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European Central Bank: Hiking cycle continues at slower pace – Nordea
Nordea strategists Jan von Gerich, Tuuli Koivu and Anders Svendsen note that the European Central Bank (ECB) kept its deposit rate at 2.25% but signalled further tightening. They still forecast three additional 25bp hikes, now at a quarterly pace, taking the deposit rate to 3% by March 2027.
Thu, Jul 23
Natural Gas: High prices sustain European power – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Florence Schmit notes TTF natural gas has risen above €60/MWh as Middle Eastern supply disruptions intensify.
Thu, Jul 23
XRP Price Forecast: XRP trades sideways as Ripple targets 10 million agentic AI transactions
Ripple (XRP) is losing momentum on Thursday, albeit gradually, trading above $1.13.
Thu, Jul 23
Federal Reserve: Hike pricing questioned – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Gennadiy Goldberg and Molly Brooks note that market pricing for Fed hikes has risen alongside higher Oil prices and US-Iran tensions, but they judge a July move as unlikely.
Thu, Jul 23
Euro slips against British Pound as ECB keeps interest rates unchanged
The Euro (EUR) trades under pressure against the British Pound (GBP) as traders assess the European Central Bank’s (ECB) latest monetary policy announcement.
Thu, Jul 23
Mexican Peso: Slightly stronger MXN outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank strategist Michael Pfister argues that Banxico’s recent rate cuts were broadly justified by moderating inflation and Mexico’s weakening economy, leaving little reason for the central bank to tighten policy despite markets pricing in roughly three rate hikes.
Thu, Jul 23
Lagarde speech: Some asked whether we should consider a hike
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Thu, Jul 23
Lagarde speech: Energy shock could intensify further
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Thu, Jul 23
United Kingdom: Risks for Sterling – ING
ING’s economists describe United Kingdom (UK) public finances as strained by rising spending pressures and high debt interest, despite ongoing fiscal consolidation via frozen tax thresholds and falling gilt issuance.
Thu, Jul 23
Lagarde speech: Indicators suggest economic activity will remain modest
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to leave key rates unchanged at the July policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Thu, Jul 23
163.00: Why the Japanese Yen is trading at historic lows despite BoJ hike speculation
The Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to trade at historic lows, with USD/JPY pressing past year-to-date highs above the 163.00 handle, as a renewed surge in global Oil and Natural Gas prices has dealt a severe blow to the net-energy-importing Japanese economy.
Thu, Jul 23
Oil: Geopolitical shock tightens conditions – BNY
BNY's Geoff Yu highlights that Brent has surged into the high $90s as Houthi attacks and U.S.-Iran escalation raise disruption risks around the Strait of Hormuz and Red Sea. Bond markets are treating this as an inflation shock, with higher yields and tighter financial conditions.
Thu, Jul 23
Canadian Dollar eases despite stronger Retail Sales and rising Oil prices
USD/CAD rebounds on Thursday as the US Dollar (USD) regains momentum amid rising tensions in the Middle East and growing Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike bets, while traders show a muted reaction to Canadian Retail Sales data.
Thu, Jul 23
Euro weakens as ECB stays on hold while Middle East tensions boost the US Dollar
EUR/USD trades around 1.1385 on Thursday after the European Central Bank (ECB) left its key interest rates unchanged, in line with market expectations.
Thu, Jul 23
United States weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 187K vs. 212K expected
There were 187,000 Initial Jobless Claims in the week ending July 18, the US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday. This print followed the previous week's reading of 209,000 and came in much better than the market expectation of 212,000.
Thu, Jul 23
Australian Dollar: Limited upside as RBA priced – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights the strong year-to-date performance of the Australian Dollar (AUD), supported by the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hawkish stance and Australia’s commodity-linked profile.
Thu, Jul 23
Japanese Yen: Gradual appreciation path after extended weakness – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that the Japanese Yen remains historically weak, with USD/JPY above 162 and EUR/JPY near 186, but still forecasts gradual appreciation over the coming quarters.
Thu, Jul 23
Mexico 1st half-month Inflation came in at 0.07%, below expectations (0.1%) in July
Thu, Jul 23
Mexico 1st half-month Core Inflation meets forecasts (0.16%) in July
Thu, Jul 23
Euro: Recovery led by spot demand – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the Euro is stabilizing ahead of the ECB decision, with improving spot flow and hedge unwinding supporting Eurozone assets. However, forward and swaps demand remain weak, limiting conviction.
Thu, Jul 23
