UBS: Investors should stay long silver, further pullbacks should be short-lived

Investing.com -- UBS Global Research, in a note dated July 26, has maintained its positive stance on silver Silver Futures despite the recent sharp price decline, attributing the volatility to a combination of factors including risk-off sentiment in broader financial markets and profit-taking among speculative investors.

“The recent price pullback should be used to engage in volatility-selling strategies, in our view,” the analysts said. UBS expects further downside to be limited, with the metal likely to rebound as macroeconomic conditions improve and risk appetite returns.

UBS flags that the recent decline in silver prices has pushed the gold-to-silver ratio towards the 90-91 level, a historically oversold condition. The bank estimates that silver could fall to around $26 per ounce before finding support. However, UBS adds that such a decline would be a temporary setback and represents a compelling buying opportunity.

To capitalize on the increased volatility, analysts recommend considering volatility-selling strategies. This involves selling options to generate income while maintaining a long-term bullish position on silver. Analysts suggest selling downside protection on silver prices from USD 26 per ounce over the next three months.

UBS's bullish outlook on silver is underpinned by its expectation of strong US earnings and resilient macroeconomic data. The brokerage adds that these factors will eventually drive a recovery in risk assets, including silver. 

Additionally, UBS expects continued inflows into silver exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which could provide additional support for prices.