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Germany: Coalition risks and reform hurdles – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen analyzes how the Saxony-Anhalt election and two subsequent votes in Berlin and Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania could strain Germany’s CDU/CSU–SPD coalition.
Tue, Sep 1
British Pound stalls as mixed US data keeps Fed hawkish bets alive
The Pound Sterling trades sideways versus the US Dollar on Tuesday after a tranche of US economic data was mixed, with business activity dipping in August, while a strong jobs market justified Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish tilt. The GBP/USD trades at 1.3540, down a modest 0.06%.
Tue, Sep 1
United Kingdom: Growth cools as inflation risks build – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan say the UK enters autumn as the fastest-growing G7 economy, helped by strong ICT and AI-related investment and improving productivity.
Tue, Sep 1
Euro struggles as softer-than-expected US econoomic data offer little relief
EUR/USD struggles to attract buyers on Tuesday despite below-forecast US economic data, as the US Dollar (USD) shows little weakness following the release. At the time of writing, the pair trades around 1.1601 after touching an intraday low of 1.1587, but remains down roughly 0.14% on the day.
Tue, Sep 1
US Dollar: Fed risks and election scenarios – TD Securities
TD Securities’ macro team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj, Howard Du and Linda Cheng, maintains a bearish view on the Dollar despite a hawkish market reaction to Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech.
Tue, Sep 1
Gold: Pricing stays supported as Fed path questioned – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Ryan McKay and Bart Melek note that positioning in Gold remains resilient despite a more hawkish Jackson Hole speech from Fed Chair Warsh.
Tue, Sep 1
Uniswap Price Forecast: UNI rally gains momentum amid growing retail demand, RWA DEX volume
Uniswap (UNI) maintains a firm bullish outlook, trading at $5.84, up more than 10% on Tuesday. The decentralized exchange (DEX) native token has marked four straight days of gains, underpinning a robust technical structure.
Tue, Sep 1
United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) below forecasts (46.2) in September: Actual (45.6)
Tue, Sep 1
United States JOLTS Job Openings below expectations (7.3M) in July: Actual (7.271M)
Tue, Sep 1
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index down to 53.7 in August from previous 56.7
Tue, Sep 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid registered at 71.1, below expectations (72) in August
Tue, Sep 1
United States Construction Spending (MoM) below expectations (0%) in July: Actual (-0.5%)
Tue, Sep 1
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI came in at 54.6 below forecasts (55.2) in August
Tue, Sep 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index declined to 51.2 in August from previous 52.8
Tue, Sep 1
Japanese Yen: Yield cap and intervention shape risks – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that rising global bond yields and firmer Oil prices have pushed 30-year US Treasury yields back to pre-buyback levels, while USD/JPY has largely retraced its post-intervention slump.
Tue, Sep 1
Japanese Yen weakens as Japan’s 10-year yield hits 3% for first time since 1996
USD/JPY trades around 160.05 on Tuesday at the time of writing, gaining 0.19% on the day, as the Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under pressure against the US Dollar (USD).
Tue, Sep 1
Euro area: Inflation jump supports ECB hike – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer notes that Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.3% in August from 2.9% in July, driven mainly by higher energy prices linked to the Middle East conflict.
Tue, Sep 1
Fed’s Barr keeps rate hike on the table as inflation persists
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr said inflation remains too high and warned that a rate hike could become necessary if price pressures fail to moderate soon.
Tue, Sep 1
USD/CHF Price Forecast: Pair extends recovery above key moving averages
USD/CHF ticks higher on Tuesday as the US Dollar (USD) recoups most of the previous day’s losses. Hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and rising US Treasury yields keep the Greenback underpinned near its recent highs.
Tue, Sep 1
“Good news” on inflation: ECB’s Nagel sees no second-round effects
Joachim Nagel, European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member and Bundesbank President, expressed confidence on Tuesday in the global economic outlook despite geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Tue, Sep 1
