supply. Demand was even greater than the results that we published there. We are supply constrained but demand is from our traditional enterprise customers. That's where the vast majority of the workloads are. That's where the modernization is occurring. That's where the aged installed base is. That's where the heightened awareness around security and resiliency has been driving demand. I introduced last quarter that we are beginning to see an AI servers and when I talked about that and it would be the same that happened this past quarter that our neoclouds buying that. So of our high-frequency trader customers are buying those types of servers as well as very advanced in their AI deployments, our largest and most sophisticated enterprise customers.

So vast majority of that 122% growth are traditional customers across all segments, all geos. AI servers are beginning to show up with that set of customers which is exciting to see that grew quarter-over-quarter. It grew across neoclouds. It grew across our HFT customers as well as our enterprise customers. So that's exciting to see. And the mix inside our traditional AI business is exciting and something that we've talked about, and I think we mentioned in our remarks, we now have more than 6,500 customers buying Dell AI factory. 3,300 of them have happened in the last 3 quarters that took us 8 quarters to get to the first $3,200. That acceleration is enterprise.

Enterprise customers grew quarter-over-quarter year-over-year. Repeat buyers grew quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. Enterprise revenue grew quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, and the pipeline of enterprise customers grew sequentially as well. So we are seeing more enterprise customers. The mix didn't necessarily change because we are still winning on the sovereign side as well as the large neocloud side but the momentum with enterprise that's measured by a number of customers. The number of customers that are buying repeatedly is all up and the indicators are strong. And they tend to buy more storage and they tend to buy more networking when they engage with us, a more complete solution. I hope that helped.

Operator

And we'll take a question from -- [Audio Gap]

Jeffrey Clarke

That work has to be retained. Depending on what type of customer you are, there's compliance and regulatory requirements about how long that's got to be retained and what the protection policies are with that. So you have another new source of growth for storage. You see the same happening with KB Cash and how it's being used and driving more efficient inference. So we see multiple new lines or new paths for storage growth in our businesses. If we think about this across agentic workloads as we head towards physical AI and what's going to happen in manufacturing and IoT sensors and robotics, which drive tremendous amounts of multimodal unstructured data, Arthur likes to call it unstructured repositories. There's a lot of structured data and databases. The growth of that is immense, and we actually see it accelerate not slowing down.

And that bodes well for someone that's in the storage business, which we absolutely are and equally important in the data business and how do we start helping customers with forms of data management. We talk about this internally around creating a data semantic layer, a layer of intelligence that helps make something of all of that data to feed the AI engines to make sure that they can actually produce something even more worthwhile to help the agents be more efficient, et cetera, to help training.

That virtuous cycle, we believe, is just starting. And as we understand it today, we're very optimistic about the growth of storage going forward in the AI world. And we're positioned quite well across all of our storage assets. We protect data. We store all forms of data and as we build more of our data automation platform, we think about our data management work, I think we have a huge opportunity to grow and to be even more important to our customers as their data needs grow.

Operator

And our next question will come from Asiya Merchant with Citi.

Asiya Merchant

Great results here. Can I just ask a little bit about supply? Jeff, I know you mentioned supply constraints. Maybe if you can just help us understand where the supply constraints have anything's changed from the last quarter? Clearly, some of the component makers are talking about supply agreements that have been signed. How do you think about your supply going ahead? And what we should think about where some of the incremental supply constraints are perhaps relative to last quarter in order to meet the demand durability you're talking about even going into next year?

Jeffrey Clarke

You bet. How I think about supply, as I'm often reminded by our sales force, it's not enough. So we are doing everything we can to get more supply. In today's environment, that's a very difficult task. What we've been doing is, I think, optimizing the bits and bites that we have coming in, whether that be with configuration that being building match sets to maximize the output of the corporation out of the factories.

Our ability to increase guidance by the $25 billion is a direct reflection of our ability to optimize what's coming in, shaping demand, planning it accordingly and getting it out the door. One of the things that we did earlier this year as we saw the PC market showing signs of softening in the second half, we optimized the bits and bites we have towards the infrastructure business. There's a lead time associated with that. We're working through that lead time, which is part of why the second half looks a little better.

We've been able to realize greater shipments as a result of that. The constraints remain the same. DRAM, DRAM, DRAM, followed by NAND, NAND NAND. We have spotty CPU shortages. There are shortages with disk drives. If you go further down in the supply chain, just about every product going through a leading node is constrained, but churn nodes that are building MOSFETs, Power ICs, microcontrollers, drivers are constrained. There are shortages of ABF substrate, T-Glass, all of which we monitor. There are shortages in optical. The AI supply chain is working red line all out to build CDUs, power, racks. Welcome to the life of a supply chain person at Dell. This is what we do, chasing parts. We love it. trying to optimize the outcomes for the company. I think we've done largely a good job of that with the second half guide up, and we'll continue to focus on trying to get more supply and take the supply we have and optimize the output.

