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Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD holds bullish bias near $4,400
Gold (XAU/USD) maintains a bullish bias around $4,400, supported by a weaker US Dollar (USD) and fading expectations of further interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Mon, Aug 17
British Pound: Labour data seen backing BoE hold – TD Securities
TD Securities expects the UK labour market to remain soft but stable in June, with employment rising 100k on a three‑month basis and unemployment edging down to 4.7%. Headline average weekly earnings are forecast to slow to 4.0%, while ex‑bonus pay holds at 3.4%.
Mon, Aug 17
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Bears push against two-month lows at 99.40
The US Dollar Index (DXY) extends losses for the third consecutive day on Monday, with bears testing levels at two-month lows below 99.40 during the European session.
Mon, Aug 17
WTI advances above $82.00 as US-Iran deadlock supports prices
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil advances on Monday and trades around $82.10 at the time of writing, up 0.70% on the day. Oil prices remain supported by the deadlock between the United States (US) and Iran, which keeps concerns about Oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz elevated.
Mon, Aug 17
Swedish Krona: Riksbank seen on cautious hawkish hold – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% for a seventh consecutive meeting while leaving the door open to a later hike as inflation runs above projections.
Mon, Aug 17
Dow Jones futures decline despite softening Fed rate hike expectations
Dow Jones futures decline by 0.12%, trading around 53,740 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain, hovering around 7,820, and Nasdaq 100 futures surge by 0.5%, trading near 30,290.
Mon, Aug 17
Turkish Lira: Market doubts disinflation and Lira stability – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that the Central Bank of the Republic of Türkiye's (CBRT) survey shows market participants revising inflation forecasts higher and expecting only gradual rate cuts from current effective levels.
Mon, Aug 17
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data
Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $65.46 per troy ounce, up 1.17% from the $64.70 it cost on Friday.
Mon, Aug 17
Japanese Yen: BoJ hike expectations support JPY against US Dollar – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Lee Hardman report that Japanese government bond yields are rising despite weaker-than-expected GDP, as markets focus on prospects for further Bank of Japan rate hikes.
Mon, Aug 17
US Dollar: Losing momentum as fiscal risks rise – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that the US Dollar (USD) is losing momentum as markets reassess United States (US)-Japan intervention, shifting Bank of Japan (BoJ) and Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations, and rising US fiscal risks.
Mon, Aug 17
Federal Reserve: Changing communications and higher volatility – TD Securities
TD Securities’ James Rossiter argues that the Federal Reserve is leading a structural shift away from detailed forward guidance and explicit reaction functions, forcing markets to infer policy from incoming data.
Mon, Aug 17
British Pound: Data-heavy week risks BoE repricing – ING
Chris Turner at ING notes that a busier United Kingdom (UK) data calendar, including jobs, wages and July Consumer Price Index (CPI), could challenge the 55bp of Bank of England (BoE) tightening still priced in.
Mon, Aug 17
EUR/USD Price Forecast: Conquers 1.1600 as bulls retain control above 100-SMA, 50% Fibo.
The EUR/USD pair builds on last week's bounce from the vicinity of the 1.1500 psychological mark and gains strong follow-through positive traction on Monday.
Mon, Aug 17
Canadian Dollar: CPI and US tariffs weigh on outlook – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects Canada’s July Consumer Price Index (CPI) to keep core inflation below 2%, reinforcing an extended Bank of Canada (BoC) pause.
Mon, Aug 17
Pi Network Price Forecast: Downside fears persist as recent gains lack momentum
Pi Network (PI) edges higher on Monday, signaling that bulls are defending the $0.0839 support floor after two consecutive days of losses. The Pi Core Team released a new Node upgrade on Saturday focused on advancing its distributed computing capabilities.
Mon, Aug 17
Polish Zloty: Slow NBP hawkish shift weighs on PLN - Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports that Polish headline and core inflation have re-accelerated, with seasonally adjusted monthly rates now clearly above target. This makes earlier signals from National Bank of Poland (NBP) Governor Adam Glapinski about possible rate cuts obsolete.
Mon, Aug 17
British Pound hits three-month highs at 1.3570 amid generalised US Dollar weakness
The British Pound (GBP) extends gains for the second consecutive day on Monday, as investors cut back US Dollar (USD) long positions, amid a dovish repricing of the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy.
Mon, Aug 17
Japanese Yen: Downside bias within 158.00–160.20 band against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang observes that USD/JPY price action remains choppy, with the pair closing around 159.30 after a dip to 158.58. Intraday direction is unclear, with trading expected between 158.80 and 159.60.
Mon, Aug 17
US Dollar: Softer data challenges resilience – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Lee Hardman note that weaker United States (US) data and lower short-term Treasury yields are undermining US Dollar (USD) support, even as the US Dollar Index (DXY) holds above its 200-day moving average near 99.200.
Mon, Aug 17
Australian Dollar gains against Japanese Yen despite weak economic data from China
AUD/JPY extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around 113.20 during the European hours on Monday.
Mon, Aug 17
