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China: Trade data upside surprise with AI demand – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that China’s latest trade figures significantly beat expectations, with both exports and imports accelerating in June. Strong global demand for AI-related and technology goods offset geopolitical pressures, widening China’s trade surplus well beyond consensus.
Tue, Jul 14
Japanese Yen rises as cool US CPI slashes Fed hike bets
The Japanese Yen registers gains of over 0.31% against the US Dollar as traders trim hawkish bets following a softer-than-expected US inflation report. The USD/JPY trades at 161.93 after reaching a daily high of 162.48.
Tue, Jul 14
Silver Price Forecast: Soft US inflation lifts XAG/USD, but downside bias remains
Silver (XAG/USD) trades on the front foot on Tuesday as softer-than-expected US inflation data tempers expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike and pushes the US Dollar (USD) lower. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $58.50, up nearly 2% on the day.
Tue, Jul 14
Dow Jones Industrial Average sits out the disinflation party
The June Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.4% on the month against consensus for a 0.1% decline, following May's 0.5% increase, and the annual rate dropped to 3.5% from 4.2%, well under the 3.8% forecast. Core prices were flat MoM and eased to 2.6% YoY versus 2.8% expected.
Tue, Jul 14
US President Trump: Strait of Hormuz open to all shipping except Iran
United States (US) President Donald Trump reiterated in a Truth Social post on Tuesday, “The Strait of Hormuz is open to ALL ship traffic except for Iran.” He added that the US would impose a “FULL Blockade” only on vessels travelling to or from Iranian ports or carrying Iranian cargo.
Tue, Jul 14
Bonk Price Forecast: BONK $0.000004 breakout in focus as technicals improve
Bonk (BONK) is gaining momentum, trading around $0.0000039 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) declined by 0.4% in June on a seasonally-adjusted basis, marking the sharpest monthly decrease since April 2020.
Tue, Jul 14
Australian Dollar surges amid soft US inflation
AUD/USD trades sharply higher near 0.6990 on Tuesday, approaching the psychological 0.7000 level as the US Dollar (USD) falls following weaker-than-expected United States (US) inflation figures.
Tue, Jul 14
Canadian Dollar climbs to four-week high on soft US CPI, rising Oil prices
The Canadian Dollar (CAD) strengthens sharply against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, drawing support from softer-than-expected US inflation data and rising Oil prices amid escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Tue, Jul 14
Natural gas: European prices climb on Gulf risks – ING
ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey report that European natural gas benchmarks are rising as Middle East developments threaten LNG flows from the Persian Gulf.
Tue, Jul 14
China: AI exports boom and muted FX impact – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists describe China’s June trade surplus of $125.62bn, driven by 27% yoy export growth and 36% import growth, with AI-related high-tech shipments up over 50%.
Tue, Jul 14
New Zealand Dollar soars to one-month high as US CPI undershoots
NZD/USD jumps to a one-month high on Tuesday as traders digest the latest US inflation data, which came in softer than expected and reduced expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 0.5820, up nearly 1.23% on the day.
Tue, Jul 14
Why Japan's massive foreign assets could be the Japanese Yen's long-awaited catalyst
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade in defensive territory, with the USD/JPY pair pinned near a historic 40-year high around 162.00. However, in a striking divergence from rising global yields, Japanese Government Bonds (JGBs) have begun outperforming.
Tue, Jul 14
Oil: Short positions vulnerable to squeeze – TD Securities
Bart Melek at TD Securities argues that money managers are heavily short crude based on what he views as misread market conditions, including pessimism on China demand and expectations of an oil glut.
Tue, Jul 14
Canada: Cyclical rebound and steady BoC stance – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan expects Canada’s economy to rebound in Q2 2026, supported by resilient household spending, recovering business investment and expanding net trade.
Tue, Jul 14
British Pound strengthens after US CPI surprises to the downside
The British Pound (GBP) strengthens against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday after US inflation data surprised to the downside, reducing expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.
Tue, Jul 14
Indonesian Rupiah : Under pressure with hawkish BI bias – Societe Generale
Societe Generale notes Bank Indonesia’s (BI) reaction function is driven by the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) and exchange rate stability. The report says the Rupiah faces pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) pricing, with stress around USD/IDR 18,000.
Tue, Jul 14
Hungary: Growth outlook getting brighter – ING
ING economists Peter Virovacz and Frantisek Taborsky turn more optimistic on Hungary’s growth outlook, noting positive surprises in high-frequency data and stronger consumption. They still project 1.5% GDP growth in 2026 but now see clear upside risks.
Tue, Jul 14
Euro jumps as softer-than-expected US CPI cools Fed rate-hike bets
EUR/USD snaps a two-day losing streak on Tuesday as softer-than-expected United States (US) inflation data weighs on the US Dollar (USD) and prompts traders to scale back expectations of a near-term Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.
Tue, Jul 14
European Union: Growth potential re-rated – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Julie Ioffe and James Rossiter argue that the European Union already possesses key ingredients for stronger long-term growth, including wealthy consumers, productive workers, deep private savings and solid fiscal capacity.
Tue, Jul 14
Natural Gas: Higher winter gas risk priced in – Rabobank
Rabobank revises its TTF Natural Gas and JKM forecasts higher for Q3 and Q4 2026, citing a structurally tight LNG market and deeper Qatari export losses following renewed Hormuz disruption.
Tue, Jul 14
