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New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ hike seen with dovish risks – ING
ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to raise rates by 25bp to 2.75%, with markets fully pricing the move. He argues that current market pricing for further tightening looks too hawkish unless the RBNZ lifts its rate path significantly.
Tue, Sep 1

Forex Today: Focus shifts to Eurozone inflation and mid-tier US data releases
Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 1:
Tue, Sep 1

Australian Dollar: Short-term pullback within broader uptrend against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann observe that AUD/USD has corrected from 0.7208 but is now rebounding, with intraday trade expected between 0.7155 and 0.7180.
Tue, Sep 1

Euro: Proactive ECB seen as supportive – Commerzbank
Michael Pfister at Commerzbank notes that several central banks, including the European Central Bank (ECB), have already raised rates following the inflation shock linked to the Iran conflict.
Tue, Sep 1

NZD/USD Price Forecast: Flirts with ascending trend-line near 0.5900 as traders eye RBNZ
The NZD/USD pair attracts some sellers following a modest intraday uptick to the 0.5930 region and languishes near the lower end of its daily range during the early European session on Tuesday.
Tue, Sep 1

Japanese Yen: BoJ hike expectations shape FX – MUFG
Michael Wan at MUFG notes continued dispersion in Asia FX, with USD/JPY trading just below 160. NHK reports US officials urging Japan to raise interest rates, while markets already price a 92% chance of a September Bank of Japan (BoJ) hike.
Tue, Sep 1

AUD/USD Price Forecast: Rising 20-day EMA backs more upside
The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades marginally lower at around 0.7164 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Tue, Sep 1

Brent Oil: Geopolitics delay supply recovery – OCBC
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong raise their end-2026 Brent forecast to USD 80/bbl from USD 75/bbl as Middle East supply disruptions prove more prolonged. They note falling inventories, rising transport costs and emerging diesel shortages as key constraints.
Tue, Sep 1

Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD looks for direction above key support at $65.50 area
Silver (XAG/USD) remains practically flat on Tuesday, holding most of Friday’s losses and trading at $66.60 at the time of writing, with price action contained within the previous day’s range.
Tue, Sep 1

Euro edges lower against British Pound as Germany’s Retail Sales fall more than expected in July
The EUR/GBP cross loses traction to near 0.8570 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) edges slightly lower following German Retail Sales data.
Tue, Sep 1

Equities: Geopolitics and yields pressure stocks - Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Jim Reid notes that global equities ended August on a softer footing as escalating US-Iran tensions and a hawkish Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Warsh weighed on risk sentiment.
Tue, Sep 1

British Pound: Downside risk focuses on 1.3480 against US Dollar – UOB
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that GBP/USD remains in a short-term range after last week’s sharp drop, with intraday trade expected between 1.3535 and 1.3570.
Tue, Sep 1

Swiss Franc moves little following Real Retail Sales data
USD/CHF appreciates after registering losses in the previous day, trading around 0.8100 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The pair remains steady despite stronger-than-expected Swiss economic data.
Tue, Sep 1

Euro: Modest rebound against US Dollar as yields rise – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD has modestly rebounded above 1.16 following recent Dollar strength after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech.
Tue, Sep 1

USD/CAD Price Forecast: Trade tensions to keep Canadian Dollar under pressure
The US Dollar (USD) trades slightly higher to near 1.3863 against the Canadian Dollar (CAD) during the European trading session on Tuesday. The Loonie pair remains broadly as ongoing trade tensions between the United States (US) and Canada have put the Canadian Dollar under pressure.
Tue, Sep 1

Euro keeps hovering just above 1.1600 despite downbeat German Retail Sales data
The Euro (EUR) nudges lower against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday, giving away some of Monday's gains, with the EUR/USD pair hovering just above 1.1600, following rejection at the 1.1620 area.
Tue, Sep 1

Indian Rupee: Growth surprise supports range view against US Dollar – Commerzbank
Commerzbank strategists argue that stronger-than-expected Q2 2026 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) at 7.8% yoy reinforces India’s relative growth advantage and reduces expectations of Reserve Bank of India (RBI) easing.
Tue, Sep 1

Germany Retail Sales (MoM) below forecasts (0.4%) in July: Actual (-3.4%)
Tue, Sep 1

Germany’s Retail Sales fall by 3.4% MoM in July vs. 0.4% expected
German Retail Sales, a key measure of consumer spending, showed a downside in July. The consumer spending measure fell 3.4% month-on-month (MoM), according to official data released by Destatis, while it was expected to have increased 0.4%. In June, Retail Sales arrived at 0% (revised from -1.1%).
Tue, Sep 1

Germany Retail Sales (YoY) fell from previous -0.2% to -2.5% in July
Tue, Sep 1


