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Federal Reserve: September hike risk stays elevated – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO strategists analyze the latest Federal Reserve decision to keep the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75%. They highlight dissenting votes, Kevin Warsh’s emphasis on the 2% inflation target, and the Fed’s reliance on market signals.
Thu, Jul 30
Bailey speech: Encouraging CPI is below where we thought it would be
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey explains the decision to maintain the bank rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote split following the July monetary policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Thu, Jul 30
Bailey speech: Need to raise rates if Mideast conflict leads to 2nd round effects
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey explains the decision to maintain the bank rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote split following the July monetary policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Thu, Jul 30
US Dollar: Hawkish hold tempers USD strength – ING
ING's Knightley and Turner highlight that a neutral‑hawkish Fed hold has slightly weakened the Dollar, reversing positioning that had shifted toward a rate hike.
Thu, Jul 30
Bailey speech: Ready to adjust our stance as evidence evolves
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey explains the decision to maintain the bank rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote split following the July monetary policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Thu, Jul 30
Germany annual CPI inflation climbs to 2.8% in July vs. 2.7% expected
Annual inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), climbed to 2.8% in July's flash estimate from 2.3% in June. This print came in above the market expectation of 2.7%. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose 0.8%, following the 0.3% decrease recorded in June.
Thu, Jul 30
Gold: Central bank demand seen easing after Q2 rebound – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu notes World Gold Council (WGC) data showing a sharp rebound in central bank Gold purchases to a record 289 tons in Q2, led by Poland and China, after a very weak Q1.
Thu, Jul 30
United States Dollar Index turns upside down on Fed rate hike doubts
The US Dollar gives back its opening gains and flips on its head during the European trading session on Thursday.
Thu, Jul 30
United States: Growth and inflation data set to soften – TD Securities
TD Securities expects United States (US) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to slow to 1.0% q/q annualized in Q2, well below the 2.0% consensus, even as underlying growth is supported by a recovering US consumer and AI-related investment, with net exports and inventories dragging.
Thu, Jul 30
US Dollar: Fed reaction function clouds dollar outlook – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny highlights that the Federal Reserve’s decision to leave rates unchanged, and Chair Warsh’s failure to clearly justify the pause, triggered a sell-off at the long end of US Treasuries and modest Dollar weakness.
Thu, Jul 30
Euro: Strong GDP supports September ECB hike – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports EUR/USD is consolidating after a rally driven by stronger-than-expected Eurozone Q2 GDP at 0.4% quarter-on-quarter.
Thu, Jul 30
Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC recovery pauses as hawkish Fed, US-Iran tensions weigh on sentiment
Bitcoin (BTC) steadies above a key support zone on Thursday, consolidating near $64,000 after a modest rebound earlier this week. Fresh inflows into BTC spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) has provided some support.
Thu, Jul 30
Polish Zloty: Glapinski probe seen low-impact for FX – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights accelerating efforts in Poland’s Sejm to hold NBP Governor Adam Glapinski accountable before the State Tribunal, amid allegations of politicising the central bank.
Thu, Jul 30
Gold caught between softer US Dollar and rising Treasury yields, US PCE awaited
Gold (XAU/USD) remains trapped in its month-old $4,000-$4,200 range as the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) new era of limited forward guidance fails to shake the precious metal out of its sideways grind after policymakers left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%.
Thu, Jul 30
British Pound drops against its peers after BoE’s monetary policy decision
The British Pound (GBP) drops against its major currency peers after the Bank of England’s (BoE) monetary policy decision. The GBP/USD pair edges lower from its intraday high of 1.3405 to near 1.3380; however, the initial reaction from the pair was slightly positive.
Thu, Jul 30
Federal Reserve: September hike risk stays on table – Nordea
Nordea’s Kirsti Sunde Midttun notes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) kept its target range at 3.50–3.75%, but three hawkish dissents make the hold less comfortable than in June. With no new projections, the unchanged statement and a cautious press conference offered limited guidance.
Thu, Jul 30
Crypto Today: Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP trade sideways as US-Iran tensions intensify
The crypto market is trading in neutral-to-slightly bullish conditions on Thursday, with Bitcoin (BTC) holding above $64,000 while its immediate upside remains capped.
Thu, Jul 30
British Pound: BoE policy seen on extended hold – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists analyzes- the Bank of England’s (BoE) upcoming meeting, expecting Bank Rate to remain at 3.75% with some hawkish dissent. They note easing inflation expectations and a loosening labour market, but also higher energy prices and government income support.
Thu, Jul 30
US Dollar: Post-FOMC losses likely to remain limited – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists note that the US Dollar (USD) weakened after the July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) rate hold and Chair Warsh’s lack of hawkish guidance.
Thu, Jul 30
Bank of England: Market pricing stays hawkish – ING
ING’s Michiel Tukker and Padhraic Garvey expect no change in the Bank of England (BoE) policy rate at the upcoming meeting, despite markets pricing in substantial tightening.
Thu, Jul 30
