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Forecasting the upcoming week: Fed, BoE and BoJ headline a central bank triple-header
The US Dollar Index (DXY) closes the week near the 99.00 zone, little changed on the day and holding the ground it clawed back after a brief wobble on Thursday's US inflation release.
Fri, Sep 11
Bank of Japan: Gradual path toward neutral rate – ING
ING analysts Chris Turner and Padhraic Garvey argue the Bank of Japan is likely to hike 25bp to 1.25% and then proceed cautiously.
Fri, Sep 11
US Treasury yields ease after CPI, but Fed hike risks linger
US Treasury yields fall during the North American session following the release of US inflation data, but are poised to finish the week higher. The US 10-year Treasury yield is down 1 basis point to 4.951% but has gained over 16 basis points, or 3.49%, in the week.
Fri, Sep 11
Asia FX: Resilience at risk as US yields climb – MUFG
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes that Asia FX and rates have stayed relatively stable despite sharply higher US Treasury yields, but he warns this resilience may not last in the near term.
Fri, Sep 11
Japanese Yen rises as the Greenback's inflation bounce fades
USD/JPY is trading around 153.70 on Friday, down for the day after briefly spiking above 154.50 following the US inflation release.
Fri, Sep 11
United States Dollar Index retreats from post-CPI high, all eyes on Fed
The US Dollar Index (DXY) reverses earlier gains on Friday as a pullback in longer-dated US Treasury yields outweighs support from the latest US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates next week.
Fri, Sep 11
Gold price dodges CPI shock as US yields hand bulls lifeline
Gold (XAU/USD) price bounces off daily lows beneath $4,300 on Friday and reclaims the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $4,335 following the release of US inflation data, which fueled speculation that a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike next week is almost certain.
Fri, Sep 11
ECB rate hike gives Euro little to work with as Pound holds firm
EUR/GBP is easing on Friday and slipping toward the 0.8580 area. The cross had pushed to the top of its recent range in the high 0.8590s before running out of steam.
Fri, Sep 11
Bitcoin and Gold Outlook: BTC and Gold advance after US CPI holds steady in August
Bitcoin (BTC) is gaining ground and approaching $79,000 on Friday, following the release of the United States (US) inflation data.
Fri, Sep 11
Silver erases post-CPI slump, rebounds from three-week low
Silver (XAG/USD) rebounds sharply on Friday, trading around $64.30 at the time of writing, up 1.13% on the day. The white metal recovers after briefly falling to a three-week low of $62.94 in the immediate reaction to the latest United States (US) inflation figures.
Fri, Sep 11
Dow Jones Industrial Average rallies all session as long yields back off
The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades just beneath 52,600, roughly 510 points higher, after four sessions of losses. The inflation print was worth about 100 points at 12:30 GMT, and the rest of the advance arrived in the afternoon once the long end of the Treasury curve turned.
Fri, Sep 11
WTI Oil Price Forecast: corrects lower after reaching overbought levels
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Oil comes under heavy selling pressure on Friday as traders lock in profits following a sharp rally that pushed the US benchmark to its highest level since May 21. At the time of writing, WTI trades around $96.50, down roughly 4% on the day.
Fri, Sep 11
Russia Consumer Price Index (MoM) above expectations (-0.1%) in August: Actual (-0.08%)
Fri, Sep 11
British Pound shakes off US CPI jolt as UK growth steals spotlight
The Pound Sterling climbs against the US Dollar, up 0.10%, as the latest US consumer inflation report came in line with forecasts, and although money markets had increased the odds of a Fed rate hike next week, traders faded the initial reaction.
Fri, Sep 11
Australian Dollar holds firm as hotter US inflation fails to cement Greenback's advantage
AUD/USD is edging higher today but is yet to retake the 0.7200 mark on Friday. The pair is clawing back part of the previous session's sharp sell-off after hitting multi-month highs in the high 0.7200s.
Fri, Sep 11
China: Exports support output as property drags – DBS
DBS Group Research forecasts an improvement in China’s industrial production to 5.0% year-on-year in August, helped by strong export growth driven by AI-related electronics.
Fri, Sep 11
Taiwan: AI boom sustains trade surplus – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists, led by Dr. Henry Hao and colleagues, note Taiwan’s August trade surplus hit a record USD22.3bn, driven by strong AI-related exports. Electronics and semiconductor shipments surged, lifting overall exports and imports.
Fri, Sep 11
Japan: BoJ tightening path in focus – ING
ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 1.25%, citing persistent price pressures. They project two further 25bp hikes in January and April 2027, taking the rate to 1.75%.
Fri, Sep 11
Swiss Franc struggles even as US Dollar gives back CPI-led gains
USD/CHF holds onto gains on Friday even as the US Dollar (USD) turns lower following the release of the latest United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) could raise interest rates next week.
Fri, Sep 11
India: Inflation pressures point to tighter bias – DBS
DBS Group Research expects India’s inflation to accelerate to 4.9% year-on-year, with food and energy costs driving a gradual broadening of price pressures.
Fri, Sep 11
