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US Dollar Index: Range holds as markets await Warsh and CPI – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar Index (DXY) Index has been confined between 100.5 and 102 for three weeks as traders await clarity on whether the Federal Reserve (Fed) will proceed with a potential rate hike later this year.
Mon, Jul 13
Japanese Yen: Consolidation near resistance band against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux describes USD/JPY consolidating after failing again at resistance near 162.80. The pair is seen in a narrow range, with key support at 160.40 tied to the March peak and upside projections towards 163.70/164.40 if resistance breaks.
Mon, Jul 13
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB
UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated.
Mon, Jul 13
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts below $4,100, but bears start to look exhausted
Gold (XAU/USD) extends losses on Monday, with price action drifting below the $4,100 line, amid a risk-off market mood, as tensions between the US and Iran flare.
Mon, Jul 13
Canadian Dollar: Supported against US Dollar by steady BoC outlook – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is widely expected to keep its policy rate unchanged at 2.25%, with markets not pricing cuts until at least Q4.
Mon, Jul 13
GBP/USD Price Forecast: Bounces back to near 1.3400 as US Dollar turns upside down
The British Pound (GBP) recovers its early losses and flattens around 1.3400 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.
Mon, Jul 13
US Dollar: Fed data focus supports modest gains – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) traded mixed, but expects USD to edge slightly higher over the next couple of months as US labor markets stabilize and inflation remains sticky.
Mon, Jul 13
Kiwi nears 0.5800 as RBNZ tightening hopes offset risk aversion
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) retraced previous losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and trades higher for the fourth consecutive day, approaching three-week highs near 0.5800.
Mon, Jul 13
Gold declines as renewed US-Iran hostilities boost Oil prices, Fed rate hike bets
Gold (XAU/USD) starts the week on the back foot as renewed tensions in the Middle East lift Oil prices and bring inflation concerns back into focus, reinforcing expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later this year.
Mon, Jul 13
Swiss Franc: ECB support limits gains against euro – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses EUR/CHF performance since the Iran war, noting that the Swiss National Bank (SNB) has intervened to counter safe haven inflows while the European Central Bank’s (ECB) hawkish stance has supported the Euro (EUR).
Mon, Jul 13
Polish Zloty: Dovish NBP pressures PLN against Euro – ING
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky says Central and Eastern European FX will be driven by secondary data and policy expectations. A dovish National Bank of Poland stance and market pricing of future rate cuts are seen weighing on the Zloty, with ING’s models pointing EUR/PLN closer to 4.340.
Mon, Jul 13
India’s retail CPI rises strongly by 4.38% in June, beats 4.3% estimates
India’s retail Consumer Price Index (CPI) rises at an annualized pace of 4.38% in June, stronger than 4.3% estimates and the previous reading of 3.93%.
Mon, Jul 13
Ripple Price Forecast: XRP decline targets $1.00 support
Ripple (XRP) remains in a dominant bearish trend, trading at $10.08 as of Monday. This marks the third straight day the remittance token has extended its correction, with targets at the next key support levels of $0.04 and $1.00, respectively.
Mon, Jul 13
Australian Dollar: Momentum fades into sideways band against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has been range‑trading slightly higher than expected, with intraday levels seen between 0.6920 and 0.6960. The earlier tentative upside momentum has faded, and for the next 1–3 weeks the pair is expected to trade between 0.6890 and 0.6975.
Mon, Jul 13
Indian Rupee: Range-bound trade risks around CPI – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that India’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) release will be important for bond markets, with the 10-year IGB yield holding near its 200-day moving average around 6.71%.
Mon, Jul 13
British Pound: Gilt confidence and new leadership – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change itself.
Mon, Jul 13
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Wavers around 0.6950 with bearish momentum fading
The Australian Dollar (AUD) posts marginal losses against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, as the pair's reversal from Friday's 0.6970 highs found support above 0.6120. Rising tensions in Iran have hammered risk appetite, but the US Dollar’s weakness is keeping the Aussie from retreating further.
Mon, Jul 13
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $58.72 per troy ounce, down 1.92% from the $59.87 it cost on Friday.
Mon, Jul 13
Oil: Markets price renewed Hormuz risks – Rabobank
Rabobank strategist Michael Every discusses rising geopolitical risks around the Strait of Hormuz after the apparent collapse of a US-Iran memorandum of understanding. Every notes both sides are now striking each other, with United States (US) strategy shifting to escorted energy flows.
Mon, Jul 13
US Dollar: Higher energy supports Fed tightening – ING
ING analysts Chris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky and Francesco Pesole note that higher energy prices and tensions in the Gulf are supporting the Dollar against low-yielding currencies. They highlight that US energy independence and live Fed tightening prospects underpin Dollar strength.
Mon, Jul 13
