FXStreet
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Swiss Franc eyes first weekly gain in five weeks as weak NFP delays Fed hikes
USD/CHF heads for its first weekly loss in five weeks as weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data released on Thursday weighed on the US Dollar (USD). The pair rebounds on Friday as the Greenback stabilizes, with traders reassessing the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate outlook.
Fri, Jul 3
Copper: Tariff risks and Chile supply strain – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analyst Norman Liebke reports that the Copper market is focused on a potential 15% US import tariff on refined Copper, which could temporarily boost US demand and prices if implemented in 2027.
Fri, Jul 3
Singapore Dollar: Range bias with key levels against US Dollar – UOB
UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/SGD’s sharp drop toward 1.2900 looks overdone, but the pair may still test support near 1.2890 in the near term before stabilising.
Fri, Jul 3
WTI Crude Oil advances on softer US jobs data and lingering Middle East tensions
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $68.65 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.30% on the day, recovering part of its recent losses as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer-than-expected US employment data.
Fri, Jul 3
Zcash vs Monero: ZEC outpaces XMR despite cooling retail demand
Privacy-focused coins Zcash (ZEC) and Monero (XMR) exhibit a wide range of recovery signs on Friday, as bulls tighten their grip following weeks of extended declines. ZEC hovers above $460, marking three straight days of gains, while XMR moderates gains above $320.
Fri, Jul 3
Euro struggles to extend gains as traders reassess Fed and ECB outlook
EUR/USD holds onto modest gains on Friday but struggles to extend its advance as the US Dollar (USD) stabilizes following Thursday's weaker-than-expected US jobs report. Market activity remains subdued as US financial markets are closed for the Independence Day holiday.
Fri, Jul 3
India: Credit-risk capital overhaul reshapes ratings – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economist Kunal Kundu explains that the Reserve Bank of India’s revised Standardised Approach for credit-risk capital will tie regulatory risk weights to both borrower ratings and each agency’s historical default performance from April 2027.
Fri, Jul 3
British Pound holds weekly gains as Fed hike doubts deepen
The British Pound steadied against the US Dollar on Friday, but it is poised to end the week with gains of over 1% as investors turn skeptical that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates at the September meeting. The GBP/USD consolidates at around 1.3350, unchanged.
Fri, Jul 3
Australian Dollar rises after upbeat PMIs improve sentiment
The AUD/USD pair climbs near the 0.6940 level on Friday as the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure following softer-than-expected United States (US) labor market data released on Thursday.
Fri, Jul 3
Canada: Trade risks and persistence – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Claire Fan and Nathan Janzen assess the implications of the U.S. decision not to extend CUSMA (Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement) on July 1st.
Fri, Jul 3
New Zealand Dollar strengthens as weaker US labor market weighs on US Dollar
NZD/USD trades around 0.5710 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.21% on the day, supported by improved risk sentiment and a weaker US Dollar (USD) following a softer-than-expected US employment report.
Fri, Jul 3
Oil: Market expectations diverge from data – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Commodity Research team, led by Norman Liebke and colleagues, notes that Oil prices have fallen as optimism grows over US–Iran talks and a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Fri, Jul 3
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk rises at multi-decade lows – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Georgette Boele warns that USD/JPY trading near multi-decade highs has heightened the risk of intervention in the Japanese Yen (JPY). She notes markets are long Dollars and extremely short Yen, leaving room for a sharp reversal if sentiment shifts.
Fri, Jul 3
Japanese Yen weakens against the US Dollar as traders monitor intervention risks
USD/JPY rebounds on Friday after falling nearly 0.90% in the previous session, amid speculation that Japanese authorities may have intervened in the foreign exchange market after the Japanese Yen slid to a 40-year low earlier this week.
Fri, Jul 3
Bank of Japan: Wage data backs rates hike path – Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo Economics expects Japan’s May labor cash earnings to confirm a sustained wage-price cycle, supporting Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy normalization.
Fri, Jul 3
Bank of England : DMP expectations and MPC stance – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists highlight that the June United Kingdom (UK) Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey shows one‑year inflation expectations easing while three‑year expectations stay near 3%.
Fri, Jul 3
Euro area: Indirect inflation effects still pending – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists Sam Cartwright, Michel Martinez and Jorge Garayo note that Euro area inflation has not yet shown indirect effects from the energy shock in food or goods prices.
Fri, Jul 3
Japanese Yen: Intervention risk elevated on holidays – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole notes USD/JPY volatility and suggests an initial move lower may already have involved FX intervention. With US holidays thinning liquidity, he sees elevated risk of further Japanese action, consistent with past behaviour.
Fri, Jul 3
Ripple XRP Price Forecast: XRP eyes short-term bullish turn as investor demand returns
Ripple (XRP) exhibits strong recovery prospects, trading above $1.10 on Friday. This rebound aligns with the broader crypto market and can be attributed to easing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and growing appetite for risk assets.
Fri, Jul 3
Gold: Price rebound seen as corrective – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes that the Gold price has rebounded toward USD 4,200 per ounce after steep second-quarter losses, helped by weaker US labour data and reduced rate hike expectations.
Fri, Jul 3