Operator

And the next question will come from Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo.

Unknown Analyst

This is Michael [ Spednoff ] on behalf of Aaron, thanks so much for letting me ask the question. I wanted to ask on the storage business, obviously, very strong. Within that, you mentioned several solidly performing DIP portfolio products, one of which I wanted to ask about is Lightning. How is that contributing at this point? And kind of what level of attach are you seeing to those cloud AI server deals?

Jeffrey Clarke

Well, Lightning, our parallel file systems. Sorry, parallel file system designed for native AI use cases. We continue to have the product out in the field. We continue to see interest. It's still a relatively new product. It's in beta at several customers. We're in runoffs against other competitors with the product that will continue and as it builds momentum. I'm certain we'll give you an update in the future, but that's where Lightning is at the moment.

Operator

And our next question will come from Joseph Cardoso with JPMorgan.

Unknown Analyst

Maybe can you guys -- and I know you guys have talked about the traditional business here in length, but maybe just curious if we break down the growth that you're seeing on the traditional server and storage side between volume and pricing. Relative to your earlier view, how much of the upside is coming from each of those vectors? And maybe more importantly, as you think about going forward and the momentum you're seeing in the business, how are you thinking about headroom for customers to keep on digesting these higher prices? And are you -- in your customer discussions, are you starting to see any pushback there?

Jeffrey Clarke

Parsing servers and storage by revenue and growth. Let me try. So if I look at servers and what we're seeing in traditional servers, we're seeing, again, this notion of modernization that's driving higher core count, more DRAM and more storage. Those products are -- those configurations are part of this modernization or consolidation, and they continue to grow rapidly. They cost more than they did last quarter and the quarter before and the quarter before. So there's a notion of inflation inside our growth.

But the underlying demand for the technology is significant. I think about the new use cases, that's all new use cases, all new growth, which is being driven by agentic AI, essentially running the harness, if that makes sense. And we continue to be optimistic about the prospects. Again, demand outran supply last quarter, demand outran supply this quarter. The pipeline remains robust. David just gave an update on guidance of the server business, which is very healthy. And clearly, there's a component of that driven by the price increases as our input costs continue to go up.

Storage is a very similar story as I think I mentioned to one of the earlier questions, as we see a ramp down of our partner IP portfolio, it's being offset by more units in our Dell IP portfolio that come with higher revenue and higher margin rates. We're seeing a greater use of our storage products in AI applications, which is good to see most notably with our unstructured products, which had unprecedented growth again, but I rattled off a bunch of numbers earlier about every category of our traditional or core Dell IP portfolio growing multiple quarters now. The Dell IP stack has grown 6 consecutive quarters now ahead of the marketplace. We expect to take share again. And clearly, some of that is uplifted by the increased cost of the underlying material. Our software-defined products are doing well in the storage portfolio, which is incremental business for us. So I hope that gave some color.

Paul Frantz

And we'll take one more question before we go to a close.

Operator

And that question will come from David Vogt with UBS.

David Vogt

Maybe for Jeff and David, can you help us understand sort of the long-term margin differentials as customers modernize to next-gen servers off of older generation servers like 14 on the way to like 17G, 18G? And how much of the margin uplift that you're seeing in ISG comes from a like-for-like margin lift as we modernize data centers versus sort of your efficiency improvements and scale economics that you're seeing just from more volume going through the supply chain?

David Kennedy

Yes. I mean, if you look at our Q2 results here, ISG up 15 points, obviously, tremendous performance. As Jeff outlined it earlier, the #1 driver here is a scale conversation given the growth that we're seeing in accelerated growth that we're seeing. That for the ISG business was a driver of just over 400 basis points. For the full year guide, it's worth over 650 basis points. So you see the leverage that we can adopt into the ecosystem.

Outside of that, you then -- as you do your storage growth and again, we drive that 13% guide, our 15% guide, excuse me, for the full year, that $2.5 billion of incremental storage is a huge drag in terms of revenue dollars that we pushed through. As you look at our guide for the second half of the year then for ISG, you'll see it's up over 1 point in the second half and you'll see it grow from Q3 to Q4 also even with the expansion of AI, which is over 3x growth year-on-year to $74 billion guide. So all of that's kind of contributing to a robust portfolio and then across the rest of the portfolio, it's really about mix, product mix, geo mix and just traditional execution, pricing discipline and operational rigor across our supply chain engineering and sales teams.

Paul Frantz

All right. We'll move it over to Jeff to close this out.

Jeffrey Clarke

Sure. Thanks, Paul. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. Our advantages are compounding, our addressable opportunity is expanding and our differentiated operating model is delivering significant leverage with our full year OpEx rate at a 42-year low. We raised our full year guide by $25 billion to $192 billion with $25.50 of EPS. We are optimistic about a stronger second half and the momentum we carry into next year. Thanks, everyone, for your time today.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude today's conference. We do thank you for your participation. and have an excellent day.

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