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Breaking: Fed Chair Warsh reiterates he is not going to give forward guidance
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Kevin Warsh reiterated that he will not be giving forward guidance on policy, while participating at a panel at the ECB Forum on Central Banking 2026.
Wed, Jul 1
Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 50.8 (June) vs 49.1
Brazil S&P Global Manufacturing PMI: 50.8 (June) vs 49.1
Wed, Jul 1
US Dollar: Modest upside risk with Sintra focus – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s appearance at Sintra and upcoming United States (US) payrolls are key for the US Dollar (USD).
Wed, Jul 1
US equities: AI-led earnings support – HSBC
HSBC analysts Willem Sels and Lucia Ku argue that concerns over mega IPOs and stretched valuations in US equities are offset by solid earnings growth across most S&P 500 sectors, driven by AI-related demand.
Wed, Jul 1
Euro hits one-year low vs. British Pound after Eurozone inflation misses forecasts
The Euro (EUR) falls against the British Pound (GBP) on Wednesday after softer-than-expected Eurozone inflation data reduced expectations for another European Central Bank (ECB) interest rate increase this year.
Wed, Jul 1
Euro: ECB rhetoric and Warsh risk guide downside – ING
Chris Turner at ING argues the ECB is unlikely to drop its tightening rhetoric yet, even if a second September hike might be a mistake.
Wed, Jul 1
United States private sector employment rises 98K in June vs. 113K expected
Private sector employment in the United States grew by 98K in June, the Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reported on Wednesday. This print followed the 122K increase recorded in May and came in below the market expectation of 113K.
Wed, Jul 1
Japanese Yen consolidates at 40-year lows against USD amid high intervention risks
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues heading south against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday. The USD/JPY pair has eased to the 162.70 area after hitting a fresh 40-year high at 162.84, but remains above Tuesday’s high of 162.67, nearly 0.6% higher on the week so far.
Wed, Jul 1
Japanese Yen: Intervention talk and BoJ signals – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Jane Foley Senior FX Strategist discusses speculation that Japan’s Ministry of Finance could intervene in favour of the Japanese Yen as USD/JPY trades near levels last seen in 1986.
Wed, Jul 1
United States ADP Employment Change below forecasts (113K) in June: Actual (98K)
United States ADP Employment Change below forecasts (113K) in June: Actual (98K)
Wed, Jul 1
Indian Rupee: Supported by BoP and RBI stance – DBS
DBS economist Radhika Rao reports that USD/INR has eased towards the mid-94 handle as India’s balance of payments (BoP) improves and commodity prices fall.
Wed, Jul 1
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stay under pressure as investors turn more risk-averse
The cryptocurrency market trades under intense headwinds on Wednesday, led by Bitcoin’s (BTC) deepening sell-off below $60,000. The Crypto King hovers above $58,000.
Wed, Jul 1
Mexican Peso: USMCA risks and Banxico stance – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Dev Ashish and Brendan McKenna discuss how ongoing United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) review uncertainty is likely to prolong policy risk for Mexico and weigh on growth and capex.
Wed, Jul 1
US Dollar: Stronger outlook with steady Fed – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels and Lucia Ku highlight that the new Fed Chair’s hawkish tone supports expectations that US policy rates will stay unchanged through 2026 and 2027, reinforcing Dollar credibility.
Wed, Jul 1
White House Adviser Hassett: It would be mistake to raise interest rates
White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said in a statement during the late European trading session on Wednesday that it would be a mistake for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise interest rates.
Wed, Jul 1
Euro area: Lower inflation tempers ECB pressure – Nordea
Nordea’s Anders Svendsen and Tuuli Koivu note that lower-than-expected Euro-area inflation in June reduces pressure on the European Central Bank (ECB) and supports a wait-and-see stance for the July meeting.
Wed, Jul 1
Gold steadies near $4,000 as traders await US labor data, Fed Chair speech
Gold (XAU/USD) consolidates losses on Wednesday as a firmer US Dollar (USD) and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations keep buyers on the sidelines. At the time of writing, XAU/USD is trading around $4,000, not far from the seven-month low of $3,941 touched on Tuesday.
Wed, Jul 1
Australian Dollar dips as firm US labor data, risk aversion support US Dollar
AUD/USD trades lower on Wednesday, hovering around 0.6900 at the time of writing, down 0.31% on the day as the US Dollar (USD) benefits from renewed demand amid a cautious market environment.
Wed, Jul 1
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD hovers near YTD lows at $3,941 weighed by higher US yields
Gold (XAU/USD) extends losses for the fourth consecutive day on Wednesday, hitting session lows at $3,960, with the year-to-date lows at $3,945 within a short distance.
Wed, Jul 1
Canadian Dollar: USMCA uncertainty weighs on Loonie – ING
ING’s Chris Turner highlights risks from the scheduled United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) review for Canada and Mexico, noting potential delays as parties renegotiate terms.
Wed, Jul 1
