Precious metals start a rally after soft US CPI data – TDS

Precious metals rally started after below expected US inflation data hit the market. Asian demand for Gold (XAU/USD) and Silver (XAG/USD) goes up, TDS senior commodity strategist Ryan McKay notes.

Asian demand is set to remain strong

“Below expected inflation data is compounding the precious metals rally after softer employment data had already bolstered expectations of a September start to the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting cycle. In this sense, a key macro cohort that has been on the sidelines thus far is increasingly likely to regain interest in Gold.”

“Indeed, the first evidence of renewed interest is starting to show as ETF positions continue to rise in July, after June saw the first monthly increase since May 2023. Furthermore, while Chinese Gold reserves were flat for a second consecutive month, top traders on the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) have added back to their net positions, highlighting Asian demand is set to remain strong.” 

“Silver is also surging as Chinese interest has ramped up in recent weeks, with traders adding roughly +20k SHFE lots to their net position in July.”