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Canadian Dollar gains as Oil prices surge on Middle East supply risks
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) outperforms most of its major peers on Monday as renewed tensions in the Middle East push Oil prices higher amid fresh risks of supply disruption in the Strait of Hormuz.
Mon, Jul 13

Commodities: Forward curves and carry framework – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem note that the commodity complex has been resilient to Middle East tensions, with Oil gains capped and forecasts for prices at $70 by year end unchanged.
Mon, Jul 13

US President Trump declares US ‘Guardian of the Hormuz Strait’
United States (US) President Donald Trump announced that the Strait of Hormuz is open and will remain accessible to international shipping “with or without Iran,” while outlining a new US-led security arrangement for the strategic waterway.
Mon, Jul 13

Denmark: Goods resilience offsets weaker services – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team reports that overall consumer spending excluding energy in June was broadly unchanged on the month, with real spending up 4.3% year-on-year. Real retail spending on goods rose, particularly in larger consumer categories, while service spending generally declined.
Mon, Jul 13

Japanese Yen: Higher energy prices pressure JPY – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the Japanese Yen has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 as higher energy prices and fading impact from last week’s verbal intervention weigh on the currency.
Mon, Jul 13

US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%.
Mon, Jul 13

Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists.
Mon, Jul 13

Switzerland: Federalism and direct democracy as growth drivers – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Jörg Krämer describes Switzerland’s strong federalism and extensive use of financial referenda as key to its superior economic outcomes. Cantons and municipalities compete for taxpayers by setting their own tax rates and controlling spending.
Mon, Jul 13

Why the Swiss Franc isn’t likely to move far from 0.9200 against the Euro
The Swiss Franc (CHF) trades in a tight range against the Euro (EUR) as the Swiss National Bank (SNB) actively works to neutralize safe-haven capital inflows stemming from increased geopolitical woes.
Mon, Jul 13

Iran warns US against Hormuz transit
Iran’s top joint military command issued a series of warnings on Monday over the Strait of Hormuz, saying any unauthorized United States (US) transit would be confronted and cautioning neighboring countries against supporting Washington.
Mon, Jul 13

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD remains range-bound with a bearish bias
Silver (XAG/USD) attracts sellers on Monday after renewed fighting between the United States (US) and Iran over the weekend revived energy-driven inflation concerns and reinforced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later this year.
Mon, Jul 13

Japanese Yen: GPIF narrative keeps FX volatility elevated – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Japan remains a key source of two‑way FX volatility as markets digest conflicting signals on Government Pension Investment Fund (GPIF) allocations.
Mon, Jul 13

US Dollar: Geopolitics and inflation risks support Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) has gained modestly as renewed US–Iran tensions lift Brent Oil back to USD80, with markets rebuilding a geopolitical risk premium.
Mon, Jul 13

Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Russia Foreign Trade up to $14.154B in May from previous $11.431B
Mon, Jul 13

Swiss Franc: SNB intervention and cautious policy stance – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley describes how the Swiss National Bank has actively countered safe haven inflows into the Swiss Franc since the Iran war, selling CHF and signalling increased willingness to intervene.
Mon, Jul 13

Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment.
Mon, Jul 13

Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Germany Current Account n.s.a. declined to €10.4B in May from previous €13.8B
Mon, Jul 13

Euro climbs above 1.1400 as US Dollar loses ground
EUR/USD trades with a mild positive bias on Monday as the US Dollar (USD) gives back its earlier gains. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1424 after recovering from an intraday low of 1.1384.
Mon, Jul 13

US President Trump: We are taking over the Strait of Hormuz
In an interview with Fox News on Monday, United States (US) President Donald Trump said that they will probably take over the Strait of Hormuz and argued that they should be reimbursed for controlling it.
Mon, Jul 13

Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP stay under pressure as US and Iran exchange fresh attacks
The cryptocurrency market broadly corrects on Monday, as risk-averse sentiment persists amid fresh military attacks between the United States (US) and Iran in the Middle East.
Mon, Jul 13


