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British Pound: Growth slowdown and higher rates – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas strategists expect United Kingdom (UK) growth to slow to 1% in 2026 from 1.3% in 2025, with renewed inflation pressures from the war in Iran pushing inflation to 3.2%.
Mon, Jul 27
Euro: Recovery signals offer limited upside against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Eurozone leading indicators, including Germany’s IFO, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) and ZEW, point to improving activity.
Mon, Jul 27
Euro trims gains as geopolitical risks, Fed outlook support US Dollar
EUR/USD reverses its early gains on Monday and moves toward filling the bullish gap at the weekly open. The pair initially rose after a temporary pause in attacks between the United States (US) and Iran improved risk sentiment, sent Oil prices sharply lower and weighed on the US Dollar (USD).
Mon, Jul 27
European Central Bank: Rate path and yields after sharp rise – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists argue July’s global fixed income selloff looks stretched, especially in Western Europe where 2-year and 10-year yields have risen about 30bp in four weeks.
Mon, Jul 27
Federal Reserve: Mixed signals keep rates on hold – DBS
DBS Group Research economists Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang argue that sticky United States (US) inflation keeps pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed), but soft consumption, weak investment and fading labour market resilience justify a pause in Fed Funds rate hikes.
Mon, Jul 27
US Dollar: Policy uncertainty supports USD – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu says softer June Consumer Price Index (CPI) has reduced immediate inflation concerns, but limited Fed guidance continues to support policy uncertainty and US Dollar (USD).
Mon, Jul 27
British Pound: Downside risks from softer UK data – HSBC
HSBC argues that GBP/USD faces renewed downside as UK disinflation and a softer labour market reduce urgency for further Bank of England tightening, even though markets still price hikes out to 2027.
Mon, Jul 27
Euro: Firmer against US Dollar despite slower growth – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas strategists project Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow to 0.8% in 2026 from 1.5% in 2025 due to spillovers from the Middle East conflict and weaker consumption.
Mon, Jul 27
New Zealand Dollar hesitates despite weaker US Dollar on renewed Iran diplomacy hopes
NZD/USD trades around 0.5790 at the time of writing on Monday, virtually unchanged on the day.
Mon, Jul 27
United States Durable Goods Orders rise 0.3% in June vs. 1.6% expected
New orders for manufactured Durable Goods in the United States (US) rose by $1.1 billion, or 0.3%, to $334.8 billion in June, the US Census Bureau announced on Monday. This reading followed a 4% decline recorded in May and fell short of the market expectation for an increase of 1.6%.
Mon, Jul 27
British Pound loses ground against Japanese Yen ahead of central bank decisions
GBP/JPY edges lower on Monday as the British Pound (GBP) weakens across the board following its recent advance, with traders trimming exposure ahead of the Bank of England’s (BoE) interest-rate decision on Thursday. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 217.84, down 0.23% on the day.
Mon, Jul 27
CEE FX: Softer geopolitics aids high beta – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects upcoming Czech and Hungarian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to confirm improving growth momentum, while Polish inflation should re-accelerate on higher fuel prices.
Mon, Jul 27
United States Durable Goods Orders ex Defense increased to 0.3% in June from previous -4.6%
Mon, Jul 27
United States Durable Goods Orders below forecasts (1.6%) in June: Actual (0.3%)
Mon, Jul 27
Ripple Price Forecast: XRP recovery outlook dims amid fading demand
Ripple (XRP) maintains narrow range trading on Monday, with support at $1.10. The token's upside remains largely constrained, as major moving averages trend downward, aligning with low demand in both the institutional and retail markets.
Mon, Jul 27
Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions.
Mon, Jul 27
Federal Reserve: Extended pause but hike risk rising – UOB
UOB strategists expect the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% at the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and maintain a base case of an extended pause through 2026, with easing only in 2Q and 4Q 2027 once transitory inflation fades.
Mon, Jul 27
Oil: Lower prices ease inflation risks – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that easing Oil prices, helped by reduced Iran–US tensions, are bringing crude closer to their base case of a gradual downtrend.
Mon, Jul 27
US Dollar: Fed uncertainty tempers USD strength – MUFG
MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar has softened as Middle East tensions ease and Brent Oil retreats below USD90, reducing energy-driven inflation fears. The correction in energy prices has slightly lowered market-implied odds of a near-term Fed rate hike.
Mon, Jul 27
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD is looking for direction around $4,100
Gold (XAU/USD) has been consolidating gains during the European trading session, following a bullish gap at the week’s opening as a moderate improvement of risk sentiment hurt the safe-haven USD.
Mon, Jul 27
