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Russian Ruble: Trade boost from Oil seen fading – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports Russia’s June merchandise trade surplus rose to USD 12.5bn, up over 50% year-on-year, as higher Oil prices and improved Urals pricing supported exports.
Thu, Aug 13
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY bulls await trading range breakout above 100.00
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen building on the previous day's sold bounce from the post-CPI swing low and prolonging its weekly uptrend for the fourth straight day.
Thu, Aug 13
WTI Price Forecast: Prolonged energy supply concerns remain key tailwind
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), futures on NYMEX, trades 0.5% higher at around $82.10 during the European trading session on Thursday. The oil price reflects strength as fears of a prolonged energy supply disruption continue to act as a key tailwind for oil prices.
Thu, Aug 13
US Dollar: Fed-driven hedge rebuilding revives selling pressure – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that the July Fed meeting marked a peak in Dollar dehedging rather than an end to U.S. exceptionalism. Cross-border investors are rebuilding USD hedges, reducing effective unhedged U.S. exposure while maintaining broadly solid underlying demand for U.S. assets.
Thu, Aug 13
Forex Today: US Dollar stabilizes ahead of next batch of US data
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 13:
Thu, Aug 13
British Pound: Upside capped near 1.3555 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note GBP/USD briefly traded above 1.3535 to 1.3540 before slipping back to close at 1.3496. Intraday, the pair is seen range-trading between 1.3475 and 1.3525.
Thu, Aug 13
Indonesian Rupiah remains subdued as safe-haven demand lifts US Dollar
USD/IDR gains ground for the third consecutive day, trading around 17,920 during the early European hours on Thursday. The pair appreciates as the US Dollar (USD) recovers its daily losses amid escalating geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran.
Thu, Aug 13
Gold: Upside capped by Fed hike risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Bart Melek notes Gold extended gains after the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) matched expectations, reinforcing a dovish narrative around Fed Chair Warsh.
Thu, Aug 13
Canadian Dollar extends pullback from two-month high as oil-driven Fed hike bets lift USD
The USD/CAD pair builds on the previous day's bounce from the 1.3900 neighborhood, or a two-month low, and gains follow-through positive traction for the second straight day on Thursday.
Thu, Aug 13
Equities: AI rally and CPI relief lift US stocks – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists highlight that the S&P 500 closed just below its record high as US CPI data reduced urgency for further Federal Reserve hikes. Front-end Treasuries rallied and semiconductor strength supported equities, while volatility fell to its lowest level since January.
Thu, Aug 13
Euro holds gains against British Pound as UK GDP slows in Q2
The EUR/GBP cross holds positive ground near 0.8540 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. The British Pound (GBP) remains weak against the Euro (EUR) following the UK economic data.
Thu, Aug 13
Indian Rupee: Contained inflation supports RBI pause – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s FX team notes India’s July CPI rose slightly to 4.5% year-on-year but stayed within the Reserve Bank of India’s target band, with core inflation steady at 3.9%.
Thu, Aug 13
British Pound drifts away from 1.3500 as weak UK Industrial Production offsets bright GDP data
The British Pound (GBP) treads water against the US Dollar (USD), trading practically flat, a few pips below the 1.3500 level on Thursday's early London session.
Thu, Aug 13
Oil: Supply disruptions raise deficit risks – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note Oil prices have eased, with Brent crude ending largely flat as US-Iran talks remain in deadlock and Russian port infrastructure escapes major damage.
Thu, Aug 13
Euro: Range phase after failed upside break against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that EUR/USD briefly spiked to 1.1562 on the US CPI release before reversing to 1.1524.
Thu, Aug 13
British Pound attracts bids against Japanese Yen after strong UK Q2 GDP data
The British Pound (GBP) attracts slight bids against the Japanese Yen (JPY) during the European trading session on Wednesday, following the release of the preliminary United Kingdom (UK) Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data.
Thu, Aug 13
Top Altcoins Price Forecast: XRP holds at make-or-break level, ADA and SOL risk 50-day EMA breakout
Top altcoins, including Ripple (XRP), Cardano (ADA), and Solana (SOL), are facing downside pressure, holding at crucial support levels. The technical outlook for XRP, ADA, and SOL indicates a mild bearish bias as downside pressure mounts.
Thu, Aug 13
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to extend rally above 0.7100
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades 0.17% lower at around 0.7050 against the US Dollar (USD) during the early European trading session on Thursday.
Thu, Aug 13
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Flatlines below 1.1550, while staying bearish under 100-day SMA
The EUR/USD pair holds steady near 1.1520 during the early European trading hours on Thursday. US inflation cooled on a year-over-year basis for a second straight month, easing pressure on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to raise interest rates as soon as next month.
Thu, Aug 13
Indian Rupee opens marginally lower as US Dollar trades firmly
The Indian Rupee (INR) opens on a cautious note against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday due to overnight gains in the latter. The USD/INR pair edges up to near 95.35 after a corrective move the previous day, as fears of a prolonged global energy supply disruption have strengthened the US Dollar.
Thu, Aug 13
