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Australian Dollar slips near three-month low as traders await RBA Minutes
AUD/USD trades near the 0.6880 level on Monday, down from Friday's close as traders await fresh catalysts from Australia and China.
Mon, Jun 29
Euro: Range trading likely to persist against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note EUR/USD is holding within a short-term channel as markets await comments from ECB President Lagarde at the Sintra symposium, which historically has had limited impact on near-term price action.
Mon, Jun 29
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index down to 0 in June from previous 0.4
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index down to 0 in June from previous 0.4
Mon, Jun 29
Silver declines as Middle East energy tensions, Fed policy uncertainty pressure prices
Silver (XAG/USD) is down 2.37% on Monday, trading around $57.75 at the time of writing, as investors reassess the impact of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East on energy markets and the inflation outlook.
Mon, Jun 29
Chinese Yuan: China slowdown weighs on CNY against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao highlight that China’s industrial profit growth slowed to 21.1% year-on-year in May, with weaker consumption and investment pointing to easing momentum.
Mon, Jun 29
Japanese Yen: Japan export controls and strong sales support JPY risk premium – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that China has expanded its export control list to include more Japanese entities, raising supply chain risks for defense and rare earths, while Japanese commercial sales grew strongly in May.
Mon, Jun 29
Canadian Dollar: Stabilizes against US Dollar as spreads narrow – Scotiabank
Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the Canadian Dollar (CAD) has gained modest relief as front-end US/Canada spreads retreat about 10bps from last week’s peak, though rate differentials remain punitive.
Mon, Jun 29
Kevin Warsh isn't expected to say much in Sintra: That's exactly why markets will listen
Financial markets could find an important catalyst in the enchanting, fairytale-like landscape of Sintra this week. The European Central Bank (ECB) Forum will, as it does every year, gather the crème de la crème of central banks.
Mon, Jun 29
US Dollar: Cyclical drivers and de-dollarisation – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley examines structural de-dollarisation themes alongside near-term Dollar dynamics. The de-dollarisation debate intensified after tariffs failed to trigger a traditional safe-haven bid for the Dollar and Treasuries in April 2025.
Mon, Jun 29
Euro: Sintra seasonality points to tactical strength against US Dollar – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights a recurring post-Sintra pattern in the Euro, with hawkish ECB communication from Christine Lagarde typically driving EUR/USD gains from late June into early July before they fade.
Mon, Jun 29
Ripple Price Forecast: XRP stabilizes as support holds amid steady ETF inflows
Ripple (XRP) pares losses and trades around $1.05 at the time of writing on Monday. The cross-border remittance token is attempting a recovery after last week’s sell-off, which intensified as the United States (US) and Iran exchanged fire.
Mon, Jun 29
Japanese Yen: Downtrend tests 2024 low against US Dollar – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux highlights that USD/JPY has broken out of a brief consolidation and is now challenging its 2024 peak near 162.00. The bank notes strong May retail sales support expectations for further Bank of Japan tightening.
Mon, Jun 29
Eurozone: Heatwaves add macro risk for growth – ING
ING’s Global Head of Macro Carsten Brzeski warns that recurring European heatwaves are becoming a structural drag on Eurozone growth. He cites academic and ECB research showing measurable losses in output and higher food inflation linked to extreme temperatures.
Mon, Jun 29
US Dollar Index: Fed hikes repriced on softer inflation – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank Research notes that investors reduced expectations for further Fed rate hikes after softer US PCE inflation, pulling December hike pricing down and lowering 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields.
Mon, Jun 29
Euro: Cyclical Dollar strength versus EUR risks – Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley discusses EUR/USD within a broader reassessment of Dollar drivers. Foley notes that even if the US Dollar (USD) is in long-term decline, cyclical forces can still support it.
Mon, Jun 29
Crypto Today: Bitcoin and Ethereum edge higher, XRP pares losses as US and Iran agree to resume talks
Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed signs of recovery, approaching the $60,000 mark at the time of writing on Monday.
Mon, Jun 29
British Pound gains as UK Burnham pledges continuation of current Labour policy
The British Pound (GBP) outperforms its major currency peers, trading 0.25% higher to near 1.3230 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Monday.
Mon, Jun 29
Oil: Gulf de-escalation keeps crude supported – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the U.S. and Iran have agreed to halt mutual attacks and resume talks on the Strait of Hormuz, allowing shipping to move more freely. Markets reacted cautiously, with Brent, WTI and Omani crude prices higher as tensions eased.
Mon, Jun 29
WTI Oi's decline stalls near $70.00 as the situation in the Strait of Hormuz muddies
Crude Oil prices are practically flat on Monday, with the price of the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) barrel practically flat around the $70.00 level.
Mon, Jun 29
Euro area: Oil-driven inflation relief but ECB wary – Commerzbank
Guntermann at Commerzbank notes that while Oil prices near pre-war levels reduce tail risks for growth, inflation and rate volatility, Euro area inflation is not falling fast enough to dispel European Central Bank (ECB) hawkishness.
Mon, Jun 29
