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British Pound: Limited support from BoE policy – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that the Bank of England kept rates unchanged and avoided signalling future hikes, despite a closer-than-expected 6–3 vote and Governor Bailey’s insistence that the BoE is not edging toward tightening.
Fri, Jul 31
WTI Oil drifts closer to $80.00 amid a mild increase in traffic through Hormuz
Oil prices are ticking lower for the second consecutive day on Friday, with the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) barrel hitting session lows a few cents above $80.00.
Fri, Jul 31
Federal Reserve: Prolonged pause with hike risks – UOB
UOB strategists observe that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) kept the Fed Funds Target Rate at 3.50%–3.75% for a fifth meeting, with a 9–3 split as three presidents sought a 25 bps hike.
Fri, Jul 31
British Pound struggles to extend recovery against Japanese Yen
The British Pound (GBP) faces roadblocks in extending the early recovery against the Japanese Yen (JPY) above 216.33 during the European trading session on Friday.
Fri, Jul 31
USD/CAD Price Forecast: Steadies above June low as bears await 1.4000 breakdown
The USD/CAD pair seesaws between tepid gains/minor losses through the early European session on Friday, consolidating its recent losses to the lowest level since June 17, touched the previous day.
Fri, Jul 31
European Central Bank: September hike path shaped by Iran war – Nomura
Nomura strategists highlight that Euro area Gross Domestic Product (GDP) excluding Ireland has been growing around potential despite the Iran war.
Fri, Jul 31
Forex Today: Japanese Yen retreats after rallying on suspected intervention, BoJ holds steady
Here is what you need to know on Friday, July 31:
Fri, Jul 31
Japanese Yen: Intervention risks and BoJ stance – MUFG
MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart note that the Japanese Yen surged as USD/JPY dropped from 163.00 to 158.00, in a move they attribute to probable Ministry of Finance intervention during New York trading.
Fri, Jul 31
NZD/USD Price Forecast: Previous highs around 0.5860 are holding bears for now
The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) ticks lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, but remains steady near eight-week highs at 0.5885, with downside attempts contained above a previous resistance area at 0.5860 so far.
Fri, Jul 31
Oil: Middle distillate tightness supports prices – ING
ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Oil prices have pulled back, with ICE Brent dropping below $90/bbl even as US–Iran tensions stay high.
Fri, Jul 31
Dow Jones futures rise as tech rally, AI optimism drive market rebound
Dow Jones futures surge 0.59% to trade around 52,680 during European trading hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise 0.44% to trade near 7,500, while Nasdaq 100 futures rise 1.10%, trading near 28,540, respectively.
Fri, Jul 31
Euro: Supported by growth surprise – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that EUR/USD has broken back above 1.15 for the first time since mid-June as Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) outpaced United States (US) growth in annualised terms.
Fri, Jul 31
Bank of England: Dovish hold shapes Pound outlook – UOB
UOB strategists highlight that the Bank of England (BoE) kept its policy rate at 3.75%, with Governor Bailey stressing no move toward a hike despite US-Iran conflict risks.
Fri, Jul 31
USD/JPY Price Forecast: Likely extend decline below 158.00
The US Dollar (USD) gives back some of its early gains against the Japanese Yen (JPY), but is still 0.5% higher at around 160.30 during the European trading session on Friday.
Fri, Jul 31
Ethereum Price Forecast: ETH extends consolidation as bulls await a catalyst
Ethereum (ETH) trades sideways between the $1,850 and $1,930 range on Friday as bulls and bears battle for control between key Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs).
Fri, Jul 31
Solana Price Forecast: SOL nears triangle pattern breakout amid firm retail support
Solana (SOL) is trading below $75.00 on Friday, testing a crucial support trendline of a symmetrical triangle pattern. SOL-focused Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recorded $403,890 in inflows on Thursday, while retail demand holds firm with rising funding rates.
Fri, Jul 31
Indian Rupee: Flows recovering as Dollar strength caps gains – DBS
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes India’s onshore markets are being pulled between higher Oil prices and improving capital flows.
Fri, Jul 31
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $58.00 on hawkish Fed sentiment
Silver price (XAG/USD) declines after two days of gains, trading around $58.10 per troy ounce during the early European hours on Friday. The non-yielding white metal is facing notable challenges amid expectations for tighter Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy.
Fri, Jul 31
Euro holds gains above 1.1500 awaiting of Eurozone inflation data
The Euro (EUR) nudges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, but remains near six-week highs, holding well above 1.1500 so far, on track for a 1.3% rally this week, its best weekly performance in nearly four months.
Fri, Jul 31
Equities: Tech rebound spreads across global markets – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank strategists note that strong Microsoft earnings triggered a global technology rebound, lifting the KOSPI, Nasdaq and semiconductor stocks.
Fri, Jul 31
