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Australian Dollar: Uptrend targets 0.7120 against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux notes AUD/USD has defended its 200-DMA and established a pattern of higher highs and higher lows, signalling a short-term uptrend.
Mon, Aug 10
Japanese Yen: Rate spread outlook favors JPY against US Dollar – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that JPY is underperforming as firmer Oil prices support USD/JPY, while the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) latest meeting minutes did little to shift rate expectations.
Mon, Aug 10
Copper: Weak China imports contrast with bullish positioning - ING
ING strategists Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson highlight that China’s latest trade data show continued weakness in copper imports, with unwrought volumes down 11.5% year-on-year and concentrate flows also softer.
Mon, Aug 10
Ripple Price Forecast: XRP remains range-bound above key support
Ripple (XRP) holds firmly above the $1.00 near-term support at the time of writing on Monday. The remittance token’s upside is capped under key descending moving averages, undermining the broader technical outlook.
Mon, Aug 10
US Dollar: Higher hurdle for sustained gains – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that weaker US jobs data have not triggered a strong reaction in Dollar or rates, as markets await key Consumer Price Index (CPI) releases and another Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) before the September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Mon, Aug 10
Euro: Modest upside bias against US Dollar as Fed repricing – Rabobank
Rabıobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses recent EUR/USD strength, noting it was mainly driven by a softer Dollar after weak United States (US) labour data reduced Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike expectations.
Mon, Aug 10
Australian Dollar: RBA policy pause maintained – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to leave the cash rate unchanged at 4.35%, noting that policy is already restrictive and that Australian activity, particularly housing, is slowing in response to earlier hikes.
Mon, Aug 10
Japanese Yen: BoJ tightening risks support JPY – BNY
BNY’s Wee Khoon Chong highlights that long-end JGB yields are rising on inflation and fiscal concerns, with markets pricing a roughly 50% chance of a 25bp BoJ hike in September and a full hike by year-end.
Mon, Aug 10
Oil: Strait risk and cautious positioning – ING
ING analysts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note that Oil prices remain supported by uncertainty around the Strait of Hormuz as US-Iran negotiations continue.
Mon, Aug 10
Silver tests $65: Why are buyers struggling to extend the rally?
Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to extend its gains on Monday following last week’s strong breakout as traders assess the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest rate outlook amid risks on both sides of its dual mandate.
Mon, Aug 10
Norwegian Krone: Rate hike odds slashed after soft inflation – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Norwegian Krone (NOK) is trading mixed as firmer Oil offsets the drag from reduced Norges Bank tightening expectations.
Mon, Aug 10
Canadian Dollar steadies, caught between risk aversion, rebounding Oil prices
USD/CAD trades around 1.3940 on Monday at the time of writing, virtually unchanged on the day, after falling sharply on Friday.
Mon, Aug 10
US Dollar: Fed pricing shifts with softer data – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that Friday’s mixed United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report led to a notable repricing of September Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) odds, with futures-implied probability of a hike falling to 44%.
Mon, Aug 10
Australian Dollar approaches two-month highs at 0.7088 with RBA decision on tap
The Australian Dollar (AUD) holds gains, in the mid-range of the 0.7000s against the US Dollar (USD) on Monday, with two-month highs of 0.7088 at hand. The Aussie is capitalising on the US Dollar’s weakness, as hopes of Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes wane.
Mon, Aug 10
EUR/USD Price Forecast: On verge of downward-trendline breakout
The Euro (EUR) trades slightly lower at around 1.1550 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.
Mon, Aug 10
Federal Reserve: September hike odds reassessed – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Bas van Geffen comments that weaker United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) and a drop in labour supply have reduced urgency for another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike, though policy remains data‑dependent.
Mon, Aug 10
Copper: Tariff-driven arbitrage reshapes COMEX-LME spread – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts Michael Haigh and Jeremy Sellem argue that Copper has shifted into a policy-driven trade as Section 232 tariffs reshape the COMEX-LME arbitrage.
Mon, Aug 10
Gold holds firm as Fed rate outlook, Middle East developments remain in focus
Gold (XAU/USD) holds firm on Monday as buyers take a breather following last week’s sharp rally, with the broader market theme still centred on the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest-rate outlook and developments in the Middle East.
Mon, Aug 10
Japanese Yen underperforms on surprising current account deficit
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is down against its major currency peers on Monday, trading 0.6% lower at around 158.80 against the US Dollar (USD) at the time of writing during the European trading session.
Mon, Aug 10
Gold: Central bank demand underpins rally – ING
ING’s Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson report that Gold extended its rally as the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) added 640koz to reserves, marking 21 consecutive months of accumulation. Spot Gold moved above $4,320/oz, supported by ongoing central bank buying and stronger Chinese ETF demand.
Mon, Aug 10