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Polish Zloty: Slow NBP hawkish shift weighs on PLN - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports that Polish headline and core inflation have re-accelerated, with seasonally adjusted monthly rates now clearly above target. This makes earlier signals from National Bank of Poland (NBP) Governor Adam Glapinski about possible rate cuts obsolete.
Mon, Aug 17
British Pound hits three-month highs at 1.3570 amid generalised US Dollar weakness
The British Pound (GBP) extends gains for the second consecutive day on Monday, as investors cut back US Dollar (USD) long positions, amid a dovish repricing of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy.
Mon, Aug 17
Japanese Yen: Downside bias within 158.00–160.20 band against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang observes that USD/JPY price action remains choppy, with the pair closing around 159.30 after a dip to 158.58. Intraday direction is unclear, with trading expected between 158.80 and 159.60.
Mon, Aug 17
US Dollar: Softer data challenges resilience – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Lee Hardman note that weaker United States (US) data and lower short-term Treasury yields are undermining US Dollar (USD) support, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) holds above its 200-day moving average near 99.200.
Mon, Aug 17
Australian Dollar gains against Japanese Yen despite weak economic data from China
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 113.20 during the European hours on Monday.
Mon, Aug 17
Brent: Supply risks keep prices elevated – ING
ING analysts Ewa Manthey and Warren Patterson note that ICE Brent is trading just below $90/bbl, supported by Middle East tensions and attacks on vessels in the Strait of Hormuz.
Mon, Aug 17
Australian Dollar: Solid carry as RBA pause risk grows – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad argues that upcoming Australian wage and labour data are unlikely to shift Reserve Bank of Australia pricing, with futures only partly discounting one final hike.
Mon, Aug 17
Turkey Budget Balance down to -378.1B in July from previous 114.2B
Mon, Aug 17
New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ seen on hold in September – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur argues that softer New Zealand inflation data make a September rate hike by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) unlikely after July’s move.
Mon, Aug 17
New Zealand Dollar hits fresh two-month highs past 0.5900 despite weak data from China
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) keeps crawling higher against a weaker US Dollar (USD) with price action reaching the 0.5920 area for the first time since early June. Kiwi Dollar bulls did not flinch after a set of downbeat data from China on Monday and kept buying the pair, with the US Dollar depreci
Mon, Aug 17
Australian Dollar hits fresh high since June 5 as bearish USD outweigh weak China data
The AUD/USD pair attracts strong follow-through buying at the start of a new week and surges past the 0.7100 mark, hitting a fresh high since June 5 as sustained US Dollar (USD) selling offsets China's weak macro data dump.
Mon, Aug 17
British Pound: Uptrend intact toward 1.3600 cap against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes GBP/USD invalidated a recent neutral call by breaking above 1.3555 and closing higher near 1.3532. Intraday, the British Pound (GBP) may extend toward 1.3570, with 1.3600 as firm resistance.
Mon, Aug 17
Canada CPI expected to show rising inflation in July
Canada’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures will be the focus of attention when published on Monday.
Mon, Aug 17
Japanese Yen: Intervention risks cap losses against US Dollar – OCBC
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that September Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike odds have risen sharply, but the Japanese Yen (JPY) has reacted only modestly. They argue a sustained Yen recovery likely needs clearer commitment to faster policy normalisation.
Mon, Aug 17
0.8550: Euro tests one-week highs against British Pound amid ECB hawkish bets
The Euro (EUR) holds minor gains against the British Pound (GBP) for the third consecutive day on Monday, favoured by European Central Bank (ECB) - Bank of England (BoE) monetary policy divergence.
Mon, Aug 17
Forex Today: US Dollar extends pullback to start new week
Here is what you need to know on Monday, August 17:
Mon, Aug 17
Canadian Dollar: Data and tariffs shape near-term risks – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both and Emma Lawrence highlight that markets are watching Canadian CPI and potential US Section 338 tariffs on CAD exports. They expect headline CPI at 2.9% year-on-year in July with core at 1.85%, and see retail sales flat in June.
Mon, Aug 17
0.6%: China’s Retail Sales miss expectations in July
China’s Retail Sales rose 0.6% year-over-year (YoY) in July vs. A rise of 1.5% expected and a 1.0% growth in June, the latest data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed Monday.
Mon, Aug 17
Swedish Krona: Riksbank steady as currency lags – BNY
BNY's Wee Khoon Chong note Sweden’s Riksbank appears comfortable with its current policy stance as inflation stays below target, leaving two hikes in the repo path mainly as a risk acknowledgment.
Mon, Aug 17
Canadian Dollar edges higher as Fed rate hike bets recede, CPI data looms
The USD/CAD pair edges lower to around 1.3860 during the early European session on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) extends the decline against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as traders pare bets on the US Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hikes.
Mon, Aug 17
