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EUR/GBP Price Forecast: RSI flirts with oversold as bears defend key resistance
EUR/GBP edges higher on Friday, extending gains for a second consecutive day as traders cover short positions following the midweek sell-off. At the time of writing, the cross trades around 0.8501 but is still on track for a fourth straight weekly loss.
Fri, Jul 17
Canadian Dollar: Bullish bias with 1.3981 in focus against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabank’s Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret highlight the Canadian Dollar (CAD) as a modest outperformer, with firmer Oil offsetting weak equities and narrowing front-end spreads driving gains. Position adjustment after heavy CAD short-building is adding tailwinds.
Fri, Jul 17
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index: 54 (July) vs 50.7
United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index: 54 (July) vs 50.7
Fri, Jul 17
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations: 4.2% (July) vs previous 4.6%
United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations: 4.2% (July) vs previous 4.6%
Fri, Jul 17
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation: 3.3% (July)
United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation: 3.3% (July)
Fri, Jul 17
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 54.4, above expectations (51) in July
United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index came in at 54.4, above expectations (51) in July
Fri, Jul 17
US Dollar: Low volatility risks and summer outlook – ING
ING strategists Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky note that DXY-weighted short-term implied volatility has dropped to 2021 levels, despite geopolitical tensions and Federal Reserve risks. Pesole argues that AI-driven equity resilience is anchoring currencies and supporting carry trades.
Fri, Jul 17
United Kingdom: Supply-side choices shape outlook – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Global Daily, titled “To govern is to choose”, discusses the UK’s political and macroeconomic backdrop as Labour’s Andy Burnham is set to become prime minister.
Fri, Jul 17
European Central Bank: Holds fire as September stays live – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2.25% in July after June’s hike, with September remaining a live meeting.
Fri, Jul 17
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.1%, below expectations (76.2%) in June
United States Capacity Utilization came in at 76.1%, below expectations (76.2%) in June
Fri, Jul 17
United States Industrial Production (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in June
United States Industrial Production (MoM) registered at 0.1%, below expectations (0.2%) in June
Fri, Jul 17
Canadian Dollar gains on surging Oil prices, USD/CAD eyes second weekly loss
USD/CAD trades under pressure on Friday as the Canadian Dollar (CAD) benefits from higher Oil prices, offsetting the US Dollar’s (USD) recovery. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.4022, near a one-month low.
Fri, Jul 17
UK: Andy Burnham outlines pro-business Labour, inflation plan
UK Labour leader Andy Burnham said on Friday that he intends to lead a pro-business Labour Party, arguing that his experience working with businesses as Mayor of Greater Manchester will serve as the model for his future government, according to Reuters.
Fri, Jul 17
British Pound: Overvaluation points to Euro recovery – ING
ING strategist Francesco Pesole notes that the recent GBP rally has stalled and EUR/GBP has rebounded from an important break lower. At 0.850, the cross remains around 1.5% undervalued versus ING’s short-term fair value model.
Fri, Jul 17
CLARITY Act approval odds sink fast ahead of Congressional hearing
The United States (US) House Financial Services Committee’s Subcommittee on Digital Assets, Financial Technology, and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is holding a hearing titled “Building the Future of Finance: How the CLARITY Act Unlocks Innovation” on Friday.
Fri, Jul 17
European gas: Prices stay elevated as supply tightens – Commerzbank
Norman Liebke at Commerzbank expects European gas prices to remain high in the near term, even if the Strait of Hormuz reopens sustainably.
Fri, Jul 17
United States Import Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 6.7% to 7.1% in June
United States Import Price Index (YoY) climbed from previous 6.7% to 7.1% in June
Fri, Jul 17
US Dollar: Energy shock may delay renewed downtrend – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that ongoing Middle East conflict, stronger United States (US) data and crude Oil risks are limiting US Dollar (USD) selling. Better manufacturing and retail figures have not shifted Fed expectations much, but a full hike remains priced by year-end.
Fri, Jul 17
United States Export Price Index (YoY) down to 10.2% in June from previous 11.2%
United States Export Price Index (YoY) down to 10.2% in June from previous 11.2%
Fri, Jul 17
United States Building Permits Change fell from previous -0.7% to -3% in June
United States Building Permits Change fell from previous -0.7% to -3% in June
Fri, Jul 17