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United Kingdom: Balanced inflation and politics risk – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels and Lucia Ku note that UK inflation remains above target but see risks as more balanced after the US-Iran interim peace agreement.
Wed, Jul 1
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change registered at -3.775M above expectations (-5.1M) in June 26
United States EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change registered at -3.775M above expectations (-5.1M) in June 26
Wed, Jul 1
Eurozone: Price pressures keep ECB on alert – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen notes that Eurozone inflation fell to 2.8% in June, mainly on lower energy prices, while core inflation eased to 2.4%. The bank expects overall inflation to stay close to 3% in coming months.
Wed, Jul 1
Copper: Tariff delay tempers upside – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that Copper remains under pressure as the missed June 30 Section 232 tariff update removes a near-term supply risk and weakens short-term momentum.
Wed, Jul 1
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.3 below forecasts (54) in June
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 53.3 below forecasts (54) in June
Wed, Jul 1
United States Construction Spending (MoM) below expectations (0.2%) in May: Actual (0.1%)
United States Construction Spending (MoM) below expectations (0.2%) in May: Actual (0.1%)
Wed, Jul 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid came in at 73, below expectations (79) in June
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid came in at 73, below expectations (79) in June
Wed, Jul 1
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index fell from previous 56.8 to 56 in June
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index fell from previous 56.8 to 56 in June
Wed, Jul 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: 49.7 (June) vs 48.6
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: 49.7 (June) vs 48.6
Wed, Jul 1
Swiss Franc gains as US Dollar eases on Fed Chair Warsh's remarks
USD/CHF trims gains on Wednesday as remarks from Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh weigh modestly on the US Dollar (USD). However, expectations for a Fed rate hike and a lack of clarity surrounding US-Iran negotiations keep the Greenback's downside contained.
Wed, Jul 1
Gold: Forecasts cut but constructive case intact – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong have lowered their end‑2026 forecasts for Gold and Silver, citing a tougher near‑term macro backdrop with higher real yields, a stronger US Dollar (USD) and slower ETF demand.
Wed, Jul 1
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (55.7) in June: Actual (53.9)
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below forecasts (55.7) in June: Actual (53.9)
Wed, Jul 1
What is keeping the Japanese Yen at 40-year lows as Tankan surges and authorities watch from the sidelines?
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade near levels last seen in 1986 against the US Dollar.
Wed, Jul 1
British Pound: Inflation risk keeps rates curve elevated – ING
ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Padhraic Garvey highlight that Sterling markets remain highly sensitive to UK inflation risks, especially around near-term fiscal spending plans.
Wed, Jul 1
New Zealand Dollar declines amid US Dollar safe-haven demand, NFP focus
NZD/USD trades lower at 0.5660 on Wednesday, down 0.32%, reversing part of the previous day's rebound. The pair remains under pressure as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) is weighed down by a more cautious market environment, while the US Dollar (USD) continues to strengthen.
Wed, Jul 1
Lagarde speech: Risks are more broadly balanced than a few weeks ago
European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde speaks at a policy panel at the ECB Forum on Central Banking 2026.
Wed, Jul 1
European Central Bank: July risks reduced on softer data – Nordea
Nordea’s analysts argue that softer June inflation data should significantly lower the risk of another European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike in July.
Wed, Jul 1
South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales: 54482 (June) vs 51071
South Africa Total New Vehicle Sales: 54482 (June) vs 51071
Wed, Jul 1
BoE's Bailey: Rate cuts off the table at the moment
While speaking at a policy panel at the European Central Bank's (ECB) Forum on Central Banking, Bank of Governor (BoE) Andrew Bailey acknowledged that they have a softening economy and labour market.
Wed, Jul 1
Japanese Yen: Softer footing risk as intervention fades – DBS
DBS Group Research strategist Chang Wei Liang notes that USD/JPY has surged above the mid-162 area as markets probe Japanese authorities’ tolerance for further Japanese Yen (JPY) weakness.
Wed, Jul 1
