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Chinese growth concerns drive industrial metals lower – TDS

Jun 13, 2024 2:53 PM

Industrial metals prices slide down from the late May highs amid China’s lowering demand, TDS analysts note.

Future Federal Reserve rate cuts can provide a boost for metals

“Industrial metals continue to trade weaker as prices recalibrate from the late May highs. Weaker US data driving interest rates lower can provide a marginal boost, but Chinese growth concerns are the bigger factor.”

“With few signs of physical tightness, and increasing inventory levels across the globe, Copper remains at risk given macro traders have already built an extremely bloated long position. As traders begin to lose patience with the fundamental narrative, we have seen early signs of money managers unwinding their large long positions.”

“With that said, Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) remain comfortable with their length, but the margin of safety grows smaller with the first selling trigger now sitting at $9,715/t.”

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